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Coronavirus has caused the postponement of the WSOP 2020! (Coronavirus quarantine thread) Coronavirus has caused the postponement of the WSOP 2020! (Coronavirus quarantine thread)
View Poll Results: Will the Corona Virus will alter their plans to attend WSOP this Summer (if it's not canceled)
Never planned on attending.
177 32.48%
Definitely wont attend.
112 20.55%
Probably wont attend.
93 17.06%
Probably will attend.
71 13.03%
Definitely will attend.
92 16.88%

03-15-2020 , 06:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VforVendetata
There's a little lack of clarity on the exact numbers, but in France like 50% of all those infected in ICU (So those needing critical care, not everybody) are under 50-60. This is an idea that might need some rethinking.

If only our governments would release the pure numbers, no jive, no nonsense, to everybody so that the armchair analysts can actually try to figure it out. Instead we get cherry-picked nonsense that needs to be approved by our respective intelligence and homeland security communities because the truth might be dangerous.
Already doctors are saying they will be prioritising on saving those with the best chance of survival, and letting the less strong die, so that would explain why in France like 50% of all those infected in ICU (So those needing critical care, not everybody) are under 50-60.
03-15-2020 , 06:40 PM
I've been following this link for a few weeks which provides a list of good daily and ytd statistical information.


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
03-15-2020 , 06:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Why
There you will see it is increasing an average of 29 - 35% a day in the US.

With US infections at 2,952, at 33% growth per day, in 7 days it will have infected 21,730.
A week later it would be 159,970.
In understand your concern, and your desire to show your mathematical prowess, but the speed of infection is constantly changing. The graphs of total infections over time start quite shallow, but grow exponentially (acceleration) until they reach an inflexion point where the speed of spread slows down as you near the peak, and then you start getting fewer cases per day than the day before.
The infection rate in the US might have grown 35% in the last 24 hours (I haven't looked it up, but I think it's somewhat less than that), but it might grow by 38% the next day, and then 40% the day after. Or the number might come down to 32, 28, 25 etc.
For the same reason, the "doubling rate" (how many days it takes for the total number of cases to double) is also changing.
A few weeks ago, the infection rate in Wuhan was doubling about every day and a half, while American deaths were only doubling every 12 days or so. Right now, the estimated doubling rate in China is 33 days and getting longer (because they are already over the peak, so it will take months before an additional 80,000 cases are added to the total). For other countries, the current numbers are:
South Korea : 13 days (apparently that country is just past the peak, so this number will rise, as the number of new cases per day falls).
Italy : 5 days (getting closer to its peak, as it was doubling much faster just a week ago).
Spain, UK, US, Germany, France, Netherlands: 3 days each (very rapid growth, with perhaps less than two weeks to go before the new cases are at peak growth rate, where the line on the graph stops going almost vertically up and flattens off instead).

(Source for doubling rates and a whole lot of other interesting data: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus)

It's incredibly hard to predict the final infection rate, let alone the death toll, because you won't know where you are on the graph until the epidemic is over. It's clearly not going to keep rising by 30% a day, however, since that would mean the exponentially growing graph tends toward an infinite number of cases. The population of the world is not infinite, ldo.

EDIT: A quick example that attempts to predict the future for Ireland is to plot its actual numbers, adjusted for total population, against Italy's from two weeks ago. All other things being equal (they aren't obviously, as each country has its own dynamics), I would expect the US graph to follow a similar trajectory, but I haven't done the math to calculate actual numbers.

Quote:
Originally Posted by EastCoastBalla
There are no medications for this as it is a virus.
I guess you've never heard of antivirals. What do you think people with HIV or flu are given for their illnesses? Covid treatment includes oxygen therapy, intubation, and antivirals. Of the latter, Chloroquine (an old antimalarial drug) and Remdesivir (an experimental medication used for Ebola among other things) are apparently producing best results, but several are being tested. There's no cure for Covid-19, but there are lots of treatments. There just might not be enough doctors or hospital beds available to supply them.

Last edited by ArtyMcFly; 03-15-2020 at 07:03 PM.
03-15-2020 , 06:57 PM
03-15-2020 , 07:04 PM
That's an awesome sit Arty. So the updates are like 1.5 or more days behind PST time?
It's just past midnight CET 3/16 now and shows 3/14 10am
03-15-2020 , 07:15 PM
03-15-2020 , 07:20 PM
1st vegas closing.



03-15-2020 , 07:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
That's an awesome sit Arty. So the updates are like 1.5 or more days behind PST time?
It's just past midnight CET 3/16 now and shows 3/14 10am
I think it may have closed down for the weekend, like some of the other sites I've been using.
03-15-2020 , 07:34 PM
All casinos in Ontario, Canada closing.
03-15-2020 , 08:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by R*R
I've been following this link for a few weeks which provides a list of good daily and ytd statistical information.


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
That site is currently showing almost 900,000 coronovirus deaths today, almost all in Vatican City.
03-15-2020 , 08:38 PM
^^ Confirmed: The Pope has mutated into the deadliest virus of our times.

Not sure if hacked, or someone with fat fingers typed in the wrong data.
03-15-2020 , 08:40 PM
Why are casinos (and some other businesses) announcing their going to close in 24/48/72/hours?

If there's a real danger, shouldn't they be closing immediately? They can do that and still provide service to any hotel guests that can't quickly relocate.
03-15-2020 , 08:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
Not sure if hacked, or someone with fat fingers typed in the wrong data.
Yeah, considering only about 1,000 people live there, and that's ~324,000 more deaths than cases, I'll go with error of some kind.

Edit to add: Already fixed. Back down to 1 active case, no deaths. Phew!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dynasty
Why are casinos (and some other businesses) announcing their going to close in 24/48/72/hours?

If there's a real danger, shouldn't they be closing immediately? They can do that and still provide service to any hotel guests that can't quickly relocate.
Sounds like they're trying to strike some medium between "people think we should close" and "but $$$". One can only hope part of their "but $$$" considerations was their employees, but even if that's the case, I'm not convinced this approach makes sense. 24 hours or less, I suppose I can see a case for. 72 hours, not so much.
03-15-2020 , 08:45 PM
I don't think they will be opening back up in 2 weeks like they say anyway. They say re evaluate then but no way. I really should go clean out my sportsbook app account but I don't feel like even walking in there.
03-15-2020 , 08:47 PM
03-15-2020 , 09:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jarretman
All casinos in Ontario, Canada closing.
I'm hearing everything is closing but gas/pharmacy/grocery in toronto.
03-15-2020 , 09:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rakemeplz
I'm hearing everything is closing but gas/pharmacy/grocery in toronto.
I'm in Toronto and haven't heard that, but wouldn't be surprised if we go on lock down this week
03-15-2020 , 09:14 PM
Looks like there will be news about Caesars properties tonight also. If so then that is the entire strip I believe except Sahara if they stay open. V, Palazzo, Trop and TI also.

03-15-2020 , 09:16 PM
Sahara looking to corner the walking dead market
03-15-2020 , 09:20 PM
So at least Rio and other properties closing the poker rooms until April 9th.
03-15-2020 , 09:20 PM
CDC recommended that for the next eight weeks there are no events that consist of 50 or more people throughout the United States. That would bring us to like mid May.
03-15-2020 , 09:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by R*R
I've been following this link for a few weeks which provides a list of good daily and ytd statistical information.


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
I like this one

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6


03-15-2020 , 09:29 PM
Gov just said any casino that stays open will do the new 3 chair max per blackjack table, etc. and each table must be cleaned every 2 hours.
03-15-2020 , 09:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Howard Treesong
Yes, although I think I saw a stat saying USA#9 has twice as many nurses per capita, which should help alleviate that problem.
Perhaps you missed my previous post where I asked if you would explain the term "USA#9", so I renew my request.
03-15-2020 , 09:33 PM
5 max poker now. lol


      
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