Quote:
Originally Posted by Hdemet
I do not beleive it will happen as the statenment said ....PK believes that....
But it was my interpeatation that they are now going to try and salavage a RoW part of the company.
Lets assume that FTP owners want to sell 80% of the RoW bit of the company to an investor for the RoW only and retain 20% for themsleves.
Why wouldnt the investor then keep 80% of proceeds for operating RoW players and the 20% goes to the current owners who pay the DoJ and US players over the next five years (say) as the current owners sign up to relinquish everyhting their 20% generates until all US players and DoJ fines etc etc are paid?
Dont you think the DoJ would agree to that?
A much better alternative to just going broke with everyone looking bad and nobody getting anything.
We agree, they are going to try to reopen and not pay the US players with the idea that they can pay them later. Clearly this is the only plan left and who says that the AGCC will not let them do this....this way they need a lot less money.
It would be shocking if the AGCC allowed this, but KGC effectively has allowed it with UB, so there are regulators who have allowed this in the past.
Of course, this plan is a disaster, if this is what they are trying to do, but why not try?
Here is my take on things of a possible plan based on the type of Broker/Dealer they hired:
Raise $100-$200M in a debt or structured product offering to fund one of the non-gaming FTP companies and owners inject some additional capital. Since these companies are not gaming companies they can carry debt. If they raise the funds, then this money would be invested in the gaming companies to make them solvent. The bond holders would receive a share of profits from the gaming companies in some structure. Depending on how much they raise they may try to get the AGCC to agree to allow them to re-open with just enough capital to fund ROW players with a pledge that they will pay US players over time (assuming they cannot get enough for ALL players).
The above structure would be similar to the structure that UB/AB had in the past - its very risky for investors, especially here since there would be no way to give the investors a claim (a security interest) on the assets until the DOJ agreed to a deal.
This is just a guess, but assuming that we have got the right guys, then they are a high yield shop (according to their audit, High Yield is a main part of their business, but they also do investment banking) and such a deal would be up their ally. Still, we would not give it a lot of chances, given how long FTP has been down, but nothing is impossible.
Last edited by LedaSon; 09-14-2011 at 10:47 PM.