Quote:
Originally Posted by MyHandle
It's not rush. I used to play 12 tables, but have dropped it to 8 or 9 now.
I am still working on blind play.
To add to the above. I have lost 12 buy-ins since yesterday. I think my biggest problem is hand reading. Without it, you will get crushed at any level and I just don't think it is something that can be taught. Some people have like a sixth sense (ESP) type of thing going on that I just don't have (Durrr, Negraneu, Antonius and all those guys just "have it." In fact, I heard Antonius say one day on HSP that he has never read a single poker book nor had a single coaching lesson -- not one. I find that incredible). I guess it's sort of like athetic ability; some people have it, most don't. Much like chess -- some kids are prodigies. No matter how hard the rest of us study GM chess games, we will never get rated above 2000.
I have read several books, with NLHTAP being the only one applicable to NLHE. The book is good in theory but to put it to practice is impossible unless you are John Nash or some Nobel prize winning mathematician. But even if you could do EV caluclations in your head, those calculations all depend upon
hand reading. So basically, I could write a book with one sentence "If you want to win at Poker, you have to know what your opponent is holding, or at least narrow it down drastically. If you can't, you lose." And that really is the bottom line. The Fundamental Theorem of Poker is all anyone needs to know to be a winning player. The problem is most of us aren't good enough (or naturally talented enough) to apply it.
All the math in the world only works if you know what your opponent holds or how likely he is to call or fold in a situation (mind reading). If you can't do that, then all the superfluous math contained in NLHTAP is worse than worthless. I don't know about you, but I find it hard to sit there and think "OK, my opponent has a 70% chance of calling a bet of $2, a 20% chance of calling $3 and a 10% chance of calling an all-in." Sure, if I knew those percentages were accurate, I could make +EV plays all day. But who can really predict the actions of opponents with such accuracy? Anyone, anyone? Moreover, who has the time to do equations in one's head while multi-tabling? Does anyone here
really do that? No. I suspect the best players (even online players) go by feel. They just "know" the right play.
Since there are so many loose players at the micros (30-90 VPIP) I find it impossible to read their hands since they will be holding any two cards. I had a guy who moved in on me with 7-2 the other day (he had two pair on the board, but luckily I had the flush). And, as I have said before, these loose players are always the ones who crush the tables (some of them are just lucky, and some sort of know what they're doing). I have watched the regs at my tables pretty closely and the ones who win the most (there's 3 I have in mind) each have a VPIP of exactly 18%. They are something like 18/14/3. All three of them. So there must be something to this 18% VPIP thing.
I think I need to start from scratch -- at ground zero -- if I ever want to improve. My game just isn't working. Losing $60 in one day at $5NL is pretty tough to handle. No matter how hard I grind for the day, I will get up maybe one buy-in by careful methodical play only to lose 2 buy-ins in a few minutes to set over set or a fish hitting a miracle straight without odds. I just see no way to overcome the coolers and beats. I don't ever run hot enough to win more than I lose.