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Originally Posted by KyddDynamite
Not on the official cards, but I agree that he won the round.
The rest of the lines came out for UFC 235. I love Mickey Gall -210 and Johnny Walker -144. Also considering backing the two big favorite girls. I need to get some data, but I feel like girl -300 or higher over perform. Not enough variance in female fights with KOs and game changing punches. Anyone have thoughts on this?
I feel women mma is prob the least variance and most profitable betting. I don't have any data myself but just from observation, you much less shocking losses vs the mens fights.
Also most of the time (99%) we can rule out tko/ko and have props for dec or subs, this has to be value, I just can't be bothered to put study time in tbh. A vast majority go to dec, if you favor a particular fighter, might as well bet by dec, with perhaps a small prop win by sub, this surely has to be +EV.
Some fights are also horribly skewed and there's really good value, think Nunez vs Rousey, Nunez vs Tate and Nunez vs Cyborg (not as much value but I thought it was there nonetheless).