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Old 02-14-2019, 03:06 PM   #47701
Knittle
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Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by tikmassy View Post
You mind posting your bets pre fight?
Yeah, I did last week. Scroll back a page or two!

I'll post before the prelims though. If I wait on a play, I'll post it before the fight still.
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Old 02-14-2019, 05:10 PM   #47702
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Re: MMA Thread



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Old 02-14-2019, 08:52 PM   #47703
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Re: MMA Thread

lots of good bet on that card imo

i think barao can beat sanders..thats a fair gamble even if barao cant think str8 when he gets hit anymore!
i like luque, lentz,bermudez,phili,felder and velasquez....also nelson ,page

Last edited by Bravepitt; 02-14-2019 at 09:09 PM.
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Old 02-15-2019, 07:31 AM   #47704
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Re: MMA Thread

Added a few more bets alongside Ngannout at 2.75.

50 on Caceres at 4.0
200 on Holtzman at 1.6
100 on Mitrione at 2.0

I think Caceres is decent value given Kron is still pretty inexperienced in mma. In his last fight against Kawajiri he didn't use much footwork or angles and pretty walked straight forward into the clinch. Obviously on the ground he destroys Caceres but I think being Rickson's son he is being a little over hyped.

Was super impressed with Holtzman's last performance against Patrick. Looks to be putting everything together and although Lentz won his last fight, he's a fighter on the decline with a lot of miles on the clock. I think Holtzman is better on the feet with more power and has good enough defensive wrestling to keep Lentz off him.

Surprised Mitrione opened as an underdog to Kharitonov. Kharitonov looked good against Nelson but I think style wise Mitrione matches up well against Kharitonov. Mitrione moves better on feet, has quicker hands, covers distance better. Kharitonov is probably a better grappler but he is usually pretty content to strike with his opponents.

Kharitonov's recent win streak looks good but its against the likes of Joey Beltran and Sokoudjou. I don't think Mitrione is amazing value but I do think he should a marginal favourite in this spot
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Old 02-15-2019, 08:26 AM   #47705
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Re: MMA Thread

Kharitonov has outstanding boxing. He's only been stopped once on the feet in his career and that was the early haymaker by Javy Ayala. Although Aleksander Emelianenko did catch him a couple times before Kharitonov went for a sloppy takedown which ended in a quick GNP stoppage. Kharitonov has only lost by decision once, back in 2004 vs Big Nog.

Personally, I think Kharitonov should piece him up on the feet but a ko from the more athletic Mitrione seems likely as well considering 11 of Mitrione's 13 wins have come by KO/TKO.
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Old 02-15-2019, 03:13 PM   #47706
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Re: MMA Thread

Heeeeeeere goes that Ngannou line
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Old 02-15-2019, 05:40 PM   #47707
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Re: MMA Thread

Few things:
1) Albu scares me now.. 3 fights in 6 years under contract????????????????????????? god shes a dime tho and Russian.. and Whitmire is uhhh... vanilla?

2) Lol @ Cain saying he needs to do more than take down Francis. That should be his entire gameplan only lol. Focus on takedown and avoid damage.. man it's making me want to lean towards Francis here.

Excited for this card, but really excited for the next one.
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Old 02-15-2019, 07:24 PM   #47708
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Re: MMA Thread

just taking meathead tonight. small bet, not a huge degree of confidence in it and wouldn't shock me one bit if he gets ko'd. but a totally worn roy nelson landed some shots so i think mitrione will be able to land pretty easily and should use his athleticism to get the win.
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Old 02-15-2019, 07:34 PM   #47709
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Re: MMA Thread

Bellator 215 Risk $937.83

Matt Mitrione (+104) vs Sergei Kharitonov ~$108.00 for ~$112.32
Matt Mitrione (+100) vs Sergei Kharitonov $125.00 for $125.00
Matt Mitrione/Sergei Kharitonov Under 1 (-185) $185.00 for $100.00

Eduardo Dantas (-345) vs Toby Misech $344.83 for $100.00

John Douma (+375) vs Mike Kimbel $100.00 for $375.00

Austin Vanderford/Cody Jones Under 1 (+135) $75.00 for $101.25
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Old 02-15-2019, 08:01 PM   #47710
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Re: MMA Thread

Mitrione -120

Gl
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Old 02-15-2019, 09:03 PM   #47711
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Re: MMA Thread

Invicta FC 34 Risk $172.80

Vanessa Porto (-154) vs Pearl Gonzalez ~$172.80 for ~$112.21
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Old 02-15-2019, 10:49 PM   #47712
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Re: MMA Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimGunn View Post
John Douma (+375) vs Mike Kimbel $100.00 for $375.00
Nice bet!

I'm getting really old, both these kids were born after I graduated high school. Kimbel looks like a really nice prospect. It's probably good that he lost because some of these prospects are getting pushed way too much way too early. Not everyone is Jon Jones.
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Old 02-16-2019, 12:02 AM   #47713
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Re: MMA Thread

Took some Mitrione at a mix of -104 and -111 just due to the steam but it makes sense with them being strikers

Just found out Mitrione is older assumed he was younger but he's had less fights so I guess he's younger in fight years
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Old 02-16-2019, 12:28 AM   #47714
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Re: MMA Thread

Yeah, it's crazy he's older.

This would be the worst ending to a main event in MMA history, IMO. Worse than the Vitor/Couture eyelid cut (albeit with much lower stakes).
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Old 02-16-2019, 12:32 AM   #47715
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Re: MMA Thread

Yeah thats a pretty awful main event

That was almost like Eric Prindle vs Thiago Santos Parts 1 and 2. What is it with Bellator HW fights being ruined by groin kicks

At least it was a NC would have been tilted if he got himself DQ'd
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Old 02-16-2019, 02:02 PM   #47716
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Re: MMA Thread

Michael Page by KO TKO or Disqualification Method of Victory @ 11/10
Page v Daley
Sat Feb 16 2019
Receipt ID:

Bet Type:
Single Bet
Total Stake
75.00
Estimated Returns
157.50
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Old 02-16-2019, 04:02 PM   #47717
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Re: MMA Thread

yea i think hes going to get the finish. so much taller, rangier with power.
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Old 02-16-2019, 06:23 PM   #47718
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Re: MMA Thread

MVP -250
&
Cro Cop -162
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Old 02-16-2019, 07:23 PM   #47719
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Re: MMA Thread

taking daley and amosov.
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Old 02-16-2019, 09:05 PM   #47720
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Re: MMA Thread

Bellator 216 Risk $2,828.20

Michael Page/Paul Daley Over 2 (+110) $100.00 for $110.00
Michael Page wins in round 4 (+900) ~$18.00 for ~$162.00

Vitaly Minakov/Cheick Kongo Over 1 (-147) $147.00 for $100.00

Mirko Filipovic (-200) vs Roy Nelson ~$223.20 for ~$111.60
Mirko Filipovic (-205) vs Roy Nelson $205.00 for $100.00
Mirko Filipovic (-210) vs Roy Nelson $210.00 for $100.00
Mirko Filipovic (-215) vs Roy Nelson $215.00 for $100.00
Mirko Filipovic (-215) vs Roy Nelson $215.00 for $100.00
Mirko Filipovic/Roy Nelson Over 1 (-123) $123.00 for $100.00

Yaroslav Amosov (-270) vs Erick Silva $270.00 for $100.00
Yaroslav Amosov (-275) vs Erick Silva $275.00 for $100.00
Yaroslav Amosov (-315) vs Erick Silva $315.00 for $100.00
Yaroslav Amosov (-315) vs Erick Silva $315.00 for $100.00
Yaroslav Amosov/Erick Silva Over 1 (-147) $147.00 for $100.00

Valerie Loureda/Colby Fletcher Over 1 (+140) $50.00 for $70.00
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Old 02-16-2019, 09:55 PM   #47721
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Re: MMA Thread

think im backing off daley and just taking amosov. lines came closer to even and i wasn't super pumped about the bet in the first place.
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Old 02-16-2019, 11:52 PM   #47722
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Re: MMA Thread

classic erick silva fight. fast and powerful in the first round, then its over for him.
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Old 02-17-2019, 12:28 AM   #47723
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Re: MMA Thread

lul them judges in this Kongo fight. 30-27 o lerd
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Old 02-17-2019, 01:07 AM   #47724
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Re: MMA Thread

think it was 29-28 kongo. think kongo won by fighting for 45 seconds total.
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Old 02-17-2019, 02:12 AM   #47725
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Re: MMA Thread

I am a Kongo fan (I really appreciate his movement minimalism, technique and how ageless he is), but I had it 29-28 Minakov (and that with giving Kongo Rd 3).

The MVP fight was a travesty. MVP clearly lost the first 3 rounds, then came back nicely in 4th and 5th and promptly won 48-47 on all 3 scorecards.

Then, Roy Nelson vs. CroCop fight. It was very clearly Rds 1 and 2 for CroCop and Rd 3 for Big Country. It does not take an expert to see this. At least the judges got the winner correctly, but how can you score Rd 3 for Cro Cop (1 judge had it 30-27)? Were you even watching the fight?
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