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'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters '07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters

07-01-2020 , 08:17 AM
Well played, Kukra. Thanks for leading us for the most part of the week, but now we gotta figure it out ourselves.

Quote:
Originally Posted by VoraciousMother
[B]


Still Alive:
aaronk56
atakdog
gusmhler
Felix The Cat
jonnyd
Nicholasp27
YouKnowWho
Is there a mechanic where if I find a wolf on d1 and try to tell everyone for a week but he is still alive, you just remove him from a live player list? That would be great, actually!
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 08:29 AM
Quote:
Hi, is there a problem with the player list?
Not really, but there IS a problem with the mod. She spent too much time this morning not doing stuff instead of preparing and inhaling her caffeine and as a result is still only half awake despite having been up since 4 am.

Player list should be correct now, thank you.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 08:33 AM
Day 7: Automated Votals from #3526 to #3527


Not voting (9): aaronk56 (0), atakdog (0), Felix the Cat (0), gusmahler (0), jonnyd (0), KruZe (0), Nicholasp27 (0), YouKnowWho (0), UNVOTE (0)

Phase ends in 12h26m. Hammer at 5.

<Beta v0.1.8>
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 08:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by KruZe

I've been miskilled recently as a villa (mafia champs 7) when I tried to actively solve the game early, mostly my fault because I'm not that great at getting people to follow me/who I push and a lot of the time people end up turning on me and them I'm ded.

I felt it going in that direction day 1 and instead of trying to defend myself in the early game for making bad reads, I decided to have some fun and roleplay a bit and hope that people leave me alone until later when I have more info and can make more informed reads. It worked according to plan, and here I am half raptor, half KruZe, alive. rawwr
IIRC, we are yet to solve the question of who won the second place in that roleplay minigame, but the consensus was that it must have been a wolf. I didn't remember Kruze stating anything about participating or winning in that contest, but this seems to indicate that he at least participated?

KruZe, did you participate and did you win anything?

Quote:
Originally Posted by KruZe
busy working on other things irl

I don't feel at risk of being killed today

I shared who I think are wolves and there seems to be a pretty consensus agreement, especially around river/crossnerd

So I'm fine focusing on those two at the moment, and evaluate my unknowns at a later time.
This entire post might as well say HOWL. Has any villager ever in this world thought "I don't feel at risk of being killed today"? Why would any villager have this thought? When you are a villager, you know you are a villager, and a thought of "I am at risk of being killed today" does not even enter your head, because your job is to find wolves, not preserve yourself.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 08:40 AM
******************************** DEAD ********************************



Good luck village!

******************************** STILL DEAD ********************************
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 09:34 AM
Day 7: Automated Votals from #3528 to #3530


Not voting (9): aaronk56 (0), atakdog (0), Felix the Cat (0), gusmahler (0), jonnyd (0), KruZe (0), Nicholasp27 (0), YouKnowWho (1), UNVOTE (0)

Phase ends in 11h25m. Hammer at 5.

<Beta v0.1.8>
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 09:50 AM
Good Morning!

I think Kruze is the way to go today.

I'm going to spend some time looking at him, atak and Felix.

It feels like Kruze has been in anti-spew mode for days.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:12 AM
I am here for a bit. Kruze has been frustrating, for the obvious reasons. Problem is I know I've seen him be this frustrating when he's village, but maybe the contest thing that ykw mentioned helps.


ykw, I don't recall there being consensus about the contest. (there may well have been but I don't remember and may no have read it.) It is obvious that he participated and given that the criteria were basically "make the mods laugh", kruze may have won. What do we know about what was won there? (that's to anyone)
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by YouKnowWho
This entire post might as well say HOWL. Has any villager ever in this world thought "I don't feel at risk of being killed today"? Why would any villager have this thought? When you are a villager, you know you are a villager, and a thought of "I am at risk of being killed today" does not even enter your head, because your job is to find wolves, not preserve yourself.
No, I don't agree. And I know because I've had the same thoughts, this very game. As I contemplated a nasty schedule the past few days I have found myself wondering how important it was to rearrange stuff in order to spend a little time here itt, and thinking "they don't seem to have me on the block yet, so tomorrow will be ok too." My job is find wolves, yes, but especially on e.g., the crossfox day when it seems abundantly clear that finding wolves could happen the following day too, I definitely considered this in my posting. (I have still posted about as much as I reasonably could, and though everyone seems to believe I'm low content, I am trying to do what I can. So I'm not saying his behavior is the same as mine; I'm saying that this isn't necessarily a wolf thought.)


I still suspect he's a wolf, ftr, just saying thsi analysis doesn't prove it.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:22 AM
hey guys im here. doing some reading for now and will share some thoughts. going out to lunch in a bit so will be afk some but will be around for the afternoon
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:24 AM
hopefully felix can post today?
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
ykw, I don't recall there being consensus about the contest. (there may well have been but I don't remember and may no have read it.) It is obvious that he participated and given that the criteria were basically "make the mods laugh", kruze may have won. What do we know about what was won there? (that's to anyone)
kruze didn't win. He may have came in second.

jdalla claimed he won and the claim was never countered.

Quote:
Originally Posted by JDalla
*************** CLAIM *********************

I won the contest.

I shot shortline99, the most obvious wolf ever

My shot failed.

Either the wolf JOAT protected him or the wolf roleblocker correctly targeted me. Given I was making the case nonstop for Shorty yesterday, either outcome here suggests he is an important wolf to them.

I'll note I laid out the case very clearly yesterday and he had zero defense but everyone pretty much ignored it except crackedquads who made some of the points himself.

Anything but killing shortline99 today is basically the village giving up
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:39 AM
Day 7: Automated Votals from #3531 to #3537


Not voting (9): aaronk56 (1), atakdog (2), Felix the Cat (0), gusmahler (1), jonnyd (2), KruZe (0), Nicholasp27 (0), YouKnowWho (1), UNVOTE (0)

Phase ends in 10h20m. Hammer at 5.

<Beta v0.1.8>
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:46 AM
I have been trying to figure felix out because he seems at times to have already decided I'm a wolf, so that's what I notice most about him. I've gone partnway back and am feeling better about much of his stuff, as ghe progressions seem villagery to me. But I did notice this oddity:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Felix the Cat
If he's a wolf he knows that most or all of the people he could plausibly counterclaim against are also wolves. The RB possibilities are 2 lock clear villas, jonnyd, me, and whoever's villa out of the remainder. If the remaining villas are like aaronk/YKW/nich I think he can correctly reason that we're ~never voting for his counterclaim. Counterclaiming only really helps if RB is exactly sixfour/Crossnerd/KruZe I think. So preemptively claiming villa makes sense to me as a level if those are 3/3 of his wolf teammates. At this point I think we're really sure that Crossnerd is wolf, sixfour seems almost certainly wolf (say 90%), KruZe is a wolf pretty often, so "atakdog can usefully counterclaim RB" doesn't have very much equity.
This is about me, of course, and my claiming vanilla early on the day when it appeared the wolf vig may have been blocked. (Possible even if they'd targeted tokyo, as tey wouldn't know whether it failed.) Felix discounts the value of my allowing for the possibility of a counterclaim, saying that if cross/64/kruze are wolves with me I wouldn't have anyone useful to counterclaim against.


But there's someone he forgot: Himself. Could felix have plausibly considered himself so clear that wolf-me would completely discount the possibility of countering a blocker claim from him? Maybe I've misread the sense of the thread (entirely possible) but I don't think so. Felix seems first to be assuming that he has three known wolves in order to discount something from me, which isn't a totally wolfy thing to do because villagers tunnel all the time and in any case those three sure look(ed) to be wolves, but surely he'd consider a claim against himself to be at least an interesting possibility to consider. Unless he knew it were impossible.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Felix the Cat
Wasn't it one of you who warned us yesterday (or 2 days ago?) of atak swooping in to claim villa captaincy? (it could have been dmk, I just remember a clear villa saying it)

He hasn't even claimed villa captaincy, but we should keep in mind he's entirely capable of posting well for a day or two as a wolf at must-shun.

IMO he's not even posting well, go re-skim his posts since the RB claim. Beyond not literally claiming wolf and doing a decent job of being confused about mechanics he's adding almost no information to the thread. As villa I'd think he'd want to find and push the wolf team - if only for pride's sake.
This isn't nearly as important, but it's an example of the frustrating tunneling I've seen. I am not confused, I am doing a decent job of being confused — that's propaganda.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Felix the Cat
and the other point is that if we merge all of our "wolf list 1"s the list is too long, we still have to clear like 2 villas, so we can't safely put atak at the end of our joint "wolf list 1" for good behavior or whatever

so we don't have room to 'resolve' people before atak, either our joint "wolf list 1" is exactly the wolf team, or we have to eliminate wolfiest -> less wolfiest. I'm fine with sixfour > atakdog but thus far atak's posting today hasn't really moved the needle for me, he's still basically lock wolf. As I see it he was already like 90% wolf - the only reason it's not 100% is that there are too many wolves and not enough villas clearing themselves - and Kukra's claim only reinforces that view for me.
The proof for me being a lock wolf is, as far as I can tell, merely that I haven't done much for the village. Maybe for felix that's lock-wolf material but it's ungood reasoning.


As I said above, a lot of what I see seems villagery but this stuff is why I'm having trouble being objective.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gusmahler
kruze didn't win. He may have came in second.

jdalla claimed he won and the claim was never countered.
So what's this about consensus being that second place went to a wolf if there was a second place? Kruze was sort of funny so that would be possible; did we see an unexplained event?
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:50 AM
We had three clear villagers and have been treating three others (aaron, jonny, and nich) as almost clear, letting the 6 of them control the last 3 days. Wolves barely even tried the last three days. With no power roles (everyone ran out of shots), they seemed to care more about getting rid of the actually cleared villagers then having two of their brethren surviving. If that meant accepting that aaron, jonny, and nich are cleared, then so be it.

It's now 5 v 3. From a pure logic perspective, is it possible that all 3 are villagers? Is it one or two of them that are wolves? If it's three, can we even win?

Crap, I think everyone has a good shot at being a wolf (except me, of course).
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 10:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gusmahler
It's now 5 v 3. From a pure logic perspective, is it possible that all 3 are villagers? Is it one or two of them that are wolves? If it's three, can we even win?

Crap, I think everyone has a good shot at being a wolf (except me, of course).
i dont think i follow on the first statement, can you expand

if the 2nd statement is true do you mind expanding on why everyone has a good shot at being a wolf person by person
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 11:08 AM
Gus, I don't understand when you say "they seemed to care more about getting rid of the actually cleared villagers then having two of their brethren surviving." I agree that nobody seems to have defended the past to wolves to be expunged, but they'd have been pretty hard to defend.


(I've also noted that it's weird that there was no pushback and that that suggests that they think they have a path to victory and are just trying not to upset the apple cart for now, but I think you're saying something different. But are you?)
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 11:13 AM
I have to work for a while but will be able to check in later.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 11:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jonnyd
i dont think i follow on the first statement, can you expand

if the 2nd statement is true do you mind expanding on why everyone has a good shot at being a wolf person by person
It was 7 to 5. The two cleareds basically teamed with you and aaron and nich and agreed to get cross and 64. As atak said, the wolves think they have a path to victory and were perfectly fine to allow that to happen.

Does that happen if all of aaron, jonny, nich are villagers? I don't know, and have to think it through. It's possible that they all are. But is it likely?

The 2nd statement was from a logic, game state analysis perspective, not a read perspective. I have to do a re-read.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 11:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
(I've also noted that it's weird that there was no pushback and that that suggests that they think they have a path to victory and are just trying not to upset the apple cart for now, but I think you're saying something different. But are you?)
That's basically what I meant. The wolves didn't care about the last three days, so didn't try. Why? I don't know. And that's worrisome.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 11:39 AM
Day 7: Automated Votals from #3538 to #3546


Not voting (9): aaronk56 (1), atakdog (6), Felix the Cat (0), gusmahler (4), jonnyd (3), KruZe (0), Nicholasp27 (0), YouKnowWho (1), UNVOTE (0)

Phase ends in 9h20m. Hammer at 5.

<Beta v0.1.8>
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 12:44 PM
Day 7: Automated Votals from #3547 to #3547


Not voting (9): aaronk56 (1), atakdog (6), Felix the Cat (0), gusmahler (4), jonnyd (3), KruZe (0), Nicholasp27 (0), YouKnowWho (1), UNVOTE (0)

Phase ends in 8h15m. Hammer at 5.

<Beta v0.1.8>
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 12:56 PM
Dead thread is dead
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
07-01-2020 , 01:12 PM
just got back from lunch. sorry. AK do you want to talk?
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote

      
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