Quote:
Originally Posted by diskoteque
It's possible that I am undervaluing the utility of smaller amounts I guess, yes.
My thinking is that I should never sell when the utility of my gains are ~zero (i.e. my life changes in no meaningful way). So even though the first $xxx is more valuable than $xxx(2), neither are relevant when the only outcome I'm interested in is 7 figures or whatever.
Maybe my issue is that I view crypto investing as providing binary outcomes - either it ends with life changing money or it doesn't. I don't have an opportunity to make this much anywhere else, so in my view making 10k in crypto and realizing my gains is much different and less valuable than realizing a 10k gain on IBM stock.
I also used to think that it was a very binary outcome, but don't make the mistake of looking at a 30% shot and thinking "either i win or i lose".
I know that's not what you're doing, but on a higher level, it's the same type of logical mistake.
Like in rather liquid democracies some researcher iirc have found out that it's pretty much impossible to gain more than 75% market share without the election being rigged. The thought behind is that in a "free market" without monopolies or a big moot (and i'd say crypto is close to that), there will always be enough people who will cater to a sub-niche to make a result like 75% impossible. Intuitively it makes sense, especially if 5% of the vote will give you 5% of power.
There are other areas where monopolies provide efficiencies, but i'm not sure how much this is the case in crypto.
My point here is that cryptos are very liquid and there is no reason why there couldn't be a currency for online gambling, one for remittance, one for xxx.
Who knows how much it will be niched, all i am saying is that even if the concept of Cryptos is a complete home-run, fiat dies...
whatever crypto you invest can have a ceiling.
This is all theoretical, i just want to point out that IMO it's not gonna be 1million/bitcoin or 0.
It could be 6k BTC, 4kETH, 3k online gambling coin and thousands of other coins.
This brings us back to "how to value" cryptos. Aggo had some thoughts about this, but i haven't yet met anybody who could put a ceiling on cryptos either.