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01-10-2013 , 06:22 PM

#7226

Kirbynator

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 52,004

real odds must be like 20k to 1 lol

Quote

01-10-2013 , 10:22 PM

#7227

DjSkyy

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 2,735

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kirbynator

real odds must be like 20k to 1 lol

Quote

01-11-2013 , 01:32 PM

#7228

traz

Werewolf Super*

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 33,259

Fitch -165 vs Maia? Seems too good to pass up

Quote

01-11-2013 , 01:48 PM

#7229

anteatereater

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,977

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Noons also looks like he might have value at -250.

noons is now at -185 and better. anyone think that's not a good bet?

Quote

01-11-2013 , 03:37 PM

#7230

just_mo

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Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Quote:

Originally Posted by traz

Fitch -165 vs Maia? Seems too good to pass up

Dammit I grabbed Fitch -180 because I thought he was only gonna get worse...

Quote

01-11-2013 , 03:38 PM

#7231

Dustin D1

newbie

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 47

Quote:

Originally Posted by anteatereater

noons is now at -185 and better. anyone think that's not a good bet?

Its usually a bad sign when a line moves hard against the guy you like. I was leaning Noons but that line move worries me.

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01-11-2013 , 04:30 PM

#7232

SwoopAE

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,254

I'd lean Noons since he Couture hasn't impressed me but the problem is Noons hasn't impressed me lately either and is more likely to be leaving his prime as Couture enters it

Nothing at the strikeforce card stands out, i'll be waiting for the next two UFC cards both of which look good for betting.

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01-11-2013 , 06:14 PM

#7233

pieceofcake

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 795

did anyone just see the weigh ins? the guy that barnett is fighting looks like an absolute beast

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01-12-2013 , 07:31 AM

#7234

Swiiftx

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Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,991

Quote:

Originally Posted by pieceofcake

did anyone just see the weigh ins? the guy that barnett is fighting looks like an absolute beast

Doesn't really say anything. I mean Fedor and Cain look like bums when u look at their bodytypes but they have incredible cardio(more so cain) and were/are destroying ppl.

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01-12-2013 , 12:46 PM

#7235

SwoopAE

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This card seems like a showcase to get wins for the fighters the UFC wants to pick up with Noons/Couture and Marquardt/Saff being the only likely competitive ones

Doesn't mean it won't be fun but when the average odds on the card seem to be -400 it's probably going to be fairly one sided

I wouldn't be shocked to see only 0-1 underdogs win across the whole card but I guess it's MMA and anything can happen

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01-12-2013 , 01:02 PM

#7236

Swiiftx

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Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Well if you look at the roaster,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of...29:_4_fighters
there's not really lot of well known names as far as I know. Though tbh, I only watch UFC, so I really don't know any of the up and comers.

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01-12-2013 , 09:11 PM

#7237

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Threw some parlays on big favorites, various including Jacare, Cormier, Barnett, Cormier and Barnett ITD, Mousasi, and Kennedy. Only slimmer bets are MOusasi -230 and Marq TKO +180.

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01-12-2013 , 10:43 PM

#7238

just_mo

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Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Wow. So glad I didn't bet Noons, disgustingly bad decision. 30-27 I thought, only close round was the third.

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01-12-2013 , 10:44 PM

#7239

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Wheee, Couture gets it, finally I suck out on a split decision.

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01-12-2013 , 10:47 PM

#7240

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Had decent amount on noons but have ppl over so didnt see every sec of fight. Looked like noons was winning whenever I was watching, can someone elaborate on the scores/decision?

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01-12-2013 , 10:54 PM

#7241

just_mo

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Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Noons beat the hell out of him for the first two rounds. Outlanded by a significant margin and much more damaging strikes. Third round fairly back and forth. Haven't seen a soul on twitter who had that for Couture.

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01-12-2013 , 11:06 PM

#7242

DodgerIrish

Fraudulent Zodiac

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 28,217

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoDeViLs

Had decent amount on noons but have ppl over so didnt see every sec of fight. Looked like noons was winning whenever I was watching, can someone elaborate on the scores/decision?

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

I feel like I sucked out too but someone disagrees:

http://www.mmajunkie.com/news/2013/0...d-live-results

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01-12-2013 , 11:17 PM

#7243

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Not really. This was the same as the Machida Rampage dec. 2 close rounds with a dominant round. Noons would def win under pride/dream rules but not that surprising of an outcome here.

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01-12-2013 , 11:28 PM

#7244

just_mo

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lol which rounds were close? Noons was landing many more strikes and way harder strikes. Couture swung and missed a lot. This was Garcia/Phan if anything.

What a talent Jacare is...pretty excited to see him make the UFC jump. He's probably a top 3 MW in the world, he would tool fighters like Sonnen and Belfort. Only real weakness is an iffy chin. Thought he ate a bad decision against Rockhold too, though it was a close fight.

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01-12-2013 , 11:37 PM

#7245

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Rewatch 1st and 3rd. Couture landed more leg strikes and was more diverse. Noons countered. It was close.

Quote

01-12-2013 , 11:40 PM

#7246

just_mo

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Sure he landed more leg strikes. He also got hit in the face really hard way more. First was not particularly close lol Noons completely took command in the middle of the round.

There's a reason 90% of the MMA world scored that for Noons, including plenty of 30-27s

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01-12-2013 , 11:44 PM

#7247

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Sure he landed more leg strikes. He also got hit in the face really hard way more. First was not particularly close lol Noons completely took command in the middle of the round.

Lols, complete control... come on.

Quote

01-12-2013 , 11:47 PM

#7248

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

You do understand that 30-27's can be given despite close rounds right?

Quote

01-12-2013 , 11:58 PM

#7249

just_mo

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Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Of course.

So to be clear, you think that COuture could justifiably have won the first round despite being outstruck by both volume and power?

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01-13-2013 , 12:22 AM

#7250

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

I don't remember the stats for the first round, but he wasn't outstruck by much. And I don't see why you keep insisting Noons landed harder shots... both the kick by Couture at the end and the right hand were harder than anything Noons landed. And he had hard a few hard leg kicks before that too, and moved forward. So yes, it's justifiable for him to win the rd.

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