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NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy NVG's one and only US Presidential Election Thread, Featuring Jamie Gold Betting Strategy

02-29-2016 , 07:14 PM
"Mathematics expert" Jamie Gold reveals his no lose betting system to make money on the U.S. Presidential elections.

http://video.foxnews.com/v/477993136...#sp=show-clips

His strategy shows that he has read David Sklansky's "Getting the Best of It" book as well as the Donald Trump poker" book in the Kindle.

Hint: The name of the strategy starts with an "m".

m _ d d _ _ n g

Can't lose, baby!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Professionalpoker
Just changed the title. Going to bend the NVG anti-politard policies for this one thread only. Direct personal insults will not be tolerated and may result in infractions / temp-bans.

Last edited by Videopro; 03-01-2016 at 11:22 PM.
02-29-2016 , 07:18 PM
omfg i love jaime gold so much. i just spam his name in twitch chat all day
02-29-2016 , 07:22 PM
Cringeworthy at the start mentioning his WSOP win.
02-29-2016 , 07:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZachL
Cringeworthy at the start mentioning his WSOP win.
Fox News is a pretty high profile media appearance that Hellmuth and Negreanu have not been able to get. Who's Jamie's agent? Anybody know?
02-29-2016 , 07:31 PM
He actually sounded pretty smart. 99% chance of Hillary and Trump seems to be overstating it. They are 69 years old and have a non-negligible chance of dropping dead in the next 9 months.
02-29-2016 , 07:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sink Your Teeth
Fox News is a pretty high profile media appearance that Hellmuth and Negreanu have not been able to get. Who's Jamie's agent? Anybody know?
Jaime gold is involved with TV, I believe some kind of producer. He is also a handsome man, expert poker player, good guy, etc.
02-29-2016 , 07:37 PM
Yes, as long as its Hillary and Trump in the finals then its a lock but if Rubio sneaks in or something then you could lose it all. But arbitrage is great as long as there is only 2 outcomes and you have overlay, which comes up all the time. I did it in vegas.
02-29-2016 , 07:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
Yes, as long as its Hillary and Trump in the finals then its a lock but if Rubio sneaks in or something then you could lose it all. But arbitrage is great as long as there is only 2 outcomes and you have overlay, which comes up all the time. I did it in vegas.
Based on the odds in the Jamie Gold interview, you would be able to make a hedge bet on Rubio right? Question is how to do the calculations?

I'm not worried about Sanders on the Democratic end. But Rubio could kill Gold's betting method if he beats Trump. What would be the optimal bets on Hillary, Trump, and Rubio that would make this kind of bet a no-lose one?
02-29-2016 , 07:43 PM
Bet $140 on Hillary and $68.57 on Trump would get you a win of $31.43 no matter who won. As long as its one of them obviously.

Assuming odds were -140 and +250.
02-29-2016 , 07:47 PM
You could bet all 3 right now.
Hillary $140
Trump $68.57
Rubio $26.67

and that would only get you $4.76 guaranteed. Obviously you could multiply by 10 or 100.
02-29-2016 , 07:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by afgarb187
. He is also a handsome man, expert poker player, good guy, etc.
You forgot to say he smells like roses. Bad level lol
02-29-2016 , 07:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
Bet $140 on Hillary and $68.57 on Trump would get you a win of $31.43 no matter who won. As long as its one of them obviously.

Assuming odds were -140 and +250.

That's not an arb, that's called "Dutching."
02-29-2016 , 07:57 PM
Right its not an arb because there are other possible results other than what you are betting. I was just posting betting amounts for Jamie's strategy.
Online book I am looking at has -199, +236, and +1268 Rubio. So numbers would be different.
02-29-2016 , 08:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
You could bet all 3 right now.
Hillary $140
Trump $68.57
Rubio $26.67

and that would only get you $4.76 guaranteed. Obviously you could multiply by 10 or 100.
Or one million.
02-29-2016 , 08:16 PM
so, is it basically a lock that Hillary or Trump wins? i have no clue, i don't follow the stuff

Bovada does not have any bet slips for the candidacy, it's all primary and caucus stuff
02-29-2016 , 08:26 PM
In the next segment Jamie will be explaining the concept of "Busto" to FoxNews viewers.
02-29-2016 , 08:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by beet
That's not an arb, that's called "Dutching."
Shouldn't it be called "picking up nickels in front of a steamroller"?
02-29-2016 , 08:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dima2000123
Shouldn't it be called "picking up nickels in front of a steamroller"?
Good One!
02-29-2016 , 08:44 PM
Is Donald Trump really expected to be the republican nominee?

That is horrifying
02-29-2016 , 08:54 PM
TIL when you bet on two candidates it's called a middle

if i bet on the broncos and the panthers to win the superbowl next year is that a middle too?
02-29-2016 , 08:58 PM
some idiot at my poker table suggested this exact strategy the other day.
02-29-2016 , 09:00 PM
Quote:
so, is it basically a lock that Hillary or Trump wins?
I don't think so; they are both prohibitive favourites.
02-29-2016 , 09:01 PM
3 minutes into the 4 minute vid:

Gretchen: Oh by the way, betting on the election's not really legal is it?
02-29-2016 , 09:23 PM
Trump not getting it would be unprecedented in modern times. Hillary will probably lock it up tomorrow as well
02-29-2016 , 09:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kutty2
Is Donald Trump really expected to be the republican nominee?

That is horrifying
What is horrifying is that tens of millions of people think that he can perform the responsibilities of the presidency in a competent manner.

      
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