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Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen?

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05-04-2020 , 12:26 PM

#426

27offsuit

actions have consequences!

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 38,745

I think we just crossed over this weekend into the warring factions of shelterers vs. openers. Add in middlers to that I guess too.

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05-04-2020 , 01:20 PM

#427

Alobar

Born Ready

Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 40,926

yeah, as someone who doesn't know where they stand it's makes facebook pretty much unreadable right now

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05-04-2020 , 09:27 PM

#428

filthyvermin

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 61,395

cuz otherwise fb is such a joy to read

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05-04-2020 , 11:25 PM

#429

27offsuit

actions have consequences!

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 38,745

I predict the entirety of the rest of the world is looking at USA opening now and saying something along the lines of:

Look at these disgusting, arrogant Americans yet again. Just doing whatever they want, thinking they can tell a pandemic virus when it is done. God I hate them. Have another cheeseburger you fat ****s.

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05-05-2020 , 12:01 AM

#430

rickroll

Questionable Taste

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 28,461

could so go for a good cheeseburger right about now

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05-05-2020 , 12:13 AM

#431

27offsuit

actions have consequences!

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 38,745

One of my better productions, from a vacation on Martha's Vineyard:

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05-07-2020 , 11:26 AM

#432

#Thinman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 12,791

never been to a barber. wtf do i want some dude touching my head for?

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05-07-2020 , 11:34 AM

#433

Alobar

Born Ready

Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 40,926

i thought you were bald?

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05-07-2020 , 01:56 PM

#434

Bighurt52235

I was born to eat hamburgers

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 24,130

Quote:

Originally Posted by 27offsuit

One of my better productions, from a vacation on Martha's Vineyard:

I know just the perfect place for that.

Right up my ass!

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05-08-2020 , 09:17 PM

#435

plovlogger

banned

Join Date: Aug 2019 Posts: 47

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3p3

Many people don't understand exponential growth. Number are gonna rise a lot in the next few weeks.

Look, the UK has 66m people. Under the conservative assumptions that just 60% of the population catches it and just 1% of those infected die, you are at close to 400k deaths.

A death rate of just 1% seems pretty low considering the poor state of the NHS and what we know about the virus.

EDIT: The UK is gonna arrive at 20k dead within the next two weeks, I predict.

HURRR DURRRR

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05-09-2020 , 10:43 AM

#436

Booker Wolfbox

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 38,481

Corona will prompt a great leap forward in progress toward the ultimate killer app, one that lets you reach out through the internet and punch someone in the face.

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05-09-2020 , 12:27 PM

#437

redbuck

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 3,070

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bighurt52235

I know just the perfect place for that.

Right up my ass!

Burger, hand, or both?

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05-12-2020 , 12:24 PM

#438

Morphismus

BBV Poker Player of 2022

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 24,721

Quote:

Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52

We are having some salad bar restaurants announce permanent closing. Terrible for me as I eat there constantly. I thought they would reopen with one throwaway utensil for each person to use, but apparently not. But it is admittedly kind of bizarre in a world of thousands of germs that we ever even had that style of restaurant.

This post from the "main thread" made me realize: Buffets might become a thing of the past!

I love buffets.

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05-12-2020 , 01:10 PM

#439

Ray Zee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 17,946

buffets will come back. they are not however safe from any standpoint.

really this thing spreads from person to person contact through the action of the lungs.

washing hands and disinfection of surfaces are good but they are like changing your oil in your car as frequently as they say. you do it because it is one of the only things you can do yourself for your motors longevity. but doesnt really help all that much.

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05-12-2020 , 01:40 PM

#440

golddog

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 7,872

I don't see buffets coming back in their original form for quite some time. Maybe something more on the order of stations, like the carving stations, but for every section. Certainly not self-serve for quite some time.

So something where there's a big variety still, you can try lots of different things, but those things will be put on a plate and handed to you by a server.

At some point in the future, we'll probably be past this and it will go back to self-serve. But not for a long time, I think.

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05-12-2020 , 02:19 PM

#441

Ray Zee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 17,946

look what happened at the beaches. as soon as they reopened it got packed in some of them. people have short memories. thats why mistakes are repeated over and over.

just eating at a buffet means a person is lax about sanitary conditions and food sources so do you think those will suddenly change their ways.

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05-12-2020 , 02:25 PM

#442

golddog

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 7,872

Yeah, maybe you're right, Ray. I always think of myself as an average person, "the guy on the street". Live in suburbia, like burgers and fries and beer, etc, etc.

So when questions like this come up, I think "how would I approach that?". That answer is, I wouldn't unless something like I mention were done.

But, lots of people wouldn't mind. Maybe I'm overly cautious.

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05-12-2020 , 04:31 PM

#443

Ray Zee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 17,946

ive been overly cautious also. and a burger and fries guy as well. but i dont go and look over the edge of a cliff on a windy day. the downside is much greater than the upside on this virus.

people will be people and we all think differently, so its hard to get any real consensus on things unless absolutely clear. and even then many will sway to the side that is the easy way out for themselves. and understandable so for them.

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05-12-2020 , 05:02 PM

#444

Zeno

Le Misanthrope

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 22,617

George Santayana already predicted the outcome.

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05-12-2020 , 09:48 PM

#445

Timogen

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 251

Quote:

Originally Posted by 27offsuit

Like the Japanese Prime Minister said "Some Americans fat and some Americans Ray Zee and some Americans fat and Ray Zee."

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05-15-2020 , 01:06 AM

#446

businessdude

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 10,913

Just reading some of these measures that will be put in place for the offices that want to reopen - more office space required for social distancing, constant cleaning, disinfectants everywhere, temperature checks whenever someone enters the building - all going to be very expensive. Not to mention the environment will be very bleak - no break rooms, no common areas , no socializing - got to think the work from home option will look very appealing to a lot of companies and employees.

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05-15-2020 , 10:14 AM

#447

Ray Zee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 17,946

at some point people are going to realize they catch it from being close to others that have it. not from the counter top or desk. which may in some rare cases be the culprit.

if it was spreading from surfaces than people would be getting it from the takeout food and packages coming and the mail. and that isnt happening.

doctors scrub their hands because they are putting them on and into sick people. of course it helps for all of us to do that.

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05-15-2020 , 11:26 AM

#448

rickroll

Questionable Taste

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 28,461

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ray Zee

ray this isn't the case

yes it's uncommon and yes you're 100% right the danger is proximity to other sick people

but in china where they did contact tracing to the extreme they've found cases where the only possible transmission was they both used the same elevator at different times or the person didn't spray disinfectant on the packages they received or some people sat on the same park bench 15 minutes apart

it's not nearly as common, but you sure can get from touching a doornob or pushing an elevator button a sick person touched earlier

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05-15-2020 , 11:43 AM

#449

Ray Zee

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 17,946

i dont doubt that. but it is uncommon. and very hard to protect yourself against unless wearing gloves or something.

as far as person to person it covers being in the same vicinity someone that spewed droplets was there in the near past. if they are gone its hard to protect yourself.
a mask does help some.

all we can do is the best we can and dont do stupid things especially if in the higher risk category. but i dont touch door knobs out even when this wasnt a factor. use my shirt or something to put between my hand and the door handle. same with buttons on things.