Quote:
Originally Posted by MediaPA
Yet QPR got relegated. Wasn't their roster sufficiently reasonable for a PL team? Definitely looked like they had sufficient talent on the roster to stay up.
Because a result/assumption about 2006 is relevant to 2013 how?
I dont know apparently friendly results 4 meaningless friendlies in 1999,2003 and 2008 count for lots. As I already said those data points were brought up in a reply to an earlier reference to them.
As regards QPR, there are tons of counters to that point, and and non shallow analysis of the roster would show problems at QPR, but the important thing is, and I cant believe I am having to explain this to a poker player, is that we are talking about best way to make a reasonable prediction, not a perfect one.
Using previous results looks extremely flawed as I and AKQJ10 have both pointed out.
Rosta looks like the best shot of predicting general effectiveness of a team,and then as I have already said its not difficult or unwanted to factor in elements like FA organisation or Coach incompetence.