Quote:
Originally Posted by willie24
wait, what is he saying? the whole thing makes sense except for the first and last sentences, right?
No, he's somehow looking at the % of the time you win outright if you go for it and make it, but not adding the % of time you still win even if you don't make it.
So if you go for it you make it and win outright 60% of the time. But the other 40% of the time that you go for it and don't make it, you still win 47% of the that.
So you add 60% to (40%*47%) = 78.9% (using his numbers).
It's just like deciding whether or not to shove in a SNG. Some of the time they fold and you take the blinds uncontested. Some of the time they call and you're still 40% vs. their range.
It's just math. There is no argument against it - 'bifurcate' notwithstanding.