Quote:
Originally Posted by Clayton
the more i've looked at dex stuff over the last few weeks the more i'm wondering what exactly happens when layer 2's are properly implemented and how that probably permanently kills yields?
https://twitter.com/mevintern/status...10748867399684
this isn't a great example because it appears a sharp whale was able to capture a few hundred bucks in EV on like 8 figures of turning ETH into USDC, but the day gas fees plummet from an L2 is the day alameda and virtu and whoever else is into this **** are going to ****ing pile into best bid/offer to pick up all the free pennies.
end result is kind of a centralization/oligarchy in terms of who actually captures the pooling EV which is bad for people who want to get some yield on their pools and good for people who want to trade as much as they want without slippage.
maybe i'm overestimating but it seems like pools as we know it are going to die the moment L2 is smooth, at which point yield is only going to come from the riskier pools (?) or via rewards for using new protocols.
idk, to me it seems short term bearish whenever it happens because it murders a lot of interesting speculation but long term it has to be good. but it'll prob feel salty for community members when their favorite decentralized protocol becomes oligarchic.
Passive market making for "retail" traders using fixed public algorithms that are subject to the information disadvantage that comes from the delay in processing blocks was always doomed as a liquidity provider strategy. It has worked remarkably well in the ponzi bull wave because it's either directly subsidized by rewards or indirectly subsidized since so much of the defi volume isn't particularly price sensitive.
Long run - no free lunch, obv. There's a somewhat interesting game theory problem here as the market starts to smarten up to ponzi reward tokens. If the big players start gulping up the juicy LP action and there's next to nothing left for the little guy, the hype has to die down and obviously that would be bearish for the entire defi economy, so there's a bit of a prisoner's dilemma for big sophisticated players.
Part of me wonders if it would be better for the "distributed economy" if dex infrastructure were intentionally handicapped to make it more difficult to exploit intra-block information, but that also seems like commie luddite ****.
In any case, it will be interesting to see how it plays out.
(Disclaimer: Not an expert on what the different dexes are doing to address these things, just find it all interesting. Feel free to point it out if I've said something dumb.)