MMA Thread - Page 863 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Honestly Howard/Laflare wasn't that exciting other than Howard's grit to stay in it and nice transitions, the actual action in Guida/Kawajiri was better

Ok so... hedge or don't hedge?

Currently have 3.2u on Nog, and two parlays to win just over 20u with Nog as the final leg, but both with Camozzi fight as a push at -131 so it's probably more like 10u there.

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04-11-2014 , 03:28 PM

#21553

elliot10181

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Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

HEDGE!!!!!

Nog gets hit not worth a 12U bet, book the profit

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04-11-2014 , 03:30 PM

#21554

just_mo

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Alright Nog's +150. I'm going with it lol

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04-11-2014 , 03:31 PM

#21555

just_mo

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Sect7G

Lol that was def. post of the year in this thread.

*bows*

ty, ty...

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04-11-2014 , 03:43 PM

#21556

Sect7G

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SWOOP did u hedge?

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04-11-2014 , 03:44 PM

#21557

SwoopAE

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No hedge

Scary moments but if Nog can drag him deep... survive r1 plz nog

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04-11-2014 , 03:45 PM

#21558

SwoopAE

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Nog's technical boxing is better just needs to avoid those big shots until Roy gasses

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04-11-2014 , 03:46 PM

#21559

SwoopAE

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PULL GUARD FFS

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04-11-2014 , 03:46 PM

#21560

just_mo

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Well that was a quick way to burn some money.

Hang em up, Nog.

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04-11-2014 , 03:46 PM

#21561

SwoopAE

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Sigh. Oh well it was a fun ride, Roy was running out of gas.

I think that punch may have retired Big Nog.

Roughly break even for the card.

Nog's chin was holding but he needed to try and pull guard when he got rocked imo, Roy was getting tired and I think if Nog survived R1 he's a pretty decent fav

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04-11-2014 , 03:47 PM

#21562

anteatereater

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,977

bad stoppage

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04-11-2014 , 03:47 PM

#21563

Hitch-22

adept

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 969

that was awesome

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04-11-2014 , 03:48 PM

#21564

just_mo

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Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

PULL GUARD FFS

lol was thinking the same thing.

Funny thing is a lot of the fight looked how I thought it would. Nog was boxing him up but just he is SO STIFF on the feet. Zero footwork, zero upper body movement, zero fakes. All it took was Nelson's 5 or so landed strikes lol

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04-11-2014 , 03:49 PM

#21565

SwoopAE

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So I guess Nijem/Nelson get performances of the night, Guida/Kawajiri FOTN and Howard gets a 'didn't quit' locker room bonus

Prelims sucked but Main Card was pretty good.

Breaking even with a nice sweat at winning double digit units works I guess

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04-11-2014 , 03:50 PM

#21566

elliot10181

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Sigh. Roy was running out of gas.

Seriously? Looked fine just smashed him

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04-11-2014 , 03:51 PM

#21567

Sect7G

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sigh... if he made it out of r1 I think he'd have a good chance.

I wish Nog hangs it up. Tbh I wished he had 3 years ago. I hate to see legends take beatings at the tail end of their careers.

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04-11-2014 , 03:54 PM

#21568

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by elliot10181

Seriously? Looked fine just smashed him

I think if Nog survives the first round he's better than evens to win the fight. Roy wasn't out of gas yet but he was slowing down, he just landed the punches in time I guess. I probably would have taken a Nelson wins in r1 hedge if it was available on pinnacle but straight up wasn't so keen to.

So who's next for Nelson? Barnett? Mark Hunt? Overeem?

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04-11-2014 , 03:55 PM

#21569

elliot10181

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Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Ahh thought you had the ITD hedge available,

Can understand you not wanting the straight up hedge at those odds

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04-11-2014 , 03:56 PM

#21570

Sect7G

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Hunt would be a great pick for Nelson. I know there's a card in NZ coming up and I would assume the UFC would def. want to book Hunt for that.

Swoop thanks again for booking my action. Money sent over.

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04-11-2014 , 03:59 PM

#21571

SwoopAE

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No prob, disappointing end to Nog's career for both of us I guess.

Would be nice to see Nelson knock some more people out, preferably when i'm not betting against him. I can't believe Struve KO'd Miocic who easily destroyed Nelson standing.

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04-11-2014 , 04:08 PM

#21572

just_mo

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Hunt is going to box Nelson up.

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04-11-2014 , 04:47 PM

#21573

elliot10181

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Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Hunt is going to box Nelson up.

I agree but would love it to get booked, especially as a 5rd fight.

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04-11-2014 , 05:06 PM

#21574

elliot10181

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Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 2,720

Rumours Ortiz vs Shlemenko booked for bellator PPV

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04-11-2014 , 05:18 PM

#21575

just_mo

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lol Shlemenko will roll

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