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'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters '07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters

06-29-2020 , 06:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wdcbooks
I have PMed the wolves and asked them to kill me first. Good luck with this mess.
Yeah you probably die first and I dont like it.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:21 PM
I may or may not have completely changed my mind on atak in just one page, after calling him a wolf for 4 days and confirming it through game mechanics.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:22 PM
This feels line shortline all over again.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:23 PM
I am really starting to think Atak may be villa. I need to explain why in case I am killed.

It is not only plausible that the wolves went after Tokyo, it is probable. Iwould put him at the top of a list of best villagers I have ever played with and it was immediately clear he was going to be a pain in the ass if left alive.

I have been in many situations where I thought someone was a wolf and then things changed and I was reluctant to change my mind because I didn’t want to be owned. I did that this game with Luckbox (not with Shorty, I thought he was a wolf to the end). So if I decide the mechanics are not convincing I look at Atakdog’s choices today.

If he is a wolf then first, he doesn’t choose the obvious path of counterclaim. What I would have expected is that he just gives up. He has been on the block for ages and there are a bunch more teammates. Why not just go into anti-spew? He may be amazing at this, but i am starting to think the only way his reaction makes sense is if he is a villager. Is that insane?
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kukraprout
This feels line shortline all over again.
I promise not to yell at anyone in postgame no matter what you choose. I think with sixfour and crossnerd we can at least buy some time.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wdcbooks
I dont want to give the wolves a roadmap, but I am not sure I am ready to vote atakdog despite the overwhelming reasons why I should.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kukraprout
Came back for an angleshooty thought: maybe I'm more likely to be made aware that I submitted 2 consecutive atak blocks if atak actually has an action.
Wasn't it one of you who warned us yesterday (or 2 days ago?) of atak swooping in to claim villa captaincy? (it could have been dmk, I just remember a clear villa saying it)

He hasn't even claimed villa captaincy, but we should keep in mind he's entirely capable of posting well for a day or two as a wolf at must-shun.

IMO he's not even posting well, go re-skim his posts since the RB claim. Beyond not literally claiming wolf and doing a decent job of being confused about mechanics he's adding almost no information to the thread. As villa I'd think he'd want to find and push the wolf team - if only for pride's sake.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:33 PM
like yeah, I know this wolf team is setting world records for low effort wolfing, but writing a few hundred words about mechanics is entirely within... basically everyone's wolf range, honestly, and atak's in particular.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:34 PM
Atak Isn’t really captaining tho

Idk maybe he saw binkles blueprint on how to win this villa over and is following it but idk

Idk
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:42 PM
[b]crossnerd
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Felix the Cat
Hi!

aaronk56, why did you snap vote this morning knowing that a claim would be resolved today? Crossnerd is a wolf but she's not a mechanically confirmed wolf, and this morning there was a nonzero chance she either is RB or would claim RB and spew a bit. I even pointed this out late yesterday (albeit briefly and slightly cryptically because it was a :00 post).
Yeah, then I change my vote, they weren't locked.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:43 PM
Useless phone

crossnerd and hopefully we're back tomorrow
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:47 PM
Day 5: Automated Votals from #3238 to #3261

Crossnerd (4): aaronk56 (15), YouKnowWho (10), Kukraprout (39), sixfour (5)
Not voting (9): atakdog (21), Crossnerd (0), Felix the Cat (4), gusmahler (2), jonnyd (40), KruZe (3), Nicholasp27 (11), wdcbooks (16), UNVOTE (0)

Phase ends in 2h12m. Hammer at 7.

Vote history:
Spoiler:
YouKnowWho (1): Crossnerd
Kukraprout (1): Crossnerd
sixfour (1): Crossnerd

<Beta v0.1.8>
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:47 PM
Books: I have no idea if tokyo makes sense as a n1 spk, I dont know him. We should check if he makes sense as a seer hunt kill. He may have looked like he peeked quads wolf. Maybe he gives us a seer-hunt cleared villager. See where that takes us.

In the tokyo theory, all the kills are accounted for and my blocks are not damning at all for atak.

Wolves: that's my plan for tomorrow instead you're wondering.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:47 PM
I knew this game would **** up my sleep schedule.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wdcbooks
I am really starting to think Atak may be villa. I need to explain why in case I am killed.

It is not only plausible that the wolves went after Tokyo, it is probable. Iwould put him at the top of a list of best villagers I have ever played with and it was immediately clear he was going to be a pain in the ass if left alive.

I have been in many situations where I thought someone was a wolf and then things changed and I was reluctant to change my mind because I didn’t want to be owned. I did that this game with Luckbox (not with Shorty, I thought he was a wolf to the end). So if I decide the mechanics are not convincing I look at Atakdog’s choices today.

If he is a wolf then first, he doesn’t choose the obvious path of counterclaim. What I would have expected is that he just gives up. He has been on the block for ages and there are a bunch more teammates. Why not just go into anti-spew? He may be amazing at this, but i am starting to think the only way his reaction makes sense is if he is a villager. Is that insane?
If he's a wolf he knows that most or all of the people he could plausibly counterclaim against are also wolves. The RB possibilities are 2 lock clear villas, jonnyd, me, and whoever's villa out of the remainder. If the remaining villas are like aaronk/YKW/nich I think he can correctly reason that we're ~never voting for his counterclaim. Counterclaiming only really helps if RB is exactly sixfour/Crossnerd/KruZe I think. So preemptively claiming villa makes sense to me as a level if those are 3/3 of his wolf teammates. At this point I think we're really sure that Crossnerd is wolf, sixfour seems almost certainly wolf (say 90%), KruZe is a wolf pretty often, so "atakdog can usefully counterclaim RB" doesn't have very much equity.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tokyo!!
Getting crushed by work today, will not be around much, but back for EOD.

I have no idea what DMK is doing. His posts about birdman and me being a lock villager make no sense to me. I think i always post with a bit of a wolfy tone, so anybody snap clearing me concerns me lol. For example, johnnyd's reaction to me is the type i would expect from most.

Biggerboat's posts today are far more villagery than yesterday.

Riverfish is playing quite spastic, i think he has accused basically everyone in this game. I looked at the aborted game and he was way more jokey and had lots of w/w interactions with Dustin. While his gameplay this game I don't think has been very helpful, it does differ from last game in that it appears more focused on actually finding wolves (at least he does not appear to be w/w Dustin/dmk if they are), and so that seems to trend to villager. But if I recall from a decade ago, he is good enough to post villagery as a wolf, so whatevs.

Lotta neutrals who are either not posting, or are low content posting. I'd expect the SK or wolf/villa vig in these groups given the extra fire power and the lack of desire to have attention. I would not be opposed to getting a wagon on any of those (coordi, gus, crossnerd, nichp (has he even posted?)).

The big grouping of dustin/jdalla/aao/traz/shortline are all kinda meh to me.

villagers:
birdman, sun tzu, wdcbooks

lean villa:
crackedquads, kukra, johnnyD, riverfish

lean wolf:
sixfour (has he even posted since early yesterday?)
aaronk
kruze
JDalla
dmk

Did not like Jdalla's 399 and 418 posts, nor his earlier ones on Day 0, but I'd rather see if folks will go dmk.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tokyo!!
crackedquads

peacekeeper - please mute dustin again today.
Tokyo makes a read post close to when he leaves the thread on Day 1 and has crackedquads - lean villager.

First post of Day 2 - he votes crackedquads. Night 2 could have the missing wolf kill, if we assume JOAT qould go peek, kill.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Felix the Cat
If he's a wolf he knows that most or all of the people he could plausibly counterclaim against are also wolves. The RB possibilities are 2 lock clear villas, jonnyd, me, and whoever's villa out of the remainder. If the remaining villas are like aaronk/YKW/nich I think he can correctly reason that we're ~never voting for his counterclaim. Counterclaiming only really helps if RB is exactly sixfour/Crossnerd/KruZe I think. So preemptively claiming villa makes sense to me as a level if those are 3/3 of his wolf teammates. At this point I think we're really sure that Crossnerd is wolf, sixfour seems almost certainly wolf (say 90%), KruZe is a wolf pretty often, so "atakdog can usefully counterclaim RB" doesn't have very much equity.
so given this do you think its worth resolving them before atak?
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:59 PM
I can see how it's more apparent to me since I read this all in one sitting while most of you read it piece by piece in real time.

Here are all of atakdog's posts since the RB claim. I think it's pretty clear what's going on here if you read them all together.

Posts: 18
Wolves identified: 0
Villas cleared: 0
Live people talked about: 1 cleared villa (Kukra)
Times it was helpfully clarified that he'd totally never do this as the wolf vig: 1

If that ain't anti-spew mode I don't know what is.

Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Because I have no powers. I have no counter claim; maybe I was blocked, but then I have no idea why a kill seems to be missing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Voting me off the island is a loss. I haven't followed all the mechanics but if you're using a mechanical argument to justify voting me, there's an error in it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Wolf vig gets one kill randed as a miss. So if I were wolf vig and no kill happened, I wouldn't know I was blocked, but I would know it was possible. I wouldn't disclaim the possibility of being the blocker, in case an uncleared player turned out to be the blocker and I could have a claim/counterclaim fight.


I'm vanilla village.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
I just looked over the roleset. (No, I hadn't looked carefully before.) I don't get it. If there were apparent wolf vig kills nights one and two, but none nights three and four, and the blocker blocked me nights three and four, then wtf. I have no explanation that sounds at all reasonable.


I think I'm left with either wolves submitted some night actions but not the block, which is implausible as an accident and weird fps to be pulling when they were cruising along so well; wolves actually blocked their own vigilante, but that would make sense only if there were village tracker who could see actions' targets; and


Yeah wtf.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
^ I meant wolves submitted night actions but not the vig kill. Still makes no sense.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Doesn't look like the withdrawn power (mods' note this morning) could affect it either: the note says a player was "supposed to earn a power", which doesn't sound like it would apply to an extant vig kill. Plus it appears likely that the lost power was lost to the village, not the wolves.


I got nothin else.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Kukra, you're 100% sure you submitted both nights? And targeted me?
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
I thought kukra was clear, but I guess I was confused. Was just assuming he is village because he's uncountered.


Another possibility, maybe, is that the wolf vig targeted tokyo Friday night. I can't tell from the roleset writeups whether he would have left the game victorious after a third kill, if he was also targeted for death. Seems unlikely.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Probably not against kukra, but if I were the vig and knew I'd been blocked, it would be dumb to disclaim any possibility of a counterclaim before I even knew who the blocker was.


I am trying to figure it out. Something is very weird.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Lol I hadn't noticed that the SK is immune to wolf nightkills. It seems a pretty small needle to thread, but that means the only explanation I have is that the wolf vig targeted Tokyo, that fialed because he's immune (but would have succeeded otherwise), and then had his/her kill fail last night because of the rand.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
If kukra is a wolf, the actual roleblocker knows it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
I think I would find my tokyo-kill scenario more likely than kukra wolf, crossfox village roleblocker, and the latter not bothering to mention it today. (That last part I buy, not the rest.)


iirc bigger used the same language for two of the apparent peeks, I think coordi and dmk, and different language for kukra. But when a seer says someone is lock clear never voting ever, which I think it was, that's usually worth following. (Duh.) (Once upon a time seers used to do that ****, but I think it stopped long, long ago.)
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Oh right. Kukra, why did you imply I might clear myself if you had evidence that you believed established that I had to be a power wolf?


And to YKW: No, not really. I just know something's wrong.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Wolf roleblocker is dead, right?
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
But the only one who would make sense to claim blocker is the vig who got blocked, right? A different wolf claiming might buy a day, but that outs a second wolf in addition to the already-outed vig, which would be really dumb at mustlynch. On the other hand if I were a blocked vig I would know I needed to claim blocker; given that I didn't know who blocked me, I'd probably just wait around and see if anyone claimed, then counter and say I'd been afk. I would think that if you'd (in your mind) absolutely caught the wolf vig you'd announce it right up front, to make a counterclaim awkward. (Seriously, you were worried that I could out-claim you?)


Just doesn't make sense. But I get that it's not wolfy-nonsense, it just doesn't scan.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
I realize this and have no idea what miracle I am hoping for.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Not that it is going to be all that convincing, but I had no idea about it either. I had started to read the roleset and then been like, okee doke, vanilla plus lotsa stuff. I'll sort it out later.


I didn't even know a kill was missing.


But wolves would know what had happened and considered the possibilities.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atakdog
Looks reasonable, kukra. I would have played it differently today but ok.


But I'm not a wolf. Not any type of wolf.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 06:59 PM
Jonny really has the tough decision. Assume they kill Kukra and me in the next two nights and we take down crossnerd and sixfour. I would the urge everyone to follow Jonny and could go Kruze, Atak or someone else.
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 07:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aaronk56
Yeah, then I change my vote, they weren't locked.


His point is if you are villa voting villa roleblocker then wolves coulda just come in and all majoritied cn and won the game

Please refrain from voting early in future days; it only helps the wolves
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 07:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wdcbooks
Jonny really has the tough decision. Assume they kill Kukra and me in the next two nights and we take down crossnerd and sixfour. I would the urge everyone to follow Jonny and could go Kruze, Atak or someone else.
oh god lets just cfd books lol
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 07:04 PM
The missing wolf kill is n3 or else atak was roleblocked

Tokyo kill to clear atak can only be n3

I’m almost done with yard so I can get on and make the definitive post to clear up once and for all the nks so people can stop guessing
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 07:04 PM
if i was a wolf i would already be voting crossnerd, just sayin'
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 07:05 PM
all kidding aside youre right tho i kind of saw that coming this weekend and after river flipped villa i was just like... why is it never easy
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote
06-29-2020 , 07:06 PM
sixfour not bc i wanna yeet him over xnerd but bc i feel like a second wagon isnt the worst thing in the world to have
'07-'09 REUNION - REDUX: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead: Battle of the Minor Characters Quote

      
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