Quote:
Originally Posted by OvertlySexual
1. What does it mean that you keep seeing this chart on live low stakes. I just posted this on this thread.
2. I never claimed I am a stats guru. Excel gave me 3 options for a trendline and I used polynomial because it tells a story that makes sense given my first hand experience. To be frank, I don't even know what a polynomial trendline is.
3. What I said and I believe is that while the story this chart says is that as you hit the 9-10 hr mark your winrate decreases (FYI that's what a linear trendline shows), a. I am not sure whether it's fatigue or self-selection because you re stuck. and b. there aren't enough data points to even be sure that this story is accurate. I gather you would need a far larger sample to be reasonably sure about it, so you should take whetever you see on the no 1 picture with a huge grain of salt.
4. R squared is pretty low regardless of what type of chart I use; this was the highest score out of all the charts I used. As you say, it's probably not relevant.
Hey calm down, just being critical as I think this is interesting and can be improved. Consider a linear fit looks like:
$/hr = a*t + b
If you multiply by t, you get:
$/session = a*t^2 + b*t (or better yet fit sessions to this formula)
Taking derivative you can find the session length optimizing your session earnings, which satisfies:
0 = 2*a*t + b
or
t = -b / 2 /a (a should be negative)
Certainly, there are issues associated to variance but a large enough sample should address it. If you record how well you run on a numeric scale, you should be able to reduce noise in your sampling. Could also record how well you think you played which gives you an extra set of info. Can think of some very interesting applications for this info. Just need to be careful with measuring error of these two.
And for whatever reason, when the post shows up it's had this pic the last 30 times...no clue why.
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