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US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1

10-21-2013 , 05:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nutshot2
dont know, i've stopped reading this thread since it's a pile of steaming aids now, but someone reported your post so i looked.
I feel like someone is going around reporting posts they'd think I'd report as some kind of troll lol
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DWetzel
But it's still loads better than "because I said so", which is essentially your side of the argument, and it's also completely laughable that you're completely dismissing the data points you DO have available.
It's probably better to dismiss useless and misleading data points than import them into one's argument though.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Horton
It's probably better to dismiss useless and misleading data points than import them into one's argument though.
Except that they're only useless and misleading if they show what you don't want shown.

I mean, the whole argument boils down to "we can't possibly have any idea how these teams will perform on the field as teams, even though we do actually get to see how they perform as teams a decent amount, so I'm just going to make subjective judgments about a bunch of people with no regard to how well or how often they actually play together and then declare that as the obviously correct way of evaluating talent", and it's just totally ****ing ******ed even beyond the fact that the person making those arguments probably sucks at evaluating relative strength of leagues to begin with.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:28 PM
citing friendlies = citing nfl preseason results. i mean, literally the same thing. stop.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:31 PM
Only solution - Football Manager 2014. Fortunately it will be out soon, and all of this will stop. Oh wait, European bias. Darn you simulator.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:33 PM
So, basically, the games in which the US beats or draws good European teams don't matter because they're friendlies, and the games in which the US handily wins its qualfication hex are all meaningless because none of those teams could ever sniff (insert random third-tier European team)'s jockstrap -- even though none of those teams really have any results to compare either? Have I got your argument right?

Tell me how this ever boils down to anything other than "it's true because I say so"?
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DWetzel
Tell me how this ever boils down to anything other than "it's true because I say so"?
Rosters - duh? -- oops, sorry. shallow roster analysis.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DWetzel
So, basically, the games in which the US beats or draws good European teams don't matter because they're friendlies, and the games in which the US handily wins its qualfication hex are all meaningless because none of those teams could ever sniff (insert random third-tier European team)'s jockstrap -- even though none of those teams really have any results to compare either? Have I got your argument right?

Tell me how this ever boils down to anything other than "it's true because I say so"?
Yes so because those data points are near useless, the best we can do is look at rosta and leveraging issue thereby. I am not saying sort by rosta predict outcomes 101%. I am saying its the best we can do. I cant believe I am having to explain this.

We obviously dont have perfect information.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MediaPA
Rosters - duh?
But it's not like there are significant samples of international competitions among leagues to compare that fairly either.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by O.A.F.K.1.1
Yes so because those data points are near useless, the best we can do is look at rosta and leveraging issue thereby. I am not saying sort by rosta predict outcomes 101%. I am saying its the best we can do. I cant believe I am having to explain this.

We obviously dont have perfect information.
Obviously. But "sort by roster" obviously completely ignores the stuff you say you'll take into account but never really do.

I also, quite frankly, kind of doubt you could name the Ivory Coast's starting eleven without resorting to a Google search, which makes "BUT ROSTERS" even sillier.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:39 PM
I can't believe this is still going!
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:40 PM
Slow news day.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DWetzel
But it's not like there are significant samples of international competitions among leagues to compare that fairly either.
I'll let a fellow American answer this:

Quote:
Originally Posted by AKQJ10
Well, fine. I certainly agree friendlies are pretty meaningless. But I think that pales w/r/t the myopia of sports fans in general about small samples of data.

I mean, did 2002 mean we'd "arrived" in any meaningful sense? Looks to me like about what you'd expect if the 20th to 25th best soccer nation on the planet ran moderately good for a month. But 2006 looked like what you'd expect if the 20th to 25th best soccer nation on the planet ran average to slightly bad. Yet virtually everyone would have interpreted 2006 as an erosion of what we accomplished in 2002, not as the results of a "weighted random number generator" (xkcd).

Everyone else doesn't get that, but on 2+2 people should. So how exactly would our team go about "proving" that it's a top 10 national team? (I don't believe that it is, btw.) Can't be in WCQ because CONCACAF sucks. Can't be with a miracle run in the Confed Cup -- say, beating a team like Spain in the semifinal -- because we all know no one really takes that competition seriously. So really the only way to "prove" anything is in WC finals.

And I shouldn't have to tell you how much luck goes into results over two or three WC finals phases (a 4 or 8 year span). After that, it's not the same team anyway, so all analysis goes out the window.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:41 PM
Why are you trying to be fair? The USA is subpar. They are too far from Europe or South America to be considered decent.

The distance from a country that has won a World Cup is the only measure of how good a National Team can be.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:42 PM
With how QPR narrowly escaped the season before, basically everyone knew they were in serious trouble. They were always going to be one of the worst 4/5 teams, everyone in the EPL thread thought this. No one was saying "They will be fine, look at their squad!"
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aoFrantic
With how QPR narrowly escaped the season before, basically everyone knew they were in serious trouble. They were always going to be one of the worst 4/5 teams, everyone in the EPL thread thought this. No one was saying "They will be fine, look at their squad!"
But their roster. Or wait, other things come into play. I don't believe it.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DWetzel
Obviously. But "sort by roster" obviously completely ignores the stuff you say you'll take into account but never really do.

I also, quite frankly, kind of doubt you could name the Ivory Coast's starting eleven without resorting to a Google search, which makes "BUT ROSTERS" even sillier.
Wat.

This must be the silliest thing said so far, cant compare relative strengths of two entities using research, wat, jfc.

As it happens you must be ignorant of who plays for IC because they do have in fact several high profile players so knowing the important players on there rosta is standard.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MediaPA
But their roster. Or wait, other things come into play. I don't believe it.
Could you straw man any harder?
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MediaPA
But their roster. Or wait, other things come into play. I don't believe it.
No, by their roster, they were a bottom 4/5 team. With how they were coached and how they basically bought an entire new team, they ended up being by far the worst team itl.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by O.A.F.K.1.1
Wat.

This must be the silliest thing said so far, cant compare relative strengths of two entities using research, wat, jfc.

As it happens you must be ignorant of who plays for IC because they do have in fact several high profile players so knowing the important players on there rosta is standard.
Off the top of my head.

Bony, Drogba
Gervino, Yaya Toure, Tiote,
Kolo Toure

Ok, I'm done. While very nice a team is only as good as it's weakest link. See Robert Green.

QPR: So they bought a whole new team, yet the results from the season before mattered. I'm getting more and more confused. And coaching matters??? But the rosters are our comparisons.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MediaPA
Why are you trying to be fair? The USA is subpar. They are too far from Europe or South America to be considered decent.

The distance from a country that has won a World Cup is the only measure of how good a National Team can be.
WOW.

Jimmies must be rustled if you cant stop yourself from posting passive aggressive toss like this.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by O.A.F.K.1.1
Wat.

This must be the silliest thing said so far, cant compare relative strengths of two entities using research, wat, jfc.

As it happens you must be ignorant of who plays for IC because they do have in fact several high profile players so knowing the important players on there rosta is standard.
See, but you haven't actually presented any such research, or as you'd call it, "substantive reasoning". And you can't possibly do so.

Go then, name their entire roster.

Or is it "they have four or five really good players I rate, therefore obviously they're better"?

Also, how well do those guys actually mesh together? Clearly you're just guessing at that too, because lol sample size.

Easy question, I guess: who's got a better roster, USA or Mexico?
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:51 PM
I said knowing the important players.

Break it down why you cant do an entity comparison without research.

Your argument is this:

I researched the two entities and decided that X is better.
Your conclusion is invalid, because you came to it via research.

Thats one ****ed up POV.

Also btw we already did a comparison of IC v USA squad, so before going full over it, perhaps try reading the thread.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote
10-21-2013 , 05:54 PM
Comparing a club team, over a long season who underperformed but was still expected to do really badly because they were really poorly run seems like a weird tangent for an International team thread where such is impossible. The problems with QPR won't affect any national side. You could see QPR would have similar problems since their problems in year one were replicated in year two in the EPL. Buying too many players a the end of their careers for too much money, not giving them time to fit in, not focusing on defense and it happened again the next season.

The IC would be favorites vs the USA. In a 10 game neutral field sample, it would probably be something like 5 IC wins/3 US wins/2 draws. You can say something silly like they're only as good as their weakest link, but the 5-6 strongest links on the IC are just much, much better then their US counter parts and the weak parts on IC (mainly FB) are also very weak for the USA. It also makes a big difference when it's 2 of Gervinho, Bony, Kalou attacking those FBs.
US Men's National Soccer Team Thread: USA #1 Quote

      
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