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NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy

11-09-2016 , 01:54 AM
Looked like a lot of people were betting on Clinton... What did you lose on this upset
11-09-2016 , 02:06 AM
Sounds like Jmo lost a lot he's pretty unhappy on twitter and I heard Doug Polk say on stream that Jmo has what even Doug would consider an "uncomfortable amount" bet on Hillary.
11-09-2016 , 02:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by luckynuts444
Looked like a lot of people were betting on Clinton... What did you lose on this upset
I've collected back half my BR but only really NH is still a race. MI PA and WI look lost at this stage. I went heavier on NV after the early voting results and also benefited from accidentally betting twice on Colorado (misclicks ftw).

Also Unibet sent me 10 euros lossback on North Carolina, so I can always go wild with that
11-09-2016 , 02:14 AM
If it matters to anyone Kid Poker in complete twitter meltdown. Apparently he's bought into the CAGW doomsday deal hook, line & sinker.
11-09-2016 , 02:18 AM
General election:
Trump 1.02
Clinton 42

Betfair gamblers have called Wisconsin for Trump.
11-09-2016 , 02:39 AM
http://globalnews.ca/news/3055796/ca..._campaign=2014

trudeau is gonna need a wall for america
11-09-2016 , 02:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LektorAJ
I've collected back half my BR but only really NH is still a race. MI PA and WI look lost at this stage. I went heavier on NV after the early voting results and also benefited from accidentally betting twice on Colorado (misclicks ftw).

Also Unibet sent me 10 euros lossback on North Carolina, so I can always go wild with that
Well, I wasn't able to bet on the election directly, but it looks like I'm going to lose about $40k-$50k when the markets open in the morning. (At least temporarily.)
11-09-2016 , 02:57 AM
Betfair calls PA for Republicans.

MI D 8.6 R 1.11
NH D 1.07 R 2.28

General election Trump 1.02 Clinton 50 Mike Pence 310 (apparently they don't know Betfair settles on the night).
11-09-2016 , 02:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by harkin
If it matters to anyone Kid Poker in complete twitter meltdown. Apparently he's bought into the CAGW doomsday deal hook, line & sinker.
The problem is Trump puts a Supreme Court in power for 30 years that will likely be a 7-2 majority that will allow things like unlimited money in politics and gerrymandering, etc.

Say what you will about Clinton, but her nominees would have upheld donation limits and struck down gerrymandering in some cases.
11-09-2016 , 03:00 AM
OMG Negreanu is off the rails, he is full blown batchit crazy now LOL!

https://twitter.com/RealKidPoker

This is the greatest political night of my life! America delivered the justice that the corrupt dysfunctional FBI would not.
11-09-2016 , 03:13 AM
BBC talking about why its partner ABC has not called PA - Betfair uncalls it:
PA D 1.01 R 50
11-09-2016 , 03:40 AM
Annnnd Hillary concedes.
11-09-2016 , 03:42 AM
Remaining states
Alaska D 13.5 R 1.01
Arizona D 11 R 1.05
Michigan D 6 R 1.04
Minnesota D 1.09 R 3.1
New Hampshire D 1.38 R 2.44
Pennsylvania D 18 R 1.01
Wisconsin D 38 R not available

Money still available on
North Carolina D 6 R 1.02 - why?

Anyway, I'd better get grinding - a level below where I was yesterday
11-09-2016 , 03:56 AM
Rigged USA!
11-09-2016 , 03:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sickfold86
Rigged USA!
I think this is evidence of the contrary, TBH.
11-09-2016 , 04:11 AM
Fingers crossed that the American voters know what they're doing! I have my concerns, but I'm optimistic that the checks and balances that are in place will put a damper on the crazy, if there is any.

Best of luck to y'all for the next 4 years - hopefully you (and the rest of us) won't need it.
11-09-2016 , 04:23 AM
One of funnier things right now is all the stars of entertainment and news media saying they going to escape the racist Trump by moving to countries with even whiter populations.
11-09-2016 , 04:25 AM
The best news of this election is that Amy Schumer is leaving the U.S.
11-09-2016 , 04:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by luckynuts444
Looked like a lot of people were betting on Clinton... What did you lose on this upset
I bet 20 bucks at even money with a relative a few months ago...so bleh...hurts a lot less than the fact trump is ruling 'merica for 4 years.

Last edited by rakemeplz; 11-09-2016 at 04:40 AM. Reason: post above celebs are less honest than politicians ;)
11-09-2016 , 04:56 AM
Trump forgot to thank Anthony Weiner and Vladimir Putin in his victory speech.
11-09-2016 , 05:00 AM
"You cant always get what you want" song playing as trump walks off stage after his speech was perfect.
11-09-2016 , 05:42 AM
Won at 5-1. And I'd have accepted 3-1 odds as it's not surprising. Ask any voter 2 weeks ago who they'd vote for and if the answer was Hillary they'd say so. Anyone who said Trump also would say so.
Anyone who said I'm not sure yada yada is lying. They knew they were voting for Trump but were too ashamed to admit it.

America will improve slightly or utterly collapse in the next 4 years. Hillary is a safe bet that it would continue to slowly decline... much like Obama.
For opponents of Trump and anyone who's opposed to the 2 party failed system the silver lining comes that Trump proved an outsider can win.

My prediction is Matt Damon will be the US's next president in 4 years and he probably doesn't even think it yet.
11-09-2016 , 05:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by harkin
One of funnier things right now is all the stars of entertainment and news media saying they going to escape the racist Trump by moving to countries with even whiter populations.
If it's the open-door immigration lot their position is at least internally consistent. I remember there was a deportation case in the UK of a Nigerian guy a few years ago and some liberal democrat lord was basically saying: look, we civilised people can't make a Nigerian person live somewhere so awful as Nigeria when he doesn't want to. So the equivalents in the US who see immigration as a humanitarian issue are obviously going to be looking to go North rather than South.
11-09-2016 , 06:06 AM
These celebs saying they're going to leave are going to look like total hypocrites when they have to come back to America to make money. The hypocrisy comes that they complain about Trump being president (a capitalist) yet have no issue riding that same wave as no other Country affords them the opportunity to make a living like Hollywood, California, USA does. Respect for the ones that stay gone but they better have money already because put between their moral values and money and many unfortunately choose the latter.
11-09-2016 , 06:35 AM
As I wrote, the contest ended on 9/11 at the site of 9/11 when a citizen journalist (and you know a MSMedia one would have buried it) filmed a Hillary wearing anti-seizure blue lenses collapsing from Parkinson's Disease before being dragged cold, toes down, into a van leaving a shoe behind. The optics of that was buried in just too many minds for her to overcome it.

War with Russia just became LESS likely and that makes me even happier than the money I won betting on TRUMP to win overall and to also win the State of Pennsylvania (a great value bet for any that saw it).

MAGA!

Last edited by restorativejustice; 11-09-2016 at 06:42 AM.

      
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