I've very patiently explained his error to him three times, and not a one of you mathematical geniuses has once posted any kind of substantive response or rebuttal.

Lol, no. All you and wookie have been doing is quibbling with specific numbers he already qualified as ballpark estimates. It's some weird fixation you have on missing the overall point. Yeah, hmm, he didn't use the precise numbers we would use and said bayesian, let's assume the astrophysicist doesn't understand maths and troll him for five days.

It's just like when I was arguing this is probably at least in part about zero tolerance policies run amok. No, you cannot prove that there was any specific zero tolerance issue here so it is of course most definitely only racist and nothing else. And by the way so are you, go back to SMP you bigot.

If I copy my Baysean argument here, will you take a shot at disproving the math?

How about you first copy the part of Masque's post you think you're arguing with, then your argument. But before you waste your time, you could very slowly read what masque took the time to reply after you wrote it the first time.

Masque:

Me:

You probably need to bold the second to last sentence to help joe 6 pack find the relevant bit of maths.

As if they're even going to try. idk why I bothered to even go back and find it other than I got time during dem debate commercial breaks.

Quote me where I ask for specific numbers.

As I suspected, you didn't bother to read the rest of the post where he specifically explains it's a very small probablity that the kid made a bomb and why you wouldn't use the information that recently muslims have been responsible for so many attacks.

It appears that, after all, the rocket scientist actually does understand basic probability. I realize he makes long posts, and you have a short attention span, but there you go. Also, I noticed he didn't respond when you asked, and it looks like you question got lost in a barrage of similar misinterpretations and personal attacks and he couldn't make time to respond to yours specifically. Maybe he will drop in here and explain some more, so you can continue to ignore him and spout crap about things you don't understand.

Way to cite a paragraph that doesn't address the issue at all.

If you told me we had a forum user that posts in SMP and another that posts in politics, and one of them might be a racist clown...

I said you quibbled with his numbers, like where he takes ~30% of terrorist attacks in the US are from muslims and with 1% of the population that gives a ballpark 5 times greater chance that a muslim will be responsible for terrorism than an average american. Of course, he makes similar estimations about anti-govt groups and bullied kids, but you jumped on that number for no reason.

Look, it's painfully obvious to anyone what you guys are doing. As always, you are reading bits and pieces, interpreting them any way you can imagine they can be racist, freaking out and ignoring the overall point, every time.

Yes it does, you politard. It shows that masque was never claiming what trolly says he was. That Trolly, as many of you frequently do, was arguing a made up point for no godamn reason.

Anyway, I don't need to be arguing masques points in here. If you simply read his responses in that thread, he explains them over and over again and takes the time to clarify almost all of your objections in great detail. Read them, slowly.

And for someone alleging I don't bother trying to understand posts, I specifically asked him if the 30x number was one for the sake of argument or one that he was using as a true number. I was literally trying to understand and asking for clarification! I didn't even doubt it. I just got clarification, and I explained further for those who wouldn't tally the wiki.

I mean, if you want to legitimately quibble about me quibbling about specific numbers, then cite the post where I take masque's source and count to 0. Sanctioning me for wanting to understand where masque's own number came from is ridiculous.

Fair enough. That may have been a bit of a quixotic quibble. Yours was better.

If we apply Bayes theorem...

Nope try again. Here's exactly what he said:

You guys are wasting your breath trying to explain math to an smp reject

Or sentence structure, for that matter. Or logic. Or...

And the preceding paragraph:

I mean, dude, masque has taken great pains to explain conditional probability to you all, very slowly, like goddamn school children. When the fact he was muslim would be relevant to the search and when not. He clearly says it would only be relevant if the police cannot do a thorough search, which of course they could, so it was not relevant in this case.

FoldN, he also says repeatedly that Ahmed being a Muslim is relevant in this case.

Don't worry, the subject turns to something you have expertise on like drunk driving or raping women, we'll be sure to let you know.

So wookies not coming back to acknowledge the existence of personal attacks in the clock thread?

Maybe despite examples he still wasn't able to notice them.

He's certainly okay with wall de text's personal attacks.

Also, I al let thought for a moment chez would be able to not post in this thread for like a whole day.

Temptation too great for his alcohol-soaked mind to resist.

Personal attacks and complaining about moderation are both offenses under the rules. Perhaps Wookie should start strictly enforcing the complain about moderation part so we don't have to read 25 passive aggressive complaints a day? Id certainly rather be personally attacked than have to read another 20 chez posts talking about how he thinks all the mods are awesome, but gee golly didn't they notice this thing (not FoldN, Masque, or spank) did to (Foldn, Masque, or spank, some racist) and oh gee golly that's the problem with the forum.

Well sure, wook gets to pick and choose when to enforce the rules, that's his job. We're pointing out he does a terrible job at it and it ruins his forum by cluttering it up with fights and pushing out decenting opinions. He should be welcoming those opinions, especially in light of how often they are right and you are stupid.

Also, big lol at pointing out how masque finally cracked and resorted to personal attacks after being pelted with them, lied about and trolled for several days.