Chances of both Minnesota & Pittsburgh losing is over 60/1. I'd rather keep LAR for later even in smaller pools. Even in a pool with 10 left, I'd expect 3 teams to be taken


Pittsburgh is the much better pick. They are currently 23% vs 51% (Minnesota) on OFP. This is crazy to me. Minnesota has far more value going forward. Minnesota plays Thursday. Even I'm a sucker to overpick the Thursday game, because it's fun to anti-sweat all the games on Sunday after winning Thursday.

Week 11 is the reason you Pittsburgh is the pick in 8. We're going to get to Week 11 and someone is going to post the following... "I have no idea what to do this week. I've already picked Buffalo, San Francisco & Minnesota. I only have Oakland & Carolina to choose from."

Save yourself the trouble. Pick Pittsburgh this week and have Minnesota available in 11. Also, Minnesota would be a nice team to have left in 17 as well. They may be playing vs Chicago for the 1 seed, bye or the division and Chicago might be playing for nothing

But if you haven't used BUF and SF, they will be better options in Week 11 than MIN

Appreciate the reply. I was definitely avoiding Min because I have them down for week 11 for sure. That is potentially when double picks start as well.

My choice was between the Rams and Steelers but your post has me leaning Pitt. Thanks.

MIN is the most commonly picked team this week. It's over 46% according to SurvivorGrid

I am honestly shocked that Minnesota is so highly owned given Pitts lack of FV and Minnesota's very real FV. I was preparing my "taking Pitt along with the other 70% of the people" post. I would like to think that the sharper pools are not even close to this ratio.

But who knows---

I guess the nfl gods will have the last say.

People are worried about Fitzmagic.


I think I might stay the course though and go Pittsburg, granted I currently have Rams set in case I forget

This will be Fitzpatrick 7th start vs the Steelers...he is 0-6 lifetime against them.

Didn’t say it was a rational fear. People, in general, are pretty terrible at most forms of sports gambling

Guess he's due for a win

It could be a good idea to go with PIT this week and save MIN as an option for Week 11 when they host the Broncos. There seems to be no other time to use PIT other than this week.

Anybody have thoughts on this? Thanks.

Just realized I won't have SF and BUF in Week 11 so I agree that PIT is the play this week (or LAR)

I am likely going NO / PIT in the .1

In the others:

MIN where I have BOTH SF & BUF still available.

And then:

Mostly PIT, but sprinkle some NO in the pools I have 4 or more entries remaining.

any updates from people still in pools?

Mine is still 3 handed

A - DAL HOU MIN LAC NE BAL SF

B - DAL BAL NE KC PHI GB SF

C - BAL HOU DAL LAC PHI NE SF

Who has the most equity? Least?

B is least equity would just be my off the top guess. C second least with A having the most. I doubt the equity difference is more than +/- percent.

I am C so that is hurtful.

I'm planning to go PIT BUF IND MIN over the next 4 weeks.

A will have a tough time in Week 11 assuming he burns BUF in Week 9. He still has PHI available whereas I do not.

I am hoping B uses MIN tonight.

A/C is MIN vs PHI. They are pretty equal. B is def worst

Missed the time to edit. I butchered the last sentence. It was supposed to say "I doubt there is more than +/- 5 percent difference between A and C.

Vikings picks at Nitrogen:

5 of 29 in the .1
4 of 27 in the .03

189 did 1 of 9 so assuming he'll be spreading 3 teams over the other 8 entries?

2 of 3 in the 1

21 of 70 took the Vikings in the Nitrogen .01 buy-in

I had eye surgery and while mostly fine, I locked in early just in case any complications before Sunday.

At Nitrogen.

.1 NOR / PIT
.03 MIN / NOR / PIT
.01 PIT / PIT / PIT / PIT
.005 PIT / PIT / MIN
.0025 PIT / PIT / PIT / PIT / MIN
.0001 NOR / PIT / PIT / PIT / PIT / PIT / MIN / MIN

Week 9 is our best chance to thin the field this season.

Bills -10 (30ish% have them let to pick)
Dallas -7.5 (16ish)
SF -6.5 (Thursday/Road/Division/Halloween!) Spoooooooky
NYJ -6
NE -5.5 (16ish)
Sea -5.5 (50ish)

*% left available based on 1 one of my standard pools

I need to get through with Pittsburgh first this week

Car -4.5 vs Ten and GB -3.5 @ LAC also viable options.