Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Alabama Special Election (Roy Moore diddles, GOP thumbs up, Mr. Jones goes to Washington) Alabama Special Election (Roy Moore diddles, GOP thumbs up, Mr. Jones goes to Washington)

12-12-2017 , 10:34 PM
Dont really get the raw vote count derping. Still means ~ nothing.
12-12-2017 , 10:34 PM
Statistics nerds:

Is there some kind of statistical tool that can take a time series of predictions of the same event and tell you whether the underlying model is fos or not? Asking for a newspaper friend.
12-12-2017 , 10:34 PM
Jones .63 PI
12-12-2017 , 10:34 PM
PI market crashed a while ago, prices are like 15 minutes behind

I was swing trading Jones, bought him around 17c and sold at 35-40c twice, but then couldn't get back in cause market is ded
12-12-2017 , 10:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
Red counties are mostly in, blue counties still bigly outstanding.
Oh yeah.
12-12-2017 , 10:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Costanza
Alabama Style Whiskey
Aged 14 years?
12-12-2017 , 10:35 PM
Need Jefferson, Mobile, and Montgomery to come through big for the win!!
12-12-2017 , 10:35 PM
Looking good boys.
12-12-2017 , 10:35 PM
52k down with over 600k votes counted. How many total votes are we expecting? Looks like the presidential election had 2m votes but surely this will be lower turnout than that right?
12-12-2017 , 10:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yeti
jones -2000 on betfair
jones pickem on predictit

politics betting never disappoints
Is there live betting that people can make a fortune on or is predict it really hard to make bets on/ small limits?
12-12-2017 , 10:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yeti
jones -2000 on betfair
jones pickem on predictit

politics betting never disappoints
Only if you have access to UK books.
12-12-2017 , 10:36 PM
last november my plane took off with the NYT dial pointed at 80% hillary. this is lolstralia so no wifi on the plane. when i landed, i pressed refresh and watched the dial move all the way to 95% trump. that was pretty horrifying!
12-12-2017 , 10:36 PM
Corey Booker will never be POTUS.
12-12-2017 , 10:36 PM
Get ****ed, Pfizer Booker
12-12-2017 , 10:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nonfiction
PI market crashed a while ago, prices are like 15 minutes behind

I was swing trading Jones, bought him around 17c and sold at 35-40c twice, but then couldn't get back in cause market is ded
Pretty bad their software is crashing for a senate race.
12-12-2017 , 10:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LFS
Aged 14 years?
Niiiiiiceeeee.
12-12-2017 , 10:37 PM
I still don't think I've ever seen a raw vote reversal when the vote is in at >60% and Moore is winning by 8%.
12-12-2017 , 10:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yeti
last november my plane took off with the NYT dial pointed at 80% hillary. this is lolstralia so no wifi on the plane. when i landed, i pressed refresh and watched the dial move all the way to 95% trump. that was pretty horrifying!
You passed through the dimensional portal.
12-12-2017 , 10:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigt2k4
Is there live betting that people can make a fortune on or is predict it really hard to make bets on/ small limits?
it's pretty small for this but you could easily get a few thousand down.

Quote:
Originally Posted by iron81
Only if you have access to UK books.
you'd want access to predict it for this i assume. but yeah, it's very unlikely (impossible?) someone could have access to both of those, so no arb opportunities.
12-12-2017 , 10:37 PM
How is Moore up by 47k votes and predictit has him at 44 cents? Lol.
12-12-2017 , 10:37 PM
Think news stations hold back on some votes to add a bit of suspense to the race?
12-12-2017 , 10:38 PM
NYT has more votes for Moore and less for Jones than CNN has right now and they are still at Jones 66%.
12-12-2017 , 10:38 PM
Hannity sounds defeated and already blaming MITCH!!!
12-12-2017 , 10:38 PM
In before #actually no one voted in Birmingham, whatta coincidence.
12-12-2017 , 10:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jman220
No, that tracker is clearly based on a stupid ****ing model.

Edit; I suppose it's possible Jones will pull this out, but it's going to be by winning by like .1 percent if he does, after a recount.
I'll take Jones -0.1 if you want in the next few minutes

      
m