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Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen?

01-15-2021 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
i came from nature i think i should go back there. not to some lab or a box in the ground.
You came from your mom's uterus.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
i came from nature i think i should go back there. not to some lab or a box in the ground.
Intellectually I realize it makes no difference what happens after death but the idea of being buried in a box bothers me. I have made arrangements to be cremated.

If it was acceptable, I'd prefer to rot above ground and as you say, be returned to nature.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 06:02 PM
I want to be used in a military munitions test, like that guy's Mom who donated her body to science.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 08:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Howard Treesong
I'm tentatively asking my family to bury me on a property or family has owned for almost 60 years now. Seems appropriate, somehow.
If you're going the burial route, that sounds good. I'm picturing a nice, woodsy place. Maybe a little pond with a cabin.



Not corona related, but I keep forgetting to ask, Howard. At election time, you mentioned your office in DC was boarded up for safety.

Did everyone & the office come through last week's events ok? Still secured, I assume, just in case the inauguration gets crazy?

Good luck, I hope it turns out safe.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 08:29 PM
This seems like a pretty good use of our remains too:
Human Compost
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 08:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by marknfw
This seems like a pretty good use of our remains too:
Human Compost
Hmm, yeah. Where have I heard about that before?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 08:45 PM
I'm not sure. I remembered hearing about it years ago and this convo brought it back to mind.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 09:47 PM
lol, mark, wake up. The entire derail started when Ray posted this link: https://www.koin.com/news/special-re...in-washington/




love you, man
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-15-2021 , 10:58 PM
lolme! I didn't click on that ****. I saw "soylent green" and kept on scrolling. My brother tried to get me on some food replacement crap years ago called soylent green.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-16-2021 , 02:08 AM
I had been wondering recently, how old is the oldest person of sound mind that doesn't understand death? Is there a 10 year old in the world that isn't aware of their imminent demise?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-16-2021 , 02:18 AM
they are stacking the dead in cold containers. so where to put them is part of the coronavirus predictions. besides it got good.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-16-2021 , 02:25 AM
I'm donating my body to science so they can do this with it. In a perfect world I'd be playing hockey but I'll take what I can get.

Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-16-2021 , 09:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by golddog
If you're going the burial route, that sounds good. I'm picturing a nice, woodsy place. Maybe a little pond with a cabin.







Not corona related, but I keep forgetting to ask, Howard. At election time, you mentioned your office in DC was boarded up for safety.



Did everyone & the office come through last week's events ok? Still secured, I assume, just in case the inauguration gets crazy?



Good luck, I hope it turns out safe.

Everyone is fine. DC is locked up tight -- 20K national guardsmen in town and security checkpoints to get into town. I've just been staying home.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-24-2021 , 02:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deucedeuces
No way. <25K dead in USA.
Quote:
Originally Posted by deucedeuces
0% chance you say? Give me 100 to 1 on a 100 bucks then? Free money right?
Quoted for dozens of eggs on my face. I felt like such a dumbass today when I thought about these posts. 100 bucks to the charity of your choice 27off.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-24-2021 , 02:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by deucedeuces
Quoted for dozens of eggs on my face. I felt like such a dumbass today when I thought about these posts. 100 bucks to the charity of your choice 27off.
Solid move. Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-24-2021 , 02:32 PM
deuces,

Very solid, let me get back to you shortly.

I remember around the same time we were discussing that in this thread, I went to give blood at Gillette and the nurse and I got to talking. We were both way ahead of the curve on what we knew was happening, and she asked me for a prediction and I said something like 'we could have 400k deaths by the end of the year' and I remember at the time thinking that was just an outrageous number of deaths, but also very doable and 95% of people would just scoff at that number.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-25-2021 , 12:27 PM
Last May I predicted 2.5MM vaccinations in US by 12/31/2020, and 50% efficacy. Apparently Israel, the highest % vaccinated country, has confirmed 50% so I thought that was worthy of note. The 2.5MM was almost exactly spot on.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-25-2021 , 02:27 PM
you got got a better understanding then some of the experts. and that is because you understand probabilities far better than the doctors and politicians.

poker players may not be smarter than some of those experts but are much smarter in being smart all around. and that is more important.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-25-2021 , 09:29 PM
Do we know if many of the contributors in this thread have had COVID?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-25-2021 , 10:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 27offsuit
deuces,

Very solid, let me get back to you shortly.

I remember around the same time we were discussing that in this thread, I went to give blood at Gillette and the nurse and I got to talking. We were both way ahead of the curve on what we knew was happening, and she asked me for a prediction and I said something like 'we could have 400k deaths by the end of the year' and I remember at the time thinking that was just an outrageous number of deaths, but also very doable and 95% of people would just scoff at that number.
An interesting way of looking at this virus compared another virus that a Dr that I listen to talked about. In terms of number of years robbed by the virus's victims, H1N1 stole way more years from humanity because Covid kills mainly old people and H1N1 just killed all ages. Interestingly enough this Dr even treated both virus patients and caught both viruses.

This was maybe 4 months ago so I'm curious how the numbers stack up now. It's always interesting to see statistics in new ways tho. In that perspective, some deaths are worth less than other sad to say.

Are there any stats on deaths for people under 70 or 60? Seems super relevant or it's to easy to say it's an old people's disease for the most part.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
Do we know if many of the contributors in this thread have had COVID?
My brother had it, he works in a VA hospital. He's 35 and perfectly fine. For balance I had a distant relative die from it.... 55+ years old, smoker, most likely an addict, pretty sure alcoholism.

Last edited by Sir Huntington; 01-25-2021 at 10:36 PM.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-25-2021 , 10:55 PM
IDK that I've presented much ITT other than advice to slow down on early predictions before we had much data, but I had it in early December.

It sucked worse than a cold but less than a flu for me, but I likely got a pretty mild viral load, as my wife caught it at work when masked, so she got a relatively mild case, and I caught it from her while she was still pre-symptomatic. Both of us still have some minor airway issues about two months later. I also have lost stamina, but it's hard to tell how much of that was COVID directly and how much of it was getting out of shape between a a minor back issue and then getting COVID right as I was getting back to being able to work out.

Frankly, if I'd been given the chance to get it at the beginning, at the same severity and with a guarantee that I wouldn't pass it on to anybody and would then be done with the whole thing, I would have taken the deal. If I got the same offer but a more realistic range of severity for my age/health, i.e., most likely what I got, but chance of asymptomatic and chance of "sorry dude, but you're a statistical outlier," I might have still taken it. It was the chance of passing it on to somebody with risk factors that really scared me. I sure hope I didn't. I did go shopping once when I was pre-symptomatic, but might have been contagious (didn't know wife had it, or I wouldn't have gone shopping, ldo). I was masked and careful about distancing, but I'm still worried that I might have unknowingly sniped somebody.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-25-2021 , 11:21 PM
I have covid now. I must have gotten a modest viral load as well because I didn't see anyone unmasked other than my family during the period when I must have contracted it. Symptoms are pretty similar to the typical cold I get every winter, except less coughing and a bit more fatigue and loss of appetite. I'm wondering if I caught it from one of my kids who was asymptomatic.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-26-2021 , 12:06 AM
Good luck Rococo. Hopefully you have the "just a cold" version. What are doing to quarantine from others in your household?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-26-2021 , 08:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by marknfw
Good luck Rococo. Hopefully you have the "just a cold" version. What are doing to quarantine from others in your household?
There are limits to what we can do. My wife has it as well and we live in a New York apartment. We don't have have enough room to be truly separate from the kids, nor are they old enough for it to be practical. And my wife and I obviously can't move into a hotel room and leave the kids. So we are quarantining as a family.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
01-26-2021 , 11:15 AM
what i worry about is that it is mutating as all viruses do. and what if it mutates to a virus that we cant vaccinate for and is totally deadly. kind of like all the si- fi movies that seem to becoming true over time.

maybe we should bite the bullet and really mask up and isolate to stop it. if that will work. it seems to have in some countries. not fun and not constitutional but the downside of this is scary.
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