Quote:
Originally Posted by bucktotal
if you plot price vs time using a log scale on the price axis, then it will become clear the the price movements in the past were actually larger as a % change. volatility (edit: as % change) has been decreasing since the beginning.
i can't list the news of the day for all price movements since the beginning. perhaps if you have specific examples i can probably relate a story about what was happening around that time, but in my opinion its a bit of a lost cause to try to pin every price movement to the news of the day. When the price is undervalued for some time, good news is responded to with price rises and bad news ignored. Vice versa when overvalued. I consider the price undervalued when it is at or below the marginal cost of mining, and overvalued when its about ~10-20x of that. Historically, trading on that info alone would do pretty well.
So you're not capable of telling me the magnitude of the price drops, but think I should be able to tell that info from the graphs.
You're actually right - I probably can and should have been more careful ...
You must not be watching your own investments if you need me to tell you the dates of drops and prices. Think we're all guilty of taking our eye off the ball, myself included - let that be a lesson to us all.
Will look over the bitcoin graphs tonight ...