Quote:
Originally Posted by mpethybridge
good luck, you'll need it. The evidence about the warming since 1998 is uncontroverted;
Um, wrong.
A lot of global warming research was done in the 90s, but since you claim its reversed since 1998, I limited myself to recent studies and articles.
"Uncontroverted" is easily dismissed. Even if you don't believe the EPA, NOAA is pretty bad ass and certainly they have some credibility.
Here's a link to where they discuss how the warming is not an even warming across the globe, meaning some locations have cooled, but that overall, across the world, its getting warmer.
A simple google search turned up peer-reviewed and internationally accepted studies from the last few years with evidence of global warming, such as
NRC, 2006. I didn't read the whole thing either, but I'll save you some time.
OK, maybe not enough granularity for you. "Its cooling the last ten years." Here is their summary of findings on
recent effects.
Quote:
It can be said with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries. This statement is justified by the consistency of the evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies.
Or there is
IPCC, 2007. Again, I haven't read it all, but I'll quote parts of the summary of their findings.
Quote:
[*] The average surface temperature of the Earth is likely to increase by 2 to 11.5°F (1.1-6.4°C) by the end of the 21st century, relative to 1980-1990, with a best estimate of 3.2 to 7.2°F (1.8-4.0°C) (see Figure 1). The average rate of warming over each inhabited continent is very likely to be at least twice as large as that experienced during the 20th century.[*] Warming will not be evenly distributed around the globe
How about NASA?
Hansen et al, 2005 finding that the Earth is gaining .85 Watts per square meter, the energy imbalance from what is trapped and what is radiated. Leading into how measures of greenhouse gases and atmospheric temperatures are inadequate to describe climate changes (
link).
This isn't the "preponderance" of research I wanted, just what I found on first look with google in response to you. Now, I know not
everyone agrees. And I found this rather interesting and balanced
article about how and why the effect of, and "danger" from, global warming is often exaggerated. It does a good deal to explain some of the Gore-blowback I'm seeing in this thread (for the record, I like the guy, but I haven't seen his movie). Yes, even some (few) scientists disagree, especially about the scale and effect of climate change. But it is real.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mpethybridge
I do not believe that the world is in a long term warming trend
See, that's the thing. To "believe" otherwise you have to only pay attention to some datapoints, and disregard the vast majority. You have to ignore the observed reality. You have to blind yourself to the facts and models. You have to enter a state of non-thinking and put "faith" in the idea that humans cannot change the climate.
I'm not asking you to become a flaming liberal like me. I am asking you to admit to yourself that there is evidence that the world's climate is changing, and that humans can affect that change.
Postscript: The fact that folks in this thread see a need to change how we use energy even if they don't see the world like me heartens me, and supports my comment that getting off oil is a cause that can be embraced by all. And yes, its a complicated subject with much complexity (surely much of which we don't even know about yet) and many vagaries. I'm not even arguing the minutia, just making my attempt to point out how absurd it is to say "pfft, there's no global warming."
$0.02