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NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy

11-09-2016 , 03:22 PM
11-09-2016 , 03:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sect7G
Won at 5-1. And I'd have accepted 3-1 odds as it's not surprising. Ask any voter 2 weeks ago who they'd vote for and if the answer was Hillary they'd say so. Anyone who said Trump also would say so.
Anyone who said I'm not sure yada yada is lying. They knew they were voting for Trump but were too ashamed to admit it.

America will improve slightly or utterly collapse in the next 4 years. Hillary is a safe bet that it would continue to slowly decline... much like Obama.
For opponents of Trump and anyone who's opposed to the 2 party failed system the silver lining comes that Trump proved an outsider can win.

My prediction is Matt Damon will be the US's next president in 4 years and he probably doesn't even think it yet.
+1
11-09-2016 , 04:07 PM
According to Doyle's twitter, he won very large amounts of cash. Apparently some of his bets were 100-1.
JRB and Arieh big losers, as expected.
11-09-2016 , 04:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by harkin
Not as much as the elites (Russians included btw) who have pumped MILLION$$ into the Clinton Family Foundation looking for Presidential-level access/favors/influence did.

A good indication of how honest, corruption-free and transparent the Clinton Foundation really is will be how much $$ they collect beginning today.
Yes will be very interesting to see if the King of Saudi Arabia will be donating tens of millions of dollars to the Clinton Foundation now. Not likely.
11-09-2016 , 05:26 PM
Really fine piece from Michael Wolff [emphasis mine]:

"It all washed away. Beyonce. The tax returns. The theoretical blue wall. Trump as sexual predator. Putin. His shambolic debate performances. Hispanics. Indeed, every aspect of the media narrative, dust. This narrative not only did not diminish him, it fortified him. The criticism of Trump defined the people who were criticizing him, reliably giving the counter-puncher something to punch. It was a juicy target. The Media Party not only fashioned the takedown narrative and demanded a special sort of allegiance to it — Twitter serving as the orthodoxy echo chamber — but, suspending most ordinary conflict rules, according to the Century for Public Integrity, gave lots of cash to Hillary. The media turned itself into the opposition and, accordingly, was voted down.

It was a failure to understand the power of the currents running for Trump — a failure of intelligence, experience and objectivity, on particularly excruciating display last night in Buzzfeed’s live video feed with its cast of moronic, what-me-worry millennials having their first go at election night and now eager to take over the media.

And it was a failure of modern journalistic technique too. It was the day the data died. All of the money poured by a financially challenged media industry into polls and polling analysis was for naught. It profoundly misinformed. It created a compelling and powerful narrative that was the opposite of what was actually happening. There may be few instances, except perhaps under authoritarian regimes, where the media has so successfully propounded a view of events not only of its own making but at such odds with reality. Trump is a simple proof: forget polls — they say what you want them to say."


Read it all here:
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...ailures-945733
11-09-2016 , 05:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by harkin
Really fine piece from Michael Wolff [emphasis mine]:

"It all washed away. Beyonce. The tax returns. The theoretical blue wall. Trump as sexual predator. Putin. His shambolic debate performances. Hispanics. Indeed, every aspect of the media narrative, dust. This narrative not only did not diminish him, it fortified him. The criticism of Trump defined the people who were criticizing him, reliably giving the counter-puncher something to punch. It was a juicy target. The Media Party not only fashioned the takedown narrative and demanded a special sort of allegiance to it — Twitter serving as the orthodoxy echo chamber — but, suspending most ordinary conflict rules, according to the Century for Public Integrity, gave lots of cash to Hillary. The media turned itself into the opposition and, accordingly, was voted down.

It was a failure to understand the power of the currents running for Trump — a failure of intelligence, experience and objectivity, on particularly excruciating display last night in Buzzfeed’s live video feed with its cast of moronic, what-me-worry millennials having their first go at election night and now eager to take over the media.

And it was a failure of modern journalistic technique too. It was the day the data died. All of the money poured by a financially challenged media industry into polls and polling analysis was for naught. It profoundly misinformed. It created a compelling and powerful narrative that was the opposite of what was actually happening. There may be few instances, except perhaps under authoritarian regimes, where the media has so successfully propounded a view of events not only of its own making but at such odds with reality. Trump is a simple proof: forget polls — they say what you want them to say."


Read it all here:
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...ailures-945733
Or maybe the media reported what it reported without malice and happened to be wrong, and Trump just won.
11-09-2016 , 05:53 PM
Dnegs must have lost a fortune last night betting on Hillary and the money he donated to her.
11-09-2016 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperSwag
Dnegs must have lost a fortune last night betting on Hillary and the money he donated to her.
https://www.highstakesdb.com/6619-da...president.aspx
11-09-2016 , 06:31 PM
I see Daniel is reliving his High Stakes Poker hubris is a new gambling endeavor.

If only we had some Gabe Kaplan commentary to go with it.
11-09-2016 , 06:35 PM
Lol and to say welders can't find jobs in this day and age is pretty ignorant.

Companies can't find enough welders to hire and they make a pretty penny for their work.

Poker players live in a bubble within a bubble.
11-09-2016 , 07:46 PM
I only have very little clue and insights why Trump being USA president is good/bad for americans/ROW, having said that, man feelisgoodman seeing Negreanu moppet most likely losing a lot of money in these elections. He`s still good though, amaya has his back w our money.
And im normally never a hater, like why would i care right, but this one somehow makes me happy.

Last edited by lancelott_; 11-09-2016 at 07:54 PM.
11-09-2016 , 07:49 PM
Poor Rosie O'Donnell.
11-09-2016 , 08:30 PM
Lost 3k in the forex market last night going short USD.MXN (Long Peso). Could've gotten out at 1k loss too, but ****ing NBC keeps going "too close to call" when there's a clear statistical edge for trump in every state with 20-30% of the votes in and I believe them (and my girlfriend) like a fish
11-09-2016 , 09:14 PM
Dnegs-

"I can beat 25/50 online with 2 weeks of study"

"Trump has NO shot to be president"

"Higher rake is actually GOOD for poker players"

"[insert next dnegs tweet]"

........

Is there a market that I can short everything dnegs says? No pun intended.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
11-09-2016 , 09:43 PM
It is funny that in Daniel Negreanu's twitter, he blames the kids again for getting Trump elected.

lol
11-09-2016 , 10:17 PM
LOL at anyone proclaiming or talking about HRC winning the popular vote, which is totally irrelevant.

America is a Constitutional Republic of Independent States. Each state has a number of electoral votes based on its population. This de-emphasizes the margin of victory in any one(s) state. So whether California votes 51/49 or 99/1, the winner-take-all Electoral Votes are the same.

Otherwise, states like California and Illinois alone could pick the president in every single election.
11-09-2016 , 10:42 PM
LOL

11-09-2016 , 10:47 PM
I know that's a cute funny post from 4 years ago!
11-09-2016 , 11:43 PM
so is trump going to make online poker great again
?
11-09-2016 , 11:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fishfood69er
so is trump going to make online poker great again
?
His biggest donor is Sheldon Adelson, if anything he will ban the sites that Americans can play on currently.
11-09-2016 , 11:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheFly
LOL at anyone proclaiming or talking about HRC winning the popular vote, which is totally irrelevant.

America is a Constitutional Republic of Independent States. Each state has a number of electoral votes based on its population. This de-emphasizes the margin of victory in any one(s) state. So whether California votes 51/49 or 99/1, the winner-take-all Electoral Votes are the same.

Otherwise, states like California and Illinois alone could pick the president in every single election.
It's amazing that so many have no clue as to why James Madison and the founders did what they did in setting up a representative republic of states. It's the same reason we have a senate with two members from each state regardless of population.

And it's not just the margin of victory. voter fraud (which for some reason the liberals love) would be ten times as bad if fraud votes in one state could negate valid votes in another.
11-10-2016 , 12:11 AM
^^yep, well said!
11-10-2016 , 01:57 AM
I'm certainly no fan of the result, but all these anti-Trump protests are ridiculous, especially if they don't start dwindling pretty quickly. He didn't help with his nasty rhetoric throughout his campaign, but the people have spoken, now it's time to give the man a chance. You had your day to vent, I guess - it's over now.

How many of those protesters were volunteering for the Democrats leading up to the election? Wouldn't have taken many of them doing some work getting out the vote in a few key states, and they'd have had nothing to protest about today. But it's much easier to get pissed off and yell slogans on the street after you get a result you didn't like than it would be to do some work before the election when your effort might've actually accomplished something productive, rather than widening the divide in their country.

Unfortunately, I think this is a symptom of a serious problem with political debate/disagreement these days. We see it here in Canada as well, but I think it's much worse in the US - little respect for opposing viewpoints, little willingness to see what others have in common, little desire to build bridges. Not a good road to go down - frankly, it's a scary road. And it's a problem that is massively amplified by social media.
11-10-2016 , 01:59 AM
I'm scared


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
11-10-2016 , 02:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
I'm certainly no fan of the result, but all these anti-Trump protests are ridiculous, especially if they don't start dwindling pretty quickly. He didn't help with his nasty rhetoric throughout his campaign, but the people have spoken, now it's time to give the man a chance. You had your day to vent, I guess - it's over now.

How many of those protesters were volunteering for the Democrats leading up to the election? Wouldn't have taken many of them doing some work getting out the vote in a few key states, and they'd have had nothing to protest about today. But it's much easier to get pissed off and yell slogans on the street after you get a result you didn't like than it would be to do some work before the election when your effort might've actually accomplished something productive, rather than widening the divide in their country.

Unfortunately, I think this is a symptom of a serious problem with political debate/disagreement these days. We see it here as well, but I think it's much worse in the US - little respect for opposing viewpoints, little willingness to see what others have in common, little desire to build bridges. Not a good road to go down - frankly, it's a scary road. And it's a problem that is massively amplified by social media.
How ironic it was the lackluster turnout of Millennial Voters that was partly to blame for Clinton’s woeful underperformance. Seems some Millennials would rather just “march and protest” instead of actually voting.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...lennial-voters

      
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