Quote:
Originally Posted by blankoblanco
I'm too lazy to provide a bunch of examples, so take this with a grain of salt. But based on watching way too many hours of this, I feel very, very confident that Postle knew the hole cards but probably at no point did he know what cards were coming.
It would honestly be ridiculously unnecessary when you consider he's already deliberately giving up EV in several situations just to make the cheating less obvious. And knowing the cards to come might psychologically make it even harder to play in a non-suspicious way.
I totally agree, I'm 100% convinced he doesn't know the community cards.
What I will say is that I don't see him giving up too much EV overall.
IMHO he was way too greedy.
He only seems to do it when he absolutely has to, calling the nutflush vs straight flush and calling with a FH against a bigger FH.
Overall he is pretty much maximizing his EV with the information he has.
I will add I do have some experience of playing this type of game in casinos, legally I might add. Knowing some of the dealers hole cards in certain situations and making plays that look crazy in a vacuum.
Saying that I often have the benefit of folding my hole cards without anyone knowing what they were. So overall it makes my play less suspicious.
Imagine if he would have randomly switched off god mode 50%-75% of the time and just played normally the rest of the time.
He would still have crushed pretty hard but would also almost certainly never been caught.
D.