NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy - Poker News

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NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy

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02-29-2016 , 07:14 PM

Sink Your Teeth

banned

Join Date: Feb 2016 Posts: 58

"Mathematics expert" Jamie Gold reveals his no lose betting system to make money on the U.S. Presidential elections.

http://video.foxnews.com/v/477993136...#sp=show-clips

His strategy shows that he has read David Sklansky's "Getting the Best of It" book as well as the Donald Trump poker" book in the Kindle.

Hint: The name of the strategy starts with an "m".

m _ d d _ _ n g

Can't lose, baby!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Professionalpoker

Just changed the title. Going to bend the NVG anti-politard policies for this one thread only. Direct personal insults will not be tolerated and may result in infractions / temp-bans.

Last edited by Videopro; 03-01-2016 at 11:22 PM.

02-29-2016 , 07:18 PM

afgarb187

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 292

omfg i love jaime gold so much. i just spam his name in twitch chat all day

02-29-2016 , 07:22 PM

ZachL

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,058

Cringeworthy at the start mentioning his WSOP win.

02-29-2016 , 07:27 PM

Sink Your Teeth

banned

Join Date: Feb 2016 Posts: 58

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZachL

Cringeworthy at the start mentioning his WSOP win.

Fox News is a pretty high profile media appearance that Hellmuth and Negreanu have not been able to get. Who's Jamie's agent? Anybody know?

02-29-2016 , 07:31 PM

The4thFilm

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 13,472

He actually sounded pretty smart. 99% chance of Hillary and Trump seems to be overstating it. They are 69 years old and have a non-negligible chance of dropping dead in the next 9 months.

02-29-2016 , 07:35 PM

afgarb187

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 292

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sink Your Teeth

Fox News is a pretty high profile media appearance that Hellmuth and Negreanu have not been able to get. Who's Jamie's agent? Anybody know?

Jaime gold is involved with TV, I believe some kind of producer. He is also a handsome man, expert poker player, good guy, etc.

02-29-2016 , 07:37 PM

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Yes, as long as its Hillary and Trump in the finals then its a lock but if Rubio sneaks in or something then you could lose it all. But arbitrage is great as long as there is only 2 outcomes and you have overlay, which comes up all the time. I did it in vegas.

02-29-2016 , 07:41 PM

Sink Your Teeth

banned

Join Date: Feb 2016 Posts: 58

Quote:

Originally Posted by parisron

Based on the odds in the Jamie Gold interview, you would be able to make a hedge bet on Rubio right? Question is how to do the calculations?

I'm not worried about Sanders on the Democratic end. But Rubio could kill Gold's betting method if he beats Trump. What would be the optimal bets on Hillary, Trump, and Rubio that would make this kind of bet a no-lose one?

02-29-2016 , 07:43 PM

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Bet $140 on Hillary and $68.57 on Trump would get you a win of $31.43 no matter who won. As long as its one of them obviously.

Assuming odds were -140 and +250.

02-29-2016 , 07:47 PM

#10

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

You could bet all 3 right now.
Hillary $140
Trump $68.57
Rubio $26.67

and that would only get you $4.76 guaranteed. Obviously you could multiply by 10 or 100.

02-29-2016 , 07:53 PM

#11

Yenomez

banned

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 491

Quote:

Originally Posted by afgarb187

. He is also a handsome man, expert poker player, good guy, etc.

You forgot to say he smells like roses. Bad level lol

02-29-2016 , 07:53 PM

#12

beet

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 176

Quote:

Originally Posted by parisron

Bet $140 on Hillary and $68.57 on Trump would get you a win of $31.43 no matter who won. As long as its one of them obviously.

Assuming odds were -140 and +250.

That's not an arb, that's called "Dutching."

02-29-2016 , 07:57 PM

#13

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Right its not an arb because there are other possible results other than what you are betting. I was just posting betting amounts for Jamie's strategy.
Online book I am looking at has -199, +236, and +1268 Rubio. So numbers would be different.

02-29-2016 , 08:02 PM

#14

Jigsaw

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 2,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by parisron

You could bet all 3 right now.
Hillary $140
Trump $68.57
Rubio $26.67

and that would only get you $4.76 guaranteed. Obviously you could multiply by 10 or 100.

Or one million.

02-29-2016 , 08:16 PM

#15

p2 dog, p2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 7,536

so, is it basically a lock that Hillary or Trump wins? i have no clue, i don't follow the stuff

Bovada does not have any bet slips for the candidacy, it's all primary and caucus stuff

02-29-2016 , 08:26 PM

#16

pocket_zeros

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 5,051

In the next segment Jamie will be explaining the concept of "Busto" to FoxNews viewers.

02-29-2016 , 08:36 PM

#17

Dima2000123

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 3,520

Quote:

Originally Posted by beet

That's not an arb, that's called "Dutching."

Shouldn't it be called "picking up nickels in front of a steamroller"?

02-29-2016 , 08:41 PM

#18

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dima2000123

Shouldn't it be called "picking up nickels in front of a steamroller"?

Good One!

02-29-2016 , 08:44 PM

#19

kutty2

adept

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 833

Is Donald Trump really expected to be the republican nominee?

That is horrifying

02-29-2016 , 08:54 PM

#20

stinkypete

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 15,785

TIL when you bet on two candidates it's called a middle

if i bet on the broncos and the panthers to win the superbowl next year is that a middle too?

02-29-2016 , 08:58 PM

#21

borg23

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 16,617

some idiot at my poker table suggested this exact strategy the other day.

02-29-2016 , 09:00 PM

#22

OmahaFanatical4

banned

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 5,123

Quote:

so, is it basically a lock that Hillary or Trump wins?

I don't think so; they are both prohibitive favourites.

02-29-2016 , 09:01 PM

#23

TrustySam

journeygirl

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 3,198

3 minutes into the 4 minute vid:

Gretchen: Oh by the way, betting on the election's not really legal is it?

02-29-2016 , 09:23 PM

#24

Geurling

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 56

Trump not getting it would be unprecedented in modern times. Hillary will probably lock it up tomorrow as well

02-29-2016 , 09:24 PM

#25

Jigsaw

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 2,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by kutty2

Is Donald Trump really expected to be the republican nominee?

That is horrifying

What is horrifying is that tens of millions of people think that he can perform the responsibilities of the presidency in a competent manner.

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