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Soccer (EPL/CL/MLS etc) DFS Thread Soccer (EPL/CL/MLS etc) DFS Thread

11-29-2014 , 03:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mw828
loved mahrez, got burned. gonna blank everything.
They missed A ****load of points for Mahrez somehow, went back and counted his score as 8.75, which maybe could have been 5.75 or 7.75 turning a shot on net into a cross maaayybe. They updated after I emailed to 3.75 but are still short, feel free to email them if you have him, in the last 5 minutes of the first half he has 4.75 alone plus a shot at 14 minutes into the game, and sog and 2 crosses in the 48th minute.
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11-29-2014 , 03:33 PM
uhm, i sucked

did everyone suck?

downing/hazard not much, no W from goalie since i unfortunately moved to heaton off of mingolet when manquillo wasn't in which had been my original lineup

also had jenkinson instead of cresswell and ofc cresswell scores a goal
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11-29-2014 , 03:34 PM
oh not to mention di maria going down surely pwned many souls

Last edited by wazzu24; 11-29-2014 at 03:41 PM.
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11-29-2014 , 07:10 PM
yeah definitely sucked. one team had hazard + costa and the other had Di Maria. I had Mahrez and Young in both. The Di Maria lineup came close to cashing gpps actually thanks to everyone else doing well.

These two game Sunday slates are pretty lol for dfs. Tomorrow in particular will be interesting since I wouldn't rate anyone as much of a favorite.
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11-30-2014 , 01:30 AM
I've been crushing the 3 game slates pretty hard so I'll play tomorrow even if it is two games because I think people will be dumb and load up on city / spurs when I think the value is on everton/soton.
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11-30-2014 , 02:49 AM
i need some lukaku tomorrow on mondogoal, could get top 3 in the gpp there
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11-30-2014 , 09:04 AM
Any insight on whether or not baines plays?
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11-30-2014 , 09:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DuckSauce
I've been crushing the 3 game slates pretty hard so I'll play tomorrow even if it is two games because I think people will be dumb and load up on city / spurs when I think the value is on everton/soton.
I don't like any Everton forward players in this one. Howard and fullbacks definitely very reasonable options here.

Soton has lots of good options, but is kind of similar. Much prefer the back than the front, where Pelle is overpriced and even Tadic is more risky than usual.

Spurs seem boom/bust.
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11-30-2014 , 11:25 AM
started out pretty well but went downhill. didn't have hart or any city defenders. thought about clichy and those who took him got a big garbage time reward.
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11-30-2014 , 12:43 PM
Have mirallas / eriksen as they were the highest rated players in my model for this game. Also have coleman cause couldn't afford baines.

Sometimes I wonder when I have a bad day and still win money how someone could have possibly picked worse than me since all the players I decided not to pick are the ones who do well. It's like if you aren't picking similar players to me and arent getting the players to do well what in the literal **** are you doing.
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11-30-2014 , 02:32 PM
people with tadic got burned.

i would have cashed it all if i hadn't played forster. had the funds to get someone else too. hovering on the border in every cash game so basically b/e so meh. lost gpps.
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11-30-2014 , 06:21 PM
I didn't get a chance to swap out Long from my lineup but I still ended up in the money thanks to Clichy's goal. If I had woken up early and swapped Long say for Eriksen then I would have done really well in the gpps. Looks like it would be the right time to start fading Southampton players.
Anyways, looking towards the slate of pl games on tuesday and wednesday.
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11-30-2014 , 08:03 PM
I've gone cold as ice after the hottest start possible
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11-30-2014 , 08:06 PM
What subforum is this thread under these days? I can't seem to find it anywhere without going through the old "Moved" link
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12-01-2014 , 05:06 PM
well hello there tuesday EPL slate, didn't know that was coming

appears mondogoal isn't running anything tho which is super lame
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12-01-2014 , 08:45 PM
mata must play or is it a tarp?

who the f is my goalie?

this is hard
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12-01-2014 , 09:40 PM
Mata may be tarp due to never.really playing full 90. Fat wayne is prob best pick from that game Esp with adm out.
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12-01-2014 , 09:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wAzZu24
mata must play or is it a tarp?

who the f is my goalie?

this is hard
Speroni @3.5 home vs villa seems like most ldo play
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12-01-2014 , 09:49 PM
I wonder if it would be better to use last 4-6 games for player stats as opposed to entire season for soccer. Would help realize trends developing quicker when tactics or positions change and player production improves from it.
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12-01-2014 , 11:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DuckSauce
Mata may be tarp due to never.really playing full 90. Fat wayne is prob best pick from that game Esp with adm out.
Rooney def gonna play? Falcao back in the mix
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12-01-2014 , 11:23 PM
Well obv if rooney doesnt play its moot.
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12-02-2014 , 12:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DuckSauce
I wonder if it would be better to use last 4-6 games for player stats as opposed to entire season for soccer. Would help realize trends developing quicker when tactics or positions change and player production improves from it.
plan on trying to build a good model at some point that uses multiple seasons but is weighted towards recent performances.

how did you handle the first ~6 games if you are just using this season? or players injured for a while.

have rooney and mata as fairly comparable plays this week. saw the same with speroni but not putting all of my eggs in that basket.
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12-02-2014 , 12:29 AM
Anybody know about how many 50/50s run at say $5/10 level on a given PL Saturday? Always thought it was like none but I guess if you are checking a lot you can get it quite a few ?
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12-02-2014 , 01:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mw828
Anybody know about how many 50/50s run at say $5/10 level on a given PL Saturday? Always thought it was like none but I guess if you are checking a lot you can get it quite a few ?
not very many. there's always a few more posted as the first ones fill, but they don't fill very quickly in large part because they are reg infested and most are only 20 player games. really not a big fan of 20 player 50/50s when at least half the field are regs. whether all of said regs are actually good or not is debatable, but as someone who as dozens of entries in 50/50s for football, i don't feel that comfortable in 20 player tiny 50/50s and i suspect aware casuals feel similarly
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12-02-2014 , 01:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mw828
plan on trying to build a good model at some point that uses multiple seasons but is weighted towards recent performances.

how did you handle the first ~6 games if you are just using this season? or players injured for a while.

have rooney and mata as fairly comparable plays this week. saw the same with speroni but not putting all of my eggs in that basket.
Stayed on top of projected lineups and if players looked to start on teams i was targeting i did more research. Also I read a lot of other sites in case I miss anything. My model handles the bulk of my picks, but I try to keep my eyes open for other suggestions and then further investigate if something pops up that isn't in my model.

Also elliot @ 3k for NCU could be a great play but newcastle backline looks to be ravaged. Still not convinced burnley is actually good at scoring, and likely just running hot since they have a low shot count. People will be on ings heavily so think it may be good to fade him.

Think people will make the same mistake with QPR as well, they are wretched away from home making fabianski a decent play possibly.

See no reason not to stack rooney and mata in a LU or two esp for GPP. For cash I like rooney if he starts. He's just going to handle so much of the workload with ADM out. One of the few forwards who has a high ceiling and high floor + also takes PKs.
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