NFL Survivor Picks - Page 270 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

If you have to buy back in at 100% probably not.
All things being equal you probably just take LAR on week 6 and rebuy if they lose. Of course if your whole pool has that same logic could be some value in fading them, hoping they lose and the prize pool effectively doubles.

We had 26 overall entrants. 9 lost in week 1, and 6 reentered. Week 2 had 3 losses, and 2 reentered (one was a 2nd loss and cannot reenter). The people in the pool are not afraid to reenter so i figured if burn a team i don't intend to use it aould help me go a little farther.

But i do see your point also. I'm already behind as one person had 4 entries so that makes it a little more difficult (they lost a full entry already, and rebought on another).

Trying to see if there is a way to gain an edge, but i may just have to do better than usual in this one. Lol

Quote

09-20-2023 , 08:13 AM

#6728

cokeboy99

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,796

Quote:

Originally Posted by CiroccoJones

Thoughts on Week 3? Thinking SF on TNF so just be done with this for this "sure win".

My thought is that San Fran has better future valie than a team like Kansas City. I'm going Chiefs. Just my thought tho.

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09-20-2023 , 10:46 PM

#6729

CiroccoJones

newbie

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 26

Quote:

Originally Posted by cokeboy99

My thought is that San Fran has better future valie than a team like Kansas City. I'm going Chiefs. Just my thought tho.

That's true. Dallas I haven't used yet so could go there too but all these three teams have similar future value,

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09-21-2023 , 12:37 AM

#6730

raiders72001

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 98

Nitrobetting running second chance pools starting week 3.

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09-21-2023 , 03:54 PM

#6731

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Don't need to look too much past Kansas City this week. I like Seattle as a portfolio play. Like Jacksonville then Baltimore and nothing else

Quote

09-23-2023 , 07:32 AM

#6732

CiroccoJones

newbie

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 26

Quote:

Originally Posted by raiders72001

Nitrobetting running second chance pools starting week 3.

Is there value joining this late?

Quote

09-23-2023 , 10:13 AM

#6733

Jkpoker10

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 2,999

Quote:

Originally Posted by CiroccoJones

Thoughts on Week 3? Thinking SF on TNF so just be done with this for this "sure win".

Think it’s fine. I played SF for a small % of all my entries in the 60-70 low limit pools I’m still in. Idk I think future value is a tad overrated. If you are playing a small # of pools, I would focus on just getting through weeks.

I like playing “bad” teams with no future value but more so if you have many entries where you can speculate. If I was playing a small # of entries, I would just work on getting Ws and not
Worrying too much about future value.

You can always just get deep and make a sports bet to hedge an iffy pick.

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09-23-2023 , 12:45 PM

#6734

raiders72001

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 98

Quote:

Originally Posted by CiroccoJones

Is there value joining this late?

It's a brand new contest so everyone starts with no teams picked. Nitro doesn't take a cut out of the pools.

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09-24-2023 , 09:31 PM

#6735

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,361

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

Don't need to look too much past Kansas City this week. I like Seattle as a portfolio play. Like Jacksonville then Baltimore and nothing else

I had J-ville! Gross game, they looked terrible. Fortunately had Seattle too and Miami.

Lost lot's of folks on Dallas, pool started with about 9300 entries down to 3000 after three weeks.

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09-24-2023 , 10:41 PM

#6736

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,944

I'm 0/7 in Survivor picks this year.

Quote

09-24-2023 , 11:40 PM

#6737

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Got my remaining 2 entries (of 66) through with Kansas City. Going with San Francisco next week.

Would have been a much more exciting day if I had more entries. I loved Seattle this week too and would have been on them and Kansas City mostly this week.

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09-25-2023 , 09:02 AM

#6738

cokeboy99

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,796

I stuck with KC in my 3 pools. Going SF in all for week 4.

Smallest pool is down to 6. Lost 3 on the Jags, 1 on Dallas.

Quote

09-25-2023 , 11:23 AM

#6739

kazor

Coach PLO

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 2,123

Jacksonville looked terrible. Rough week for most people in survivor and we had a double pick week as the last week for rebuys so there were a lot of strikes this week. My other pool I got lucky and took Seattle.

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09-25-2023 , 05:58 PM

#6740

CiroccoJones

newbie

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 26

So that was the bloodbath week this year...

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09-27-2023 , 05:13 PM

#6741

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,361

Week 4 taking Denver Broncos, LA Chargers, and Philadelphia Eagles with my three picks in left.

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09-29-2023 , 02:16 PM

#6742

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Taking San Francisco this week. I only have 2 entries remaining. If I had more I'd been on some combo of San Francisco, LAC, Minnesota, Denver

Quote

10-01-2023 , 12:59 PM

#6743

Purple_Sky

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 305

going to sweat DEN in my bigger pools, SF in the rest

Quote

10-01-2023 , 04:43 PM

#6744

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,361

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

Taking San Francisco this week. I only have 2 entries remaining. If I had more I'd been on some combo of San Francisco, LAC, Minnesota, Denver

Had too many concerns about Minnesota on the road playing outdoor natural turf...

Good call on the Vikes. Hoping now LAC doesn't make me sweat like Denver and Philly

Quote

10-02-2023 , 08:35 PM

#6745

cokeboy99

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 1,796

5 people left of the 12 that started in a small pool among friends. Planning to take Detroit for week 5, then miami in week 6.

Quote

10-02-2023 , 09:05 PM

#6746

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,361

Week 5 looking like Washington home on Thursday Night.

Might go way out on a limb and take NY Jets @ Denver..

Last pick might be Kansas City @ Minnesota

Going to fade Detroit who will probably be top pick..

Quote

10-04-2023 , 04:04 PM

#6747

solring

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 267

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

Week 5 looking like Washington home on Thursday Night..

This is what I'm doing...

Quote

10-05-2023 , 03:48 PM

#6748

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Taking Washington in both pools I have left.

Quote

10-06-2023 , 12:46 AM

#6749

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,361

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

Well, Washington didn't work out, so going to pivot on Kansas City and take Miami still going on limb with NY Jets.

Quote

10-06-2023 , 03:41 PM

#6750

Henry_Sugar

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 489

LV Raiders this week with last entry. Have used Washington, Buffalo, KC, LAC.

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