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Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen?

09-19-2020 , 07:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
vegas is now seeing a big increase in cases since opening up some.

there is really not way to contain. only kick it down the road hoping we get a cure of some kind. it only takes a handful of infected persons to start the spread all over again.

wearing a tight fitting mask and avoiding people as much as possible give one the best chances of not getting it or lasting until the vaccines cone or treatments that work.
As far as I can tell, the only recent change that would explain this is the Trump rally. Bars haven’t actually opened up.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 01:37 PM
and what about the literally millions of people who couldn't afford to be locked up for 6 weeks? How were they gunna pay their rent or feed their kids? The reason that worked in other countries is because they got paid a big percentage of their wages to stay at home and didn't have to pay rent.

Sure, in some alternate reality where people could have stayed locked up for 6 weeks, the virus might not have taken a real hold, but if we are going to have fantasy what ifs we might as well just have one where we invented a cure in march, or where there was a Carington level solar flare that knocked out the worlds electronics and we discovered that the virus was caused by 5G and without it it quickly vanished.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 01:47 PM
*with weekly support like Canada did

Would have ended up being cheap compared to reality now.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 02:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NickMPK
As far as I can tell, the only recent change that would explain this is the Trump rally. Bars haven’t actually opened up.
They just had a segment on the news last night that showed Vegas bartenders serving drinks while wearing masks. The segment was explaining how more than 1,000 casino workers from Wynn, Encore, and Venetian, have tested positive.

That might have something to do with it too.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 10:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 27offsuit
*with weekly support like Canada did

Would have ended up being cheap compared to reality now.
you can't use logic or science or economics in politics, that socialist nonsense you are proposing never would have flown, I aint paying so Shafonda and her 7 kids can have a 6 week vacation!
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 10:49 PM
Man that sounds eerily similar to my dad alobar
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 11:22 PM
its more like 18 months rather than 6 weeks.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 11:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VincentVega
Man that sounds eerily similar to my dad alobar
I am your father!
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-19-2020 , 11:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by de captain
They just had a segment on the news last night that showed Vegas bartenders serving drinks while wearing masks. The segment was explaining how more than 1,000 casino workers from Wynn, Encore, and Venetian, have tested positive.

That might have something to do with it too.
Bars in Vegas closed more than two months ago based on a surge in cases when the casinos first opened. Almost all the cases you are hearing about in those casinos were from July & August.

Over the past six weeks, I believe cases in Vegas have declined about 70%.
As a result of that, bars are reopening on Monday.

However, cases have increased slightly this past week.
This can’t be because bars were open, because they haven’t reopened yet.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-20-2020 , 12:00 AM
LOL ok.

Ray said "Vegas is seeing an increase since opening up some"

You replied "Bars haven't opened"

I point out that casinos are open and thousands of workers have tested positive.

You replied "This can't be because bars were open, because they haven't reopened"


Conclusion: The spread of Covid has nothing to do with Vegas opening up some, or thousands of casino workers, or tourists, because the bars aren't open.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-20-2020 , 12:24 AM
But bars have what plants crave
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
09-20-2020 , 12:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by de captain
LOL ok.

Ray said "Vegas is seeing an increase since opening up some"

You replied "Bars haven't opened"

I point out that casinos are open and thousands of workers have tested positive.

You replied "This can't be because bars were open, because they haven't reopened"


Conclusion: The spread of Covid has nothing to do with Vegas opening up some, or thousands of casino workers, or tourists, because the bars aren't open.
Covid did spread when the casinos opened up. But that was back in June/July and infections dropped dramatically in August and early September. I thought the comment was related to the fact that cases have edged back up in the last few days.

If Ray was actually referring to cases increasing in June/July, then you’re right, but that doesn’t seem that relevant now that they’ve dropped so far down again.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 01:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [x] swanny
I'll predict that one or more of the following people will come down with COVID-19 aka corona virus:


Donald Trump
Mike Pence
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders


Long Shot prediction:

The speaker of the house becomes the President of the United States for at least a day.


Called it. I wonder if Trump was shedding virus during the debate? I also wonder when was the last time Trump was in close contact with Mike Pence?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 09:34 AM
So how do we think this affects the election? I see two scenarios:

1) Trump has no symptoms and none of his circle get sick enough to be hospitalized. He uses that to fuel his "Covid is no big deal" message.

2) Someone in the circle gets sick enough that it discredits his message.
2A) That someone is Trump, and he can't even campaign.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 09:44 AM
I don't think Trump has the virus. This is all a big ruse. Then again I don't believe anything that dude says.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 09:49 AM
2B) Trump dies, and Pence becomes the candidate.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 10:07 AM
that's not automatic. The Republican National Committee would have to pick the new candidate. Not sure who else they might pick, but it's possible it could be someone else.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 10:10 AM
3) Whatever actually happens will have no bearing on the popular narrative about how sick he and the others really are (unless someone dies).
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 10:17 AM
Good point Garick. As if 2020 isn't enough of a shitshow already, let's have a nominating convention immediately before the election.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Garick
So how do we think this affects the election? I see two scenarios:

1) Trump has no symptoms and none of his circle get sick enough to be hospitalized. He uses that to fuel his "Covid is no big deal" message.

2) Someone in the circle gets sick enough that it discredits his message.
2A) That someone is Trump, and he can't even campaign.
1.) 1 is already out. Trump is showing symptoms.
2.) Trump will have to campaign from his basement.
3.) if Trump dies or ends up in the hospital the show aka the election still goes on.
4.) Mike Lee tested positive today. Chances of a vote on SCOTUS "before" the election is almost dead.
5.) Welcome to October
6.) Covid is still not a big deal to peeps that don't have Covid.

Last edited by [x] swanny; 10-02-2020 at 12:43 PM. Reason: typo
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 01:01 PM
Holy ****, covid delaying the SC appointment is true justice. Not that I think they'll allow that to happen. It would be awesome though.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 01:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by golddog
Good point Garick. As if 2020 isn't enough of a shitshow already, let's have a nominating convention immediately before the election.
The ballots have already been printed and a lot of people have already voted. How are they going to add someone to the ballot this late in the game? I think if Trump dies, Biden will essentially be running unopposed or vs. a massive write-in campaign.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 03:19 PM
Remember, it's the lol electors, not the public, who actually elect the president in lolUSA.

If I understand the article I read, what probably would happen is that the electors would vote for the candidate of the party of the expired.

There were some other considerations; in some states, the electors are legally bound to vote for the candidate which won their state, so there's some murkiness.

Here's the article if others want to read.

And you guys thought this election season couldn't be any more of a debacle. Sigh.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 03:22 PM
michaeljacksonpopcorn.gif
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
10-02-2020 , 03:38 PM
Sorry

Last edited by Palo; 10-02-2020 at 03:48 PM.
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