Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerprince
You're playing with 48bb's because of the straddle. It costs your opponent $710 to win a pot of $1980(960+960+10+10+20+20). He needs 35.85% equity to break even on a call. His AKo has 38.8% equity vs a range of QQ+,AKs,AKo. His call is totally standard.
Quote:
Originally Posted by zuneit
Ok! 2.95% overlay.
How nasty can the variance be to our bankroll in a situation like this?
Reason I ask: Chan, on his way to win his 2nd WSOP in a row, won 12 coin flips in a row when it was down to 2 tables.
He did this when either he or his opponent was all-in, one of them had a PP & the other AK. Those 12 coin flips he won helped build his huge chip lead he had going into the final table.
Does anyone know how to do the math to compute the required bankroll to chase these 3% overlays? What if we make a mistake once every 9 occurrences & our opponent would only do this with AKs?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pots-For-Sale
The thing is you can't calculate bankroll requirements on what you're suggesting.
We're not only flipping coins when playing poker. This is just a very very small part of the variance involved when playing a solid aggressive game.
That being said 3% is a pretty nice equity edge. Def don't pass these up in cash games when properly rolled.
Why would one pass it up if they are properly rolled?
Quote:
Originally Posted by pots-for-sale
Casino corporations build empires on much less of an edge.
They have a decent bankroll, no?
Quote:
Originally Posted by pots-for-sale
And to your last statement it comes down to understanding your opponents range. Is he competent? Aggressive? A regular? At 5/10 or 10/10 if these things are true he never has only Aks or AA.
I understand this. Who, other than rich recreational players, play 5/10 NLHE without that understanding?
I gather from your answer, that you don't know what size bankroll you need to withstand the variance? Chan has already proven that you can lose 12 coin flips in a row * 100BBs is 1200 BBs * $10.00 = $12,000.00
Now add that to the variance of being on a downswing........ and we come 360 degrees back to my question:
How large of a bankroll do you need to be chasing these small edges that is nothing but a guesstimate?
You talk about how they'll eat you alive if you're not properly rolled, but can you tell me what a proper roll is?