Quote:
Originally Posted by RobFarha
Noone has a small winrate on this forum though.
1/2 minimum is 20$/hr, 2/5 minimum is 40$/hr. No one wins any less and definitely no one is a losing player.
Don't think I've seen anyone post anything smaller.
My question is why on earth would someone remain at 1/2 if they beat it for that much?
10bb/hr is absolutely crushing IMO.
Gotta agree with this.
So here's some numbers:
2316.8 hour sample, mostly $1/2 or $1/3, < 10 hrs $25, and a few small ball donkaments.
$4.91/hr, Std Dev = $63.33
That's from July 2008 when I started playing live until now.
Includes a lot of initial learning process, and a nasty $6k downswing this year, but shouldn't be all that un-normal for a rec player with mostly weekend hours.
Before the big downswing I was at about $8/hr over just under 2000 hrs.
If I cherrypicked out a couple of 300 hour stretches I'm sure I could get $25-30/hr in one of them.
When I look room by room, there are places where I have 50-200 hours at $20/hr, or -$5/hr, or $0.23/hr. Which just re-enforces what we already know about game selection being important. I can SEE my Vegas trips on the graph as blips of higher winrates.
By no means will I claim to be crushing $1/2, I had some serious flaws in my game when I started, and I still have leaks/lost value that I'm working to get rid of. But I have a really hard time believing a $24+/hr winrate at $1/2 over a large sample, not in a generic casino outside Vegas or AC anyway. Watching some of the other regs where I play, particularly the good ones, leads me to believe that $15/hr is completely possible, and $20 would be on the high side of sustainable.
Then again, maybe my perception of this is horribly skewed by being stuck in Michigan where everyone's broke.