MMA Thread - Page 490 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Yeah, hard to say about the other two, mostly about Thompson, I'm not sure how good he is in the other disciplines. But I think Holloway, who seems to be a very active fighter and has a good kickboxing game, if he can beat a solid wrestler, he should be able to climb to top 10.

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05-25-2013 , 07:27 PM

#12227

luckproof

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Donkab0mber

Tilting. Had 1.4u on Bowles itd.

Thought Bowles could have finished him pretty easily if he didn't go for the guillotine

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05-25-2013 , 07:31 PM

#12228

SwoopAE

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10-9 Thompson, landed the harder shots + octagon control and takedowns even though Burrell prob landed more overall shots

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05-25-2013 , 07:32 PM

#12229

Swiiftx

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Yeah saw it thompson 10-9 too last 3min, didn't catch the 2 first min, facebook stream went down.

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05-25-2013 , 07:34 PM

#12230

Swiiftx

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Can tell burrell is kind of not used to this level of striking. Also nice to just hear Rogan talk, he treats it a bit like a podcast.

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05-25-2013 , 07:37 PM

#12231

SwoopAE

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20-18 Thompson, outclassing him standing - he does have a weird awkward style that won't work that well against wrestler/boxer types that come forward (eg Hendricks, Pierce)

I think Thompson's cardio is going but he's up 2 rounds so should be good

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05-25-2013 , 07:43 PM

#12232

SwoopAE

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Close third round, I had it for Thompson until the last 10 secs, Burrell may have edged it due to Thompson gassing. Either way though

I think 30-27 and 29-28 Thompson are both fine scores. Slightly worried about a robbery but Thompson should have it landing the better strikes/takedowns

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05-25-2013 , 07:45 PM

#12233

mlane

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alrighty swoop i've tailed you on this one.

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05-25-2013 , 07:46 PM

#12234

SwoopAE

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Nailed it with the split between 30-27 and 29-28, third was really tough to score.

+2u for the card now

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05-25-2013 , 07:47 PM

#12235

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by mlane

alrighty swoop i've tailed you on this one.

On the whole card or? I wouldn't have sized Nurmagomedov as big as I did if I had made the bets post-weighin, but overall happy with my picks and so far so good

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05-25-2013 , 07:48 PM

#12236

kingofcool

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is swoop some kind of bigshot around here?

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05-25-2013 , 07:49 PM

#12237

Swiiftx

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Haha esfandiari.

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05-25-2013 , 07:49 PM

#12238

just_mo

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Tilting 2u in on Teixeira ITD. Can't believe Bowles blew that lol laughable.

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05-25-2013 , 07:50 PM

#12239

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by kingofcool

is swoop some kind of bigshot around here?

I shouldn't be, i'm a marginal winner though, so if people want to tail me i'd say I do better than average ITT

Also, lol esfandiari

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05-25-2013 , 07:51 PM

#12240

Swiiftx

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How the **** did he get into the picture. They cut the stream right before I could hear him.

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05-25-2013 , 07:53 PM

#12241

TheAsianPlayboy

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i coulda had jones at -650 vs sonnen but swoop told me not to bet it so i didn't lol

I'm joking though, it's no biggie. Overall I appreciate swoop's posts.

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05-25-2013 , 07:53 PM

#12242

yoyobo

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Quote:

Originally Posted by kingofcool

is swoop some kind of bigshot around here?

I personally hold Swoops picks higher than most, just because he has alot of logic/reasoning behind his picks.

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05-25-2013 , 07:54 PM

#12243

SwoopAE

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Fertittas own the UFC and Ultimate Poker the new legal in Nevada poker room and they signed Esfandiari so they can say HE WON EIGHTEEN MILLION DOLLARS on PPV

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05-25-2013 , 07:55 PM

#12244

SwoopAE

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Originally Posted by TheAsianPlayboy

i coulda had jones at -650 vs sonnen but swoop told me not to bet it so i didn't lol

I'm joking though, it's no biggie. Overall I appreciate swoop's posts.

You'd have got pretty tilted if Sonnen survived the ground and pound and the ref called the fight because of the broken toe at the end of the round

Generally speaking I just don't bet favs bigger than -500 unless the other guy is literally drawing dead with no way to win due to the punchers chance/anything can happen in MMA rule. Like it or not, Jones' wrestling hadn't been tested by a wrestler as strong as Sonnen; we found out Jones wrestling was better than Sonnen's and now the only person to bet at LHW vs Jones is Machida at +500 or Anderson if he moves to LHW, otherwise bet on Jones all day going forward

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05-25-2013 , 08:01 PM

#12245

Swiiftx

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Jones is def better than -650 vs Sonnen, the only way he loses is due to some freakish injury, like he almost did.

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05-25-2013 , 08:03 PM

#12246

SwoopAE

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We now know that Sonnen can't take Jones down due to the strength differential. We didn't know that before the fight.

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05-25-2013 , 08:04 PM

#12247

kingofcool

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gonna start copying Swoops picks instead of trying to strain my feeble brain.

Oh wait, final question for you. Weidman or Silva?

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05-25-2013 , 08:05 PM

#12248

Donkab0mber

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Jones itd was as good a lock as Cain itd against Silva imo.

Smash the wife beater Khabib.

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05-25-2013 , 08:07 PM

#12249

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by kingofcool

gonna start copying Swoops picks instead of trying to strain my feeble brain.

Oh wait, final question for you. Weidman or Silva?

For me? heavy Silva at -200 or better, Silva to -300, pass to -550, Weidman at +550 or so

If I had to set a line and have someone else pick which side i'd be forced to take i'd say Silva -430

Here we go, smash him Khabib

-303 now, guess post weigh-in at -235 was the time to bet, I did think the late money would be on Khabib.