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Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands)

12-08-2020 , 05:18 AM
Only 322 k left in Dnegs account until reload time.

Good bet if it will happen before 12,5 k hands.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 05:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Threeflight
DN is living in a fantasy world.

In the post game interview today he is saying if variance and luck were even, then he would be about even or a little ahead.
If he truly believes that, he can gain massive ev finishing the challenge. Pretty sure he can get millions in action for the remaining hands getting at least 4-1.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 05:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SizzlerFTW
Only 322 k left in Dnegs account until reload time.

Good bet if it will happen before 12,5 k hands.
Would have broken him this last session. At peak he was down around $280k then he had presumably over $100k on the tables.

One can only hope for the 13.37 seconds of table chat lulz mania when dnegs gets stacked and reloads for 10,420.69.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 06:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by theskillzdatklls
Would have broken him this last session. At peak he was down around $280k then he had presumably over $100k on the tables.

One can only hope for the 13.37 seconds of table chat lulz mania when dnegs gets stacked and reloads for 10,420.69.
Haha exactly.

Losing a cool mirrion. I dno, that would be a good time to wake up and smell the coffee.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 08:25 AM
If DN really thinks it’s all just variance he should have no problem continuing to 25k hands right
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 08:43 AM
If he thinks it's variance he should continue indefinetly, or until there's like a 1% (or whatever he's comfortable with) chance he is better than Doug.

Has Doug said anything about more hole-cards streams?
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 09:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreamer
This is the problem. he may go from -20bb/100 to -10bb/100

But he still loses 500K over the next 12.5K hands.

His ego wont let him quit.

There is another huge difference. We know Dnegs could go on a huge tilt.
Doug has not shown any tendency to do that.
I would be a lot of money that this match will be over the very second Negreanu has managed to lose his initial $1,000,000 deposit.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 10:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wolli2013
But Dnegs gets relativly more better than Doug!
im not even sure this is true. it's easier too make adjustments to your opponent and pick up value that way where youre already the better player and very solid at what you do. it's harder and takes more work to improve your overall game

i mean doug can maybe spew less in some spots when he knows negreanu better but negreanu will have a hard time adding more aggression and fixing frequencies that might not be right
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 10:13 AM
What is the side bet for this? I have no idea why Dnegs agreed to this except his ego let him get carried away, it's a bloodbath (not the results btw, just how owned he's getting in various spots).
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 10:29 AM
Galfond was down 900k against VeniVidi in 100/200 PLO. He decided to continue because he thought he had been unlucky. If DNegs firmly believes he has been unlucky, maybe he should also continue :-)
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 10:35 AM
lol @ calling with a dominated gutshot , checking turn and hitting it river and calling yourself unlucky

plus daniel is hitting hands all the time for 7-10k pots as mentioned by a previous user

plus his hair is almost as bad as his postflop game
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 10:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Im Nacho Friend
Has Doug said anything about more hole-cards streams?

I think Doug was asked during Monday's post-game interview how much of an edge he gave up Friday during the occasional cards-up stream. IIRC Doug said he believes it was about a buy-in, or maybe half a buy-in. No set date on another cards-up stream though, as far as I know.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 10:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dappadan777
What is the side bet for this? I have no idea why Dnegs agreed to this except his ego let him get carried away, it's a bloodbath (not the results btw, just how owned he's getting in various spots).
The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people with low ability at a task overestimate their ability. It is related to the cognitive bias of illusory superiority and comes from people's inability to recognize their lack of ability. Without the self-awareness of metacognition, people cannot objectively evaluate their level of competence.

DNegs and friends wrt to HUNL

thinking dnegs and galfonds poker skill as similar seems lol to me

Last edited by NewAcctIsBest; 12-08-2020 at 10:55 AM.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 10:50 AM
You watch dnegs will turn it around!! He has just been unlucky. He’s by far the more skilled of the two..
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 11:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vinivici9586
id guess 9 before 7
If this is the case then i guess i don't feel bad for the guy if he continues to lose at this rate.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 11:26 AM
He has done decently and about what I expected. If I was playing Polk, I would have lost much worse. However, I don't know why he thinks he can beat Polk HU.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 12:02 PM
is there an update for the all in EV adjusted win rate?
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 12:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SizzlerFTW
Only 322 k left in Dnegs account until reload time.

Good bet if it will happen before 12,5 k hands.
Think that -674 takes into account 100k he won live so he should be down ~775k online, leaving him with 5.5 buyins. He might quit if him losing it all aligns with 12.5k hands but given how delusional he is, who knows. Not really sure why he keeps saying he got great odds to finish when he’s drawing stone dead. You get great +EV odds when the lottery hits like 800m+, doesn’t mean you should play it lol
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 12:37 PM
Rob Yong with an update on his own High Stakes Feud prop bet.

What do you think? Will the grudge match end at 12,500 hands or will it play out to they play on?


Last edited by dhubermex; 12-08-2020 at 12:43 PM.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 12:44 PM
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 12:48 PM
Updated match line is Doug -2500/+1300 Fair value -1347(93.09%)
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 12:55 PM
I don't see DN quitting anytime soon. He's been doing work building up the narrative of running bad (no comment on if he is or isn't) and quitting would go against this. I would expect a couple videos/twitter rants not related to his run bad in the lead up to a surrender.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 12:59 PM
Live cam w Doug is nice but I mean we need DNegs.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 01:18 PM
I don't think DN will quit at 12.5k hands.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
12-08-2020 , 01:22 PM
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote

      
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