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Old 02-02-2009, 10:59 AM   #151
Bostik
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

I have delayed my shots at 50NL on purpose, knowing that I need a psychological safety margin. Basically I'm taking my shots once I have 25 buy-ins. Even if I take a severe beating for 4BI, it won't affect my bankroll that much.

Then, knowing that I can climb back up from the $1k mark with relative ease, I can just rebuild at a level I'm definitely comfortable at.

Taking shots -> getting owned -> moving back down -> I still have bankroll to weather a downswing.

As for everything in life, the basic principle applies: hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
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Old 02-02-2009, 11:03 AM   #152
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

My principle is more: Go for the best, prepare for the best

50NL really doesn't play that different then 25NL, maybe some more good regulars but really, it's not like all of a sudden everybody is making fancy places and is 3-betting you with air and *****

if you can beat 25NL with a good BB/100 and you having a winning style for a certain amount of hands, you will have a winning style at 50NL

I love the thread from Pokey about this subject
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Old 02-02-2009, 11:04 AM   #153
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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Originally Posted by TheDataKid View Post
My principle is more: Go for the best, prepare for the best

50NL really doesn't play that different then 25NL, maybe some more good regulars but really, it's not like all of a sudden everybody is making fancy places and is 3-betting you with air and *****

if you can beat 25NL with a good BB/100 and you having a winning style for a certain amount of hands, you will have a winning style at 50NL

I love the thread from Pokey about this subject
Link it kid!

<----- To lazy to search right now
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Old 02-02-2009, 11:08 AM   #154
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/show...Number=7392389
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Old 02-02-2009, 11:10 AM   #155
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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thanks
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Old 02-02-2009, 12:22 PM   #156
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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such a frustrating session...i can never get ne thing going
lol, I'll email you a graph of my last 28k hands.
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Old 02-02-2009, 12:26 PM   #157
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

everybody running bad again? haha
it's that period of the year?
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Old 02-02-2009, 12:43 PM   #158
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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everybody running bad again? haha
it's that period of the year?
YES
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Old 02-02-2009, 12:44 PM   #159
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?
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Old 02-02-2009, 12:53 PM   #160
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?
If you flop a set, it's 50/50 - you are either crushed by a higher set or he will spike a two outer with his overpair on the river.


No really, I've heard if you flop a set, it's something like 1% that they also have a set.

I might be way off with this one.
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Old 02-02-2009, 12:58 PM   #161
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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brag: snow! and lots of it!
Its sick isn't it!

Actually feels like a proper winter.
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:04 PM   #162
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

come live here, we have winter al winter long, I hate it
way to cold for me,
I am going to live in Spain or something when I make money playing the pokah

you got internet there too, i heard
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:15 PM   #163
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?
1/100 times or 1% of the time.
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:23 PM   #164
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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everybody running bad again? haha
it's that period of the year?
Won 4 BI yesterday in ~790 hands, but I'm a contrary indicator.

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Originally Posted by PokerRon247 View Post
For the maths/stats guys.... how often are you supposed to run into set over set?
That depends a lot as to whether you are set mining with low pairs.

If you and you opponents are playing any pair from any position, and you flop bottom set, in Full Ring by the river it's something like 9% , according to Aarron Brown. On the flop, using his reasoning, it's (6/990)*9 = 5.4%.

Edit: maybe that should be (6/990)*8 for 9 handed FR?
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:27 PM   #165
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

And you flop a set about 1 in 150 hands right?
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:27 PM   #166
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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So how is it's called Football
Why is American soccer European foolball but American football isn't European soccer?
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:30 PM   #167
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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And you flop a set about 1 in 150 hands right?
Um, 1 in 7 times. Are you playing pairs too aggressively and folding out all the villains pre-flop?
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:32 PM   #168
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

one in 7 times you have a pair. and you have a pair one in 17. looks like... hmmm 1 in 119 to me or so if you play every pair
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:34 PM   #169
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

I mean 1 in every 150 hands you are dealt, not every pp
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:37 PM   #170
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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one in 7 times you have a pair. and you have a pair one in 17. looks like... hmmm 1 in 119 to me or so if you play every pair
Oh right, I was thinking of "hands" in terms of hands we are set mining with to begin with.

Edit: Yeah Ron, 1 in 150 is well withing a standard deviation or so here, AFAIK. Keep in mind I got a gentleman's C in high school statistics though....
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:38 PM   #171
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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one in 7 times you have a pair. and you have a pair one in 17. looks like... hmmm 1 in 119 to me or so if you play every pair
So by that reckoning you will get set vs set approx every 12k hands. Less if you reckon in that you don't play every pp.

Just checking cos it's happened to me about 5 times in the last 2k hands and I didn't remember it ever happening so often.
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:43 PM   #172
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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I just looked at the January results thread in the ssfr forum. I'm depressed now.
God, I need to start playing poker again. I ****ing hate having a job. I suppose not being homeless is cool and all, but sometimes I wonder.


Also, mpethy, you are an oak.
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:44 PM   #173
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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My point was that if you valuetown yourself against a drooler who happens to hit the top of his range and you can't shrug it off, you're playing outside of your psychological bankroll, no matter how many buyins you got.
I'd rather be playing outside of my psychological bankroll and playing against opponents who are outside of their psychological bankroll than completely the other way around.
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:47 PM   #174
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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God, I need to start playing poker again. I ****ing hate having a job. I suppose not being homeless is cool and all, but sometimes I wonder.


Also, mpethy, you are an oak.
QFT. This is not what I signed up for.....

Of course, maybe I should just be happy I'm employed???

ido.
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Old 02-02-2009, 01:48 PM   #175
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Re: *****Official February "greatest place on the interwebs" Chat Thread!*****

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Why is American soccer European foolball but American football isn't European soccer?
WTF is up with touchbacks and safeties??
A safety is like a touchdown, but backwards.
A touchback is when the ball is downed in the endzone safely.

And I'm not even going to mention Canadian Bacon.
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