Quote:
Originally Posted by mc858
the honest truth is all of these sites are 1% of where we used to be before BF. its low traffic crap and if anyone says otherwise then they have no idea what theyre talking about. If they already skirt laws to provide you with poker, then dont be shocked if they steal your money either.
PS- the bovada RNG is a joke
FWIW, I was VERY pessimistic after Black Friday. So much so that I took a long break. Then, I came back and got frustrated again and nd took another break. The problems that frustrated me was: low traffic, TOUGH games, and just the fear that even if I got back to winning some semi-meaningful cash, what's to stop more bad news like those sites get shut down by the government or they try to steal our money or whatever?
But, I finally decided, screw it, I'm going to put the time in and just beat the levels until I can't beat them anymore starting on Carbon full ring at $4NL and then $10NL where I had a pretty marginal winrate and had to play around 80k hands before I was able to move up to $25NL. One GOOD surprise I learned is that the stakes are all not that much different. Before Black Friday, there was a HUGE difference between $100NL and $2NL - $100NL being obviously a lot tougher. I won't say that $4NL is exactly the same as $100NL, but it's not remarkably different. In fact, my winrate between $4NL, $25NL, $50NL, and $100NL are all very close to each other. There is a noticeable drop at $10NL because it's a rake trap and the fish don't seem to offset it enough.
I was also pleasantly surprised in that even though there aren't as many tables as I prefer, BECAUSE I am willing to start tables and play heads-up and shorthanded, I can usually get enough tables that I want between $50NL and $100NL full ring. And, with this recent desegregation at Merge, there seems to be about 50% more traffic at the game and stakes I play, which is a huge breath of fresh air.
I'm still in the process of looking at Bovada and BCP because Merge may restrict my number of tables one day or take away my VIP program or who knows what else? So, I want to make sure I don't have too many eggs in one basket if I can help it.
Bottom line, though, my winrate is getting closer and closer to what it was before Black Friday. If I was in the 35% VIP tier, I probably WOULD be making more than I was before. I never thought that would be possible. The reason is that there are enough fish playing and there aren't enough regs and rakeback pros dipping into my profit ... so far.
The most noticeable downside to this climate for US players is that, in my opinion, it is much more difficult than it used to be to start playing poker from scratch. There are no easy entry points like $2NL on Stars. That's not to say with a $100 to $200 investment and a lot of patience, hands, and studying, one couldn't overcome it, but I can imagine how frustrating it would be.
So, I'll see how long I can ride the train this go around