I would say loosen up your opening ranges a fair bit but mostly from late position(unless you play tonnes of tables at the same time). You should probably have bigger gaps between your opening percentages positionally so open up on the button a bit more. Other than that looks pretty good methinks.

plz to be gentle. this is my first go playing short handed and i'm not remotely sure what my takeaway is supposed to be from these numbers except that something needs to change

http://i.imgur.com/M46wW5o.jpg

Slow going at 10 NL 6-max for me. Where am I going wrong?

Some things stand out:

Low 3-bet in CO and BTN. Partially that's just sample size and cards - obviously I am not betting a narrower range there than from MP, but also I need to open up a little with some lighter 3-bets, especially against fish.

Low river calling efficiency - I need to call less on the river, especially against raises.

Turn aggression is higher than flop aggression. What's the problem here? Am I playing too passively on the flop? Barreling too hard on the turn?

Small winrate from late position - am I doing something wrong here?

I am sure there are other things I am too fishy to even notice. What do you guys see?

You can open more on button and somewhat more on CO.

@Kraftwerk: yes, you could definetely 3bet more from about any position other than MP. Your flop cbet% seems kind of standard, so I guess you are barreling too much on the turn, but your pic doesn't show.

http://imgur.com/egoNfOi

http://imgur.com/kvStVBC

http://imgur.com/POryj7K

im more interested in what the chances of me running almost 30 BI under EV is over 42k hands.

feel free to critique anything else though

Dont focus on what you should be winning. The forums are full of people that had bad swings. Upswings and downswings are going to happen to every player that plays a lot of hands. 42k hands is just a small sample imo

I'm not bothered by it I expect it. I'm just interested in the maths behind it

There are varience calculators online. You can just google it. Id like to give you the link, but i cant since im on my phone atm

I dont understand how to use the variance calculators. can anyone help me with this please?

need alot of help please<3

no one?

I'll take a stab.
Nothing really stands out over this smallish sample.

Could open more from CO & BTN, ie steal more.

You're cold calling from blinds a bit high. Tighten up a bit maybe. You should be playing more from BB than SB but this could be due to sample size.
Actually i'm not too sure about blind play. If someone could correct me would be nice.

WTSD is a touch high, W$SD a touch low.
You're either calling down and/or bluffing too much.

here are my 3B stats by position pf

SB - 9
BB 8.9
EP -
MP - 5.2
CO - 4.9
BTN - 6.6

am i 3B too liberally from the blinds? or is this about right

Just get pokerstove and mess around with it.

Your 3b numbers look fine but they don't tell the whole story.
From the post on your stats you're calling too much from blinds. Either 3b or fold most of time.

Thx for the response!

http://pokerdope.com/poker-variance-calculator/

what do you mean? just plug in the numbers and push "calculate".^^ then the calculator simulates a bunch of random walks given the input parameters.

edit: actually the downswing analysis is pretty interesting and horrifying. 60 buy-in downswing? fu variance, bitch!

omfg, 3.7% chance of a 1 million hand downswing. gross!

After using PT for years I just noticed the Showdown/Non Showdown button. I think it just showed a clear leak in my game. Any links or suggestions?

I'm not sure whats more shocking: that you've had PT for years and never clicked on showdown/non-showdown or you're ridic horrible redline.

Try being less nitty and bet more.

On a serious note, it's difficult to give suggestions just based on a graph. You will need to post stats along with games/stakes you play. Positional stats that show flop, turn and river etc.

I don't want to hear people coming ITT with their "it doesn't matter what the red line is, it's all about the green line". STFU already, the red line is critical since it becomes a much larger hurdle as you move up. This simply can not be such a drag on the green, I'm sorry.

Address this issue now imo.

Hello everyone,

Here is my graph and corresponding stats for this month at 10NL: Graph and Stats.

Clearly I have a huge problem with my red line but I just can't understand what I'm doing wrong. I'd appreciate any info and advice anyone can give me, specially one concerning my horrible red line.

Thanks in advance!

Hi all!

My questions is about red line.
Is that standard to have a worse nonsd winning while in a losing streak than in the longrun?
Or there is no coherency between the red line and how someone is running ?

I would say that there is, yes.

There's many ways which you can 'run-bad' which has no impact on your EV-adjusted winnings. You could simply be flopping badly, running into the top of people ranges, encountering horrible run-outs etc etc. On all the above examples, your nonsd winnings would suffer.

As a general rule (and this is by no means a staple rule), your nonsd line should be at least half that of your showdown line. This is not something to aim for; instead use it as a 'check' against how your nonsd line is doing.

As I mentioned in my above post, your nonsd line is not as important in the lower stakes (and obviously not as important as your green line) but as you move up, a poor nonsd line is unsustainable, imo.

As an overall rant, I wanted to talk about HEM stats. This is to no-one in particular and only to those who care to read.

I think that it is really valuable to spend time in HEM, using the Reports feature and going through areas that are contributing to your bb/100 and spots that are detracting from your bb/100. For example, I will bring up my monthly (or sometimes life-time) graph and check various situations, such as calling 3bets, or double-barrelling, to see if they have had a positive impact on my winnings. You would need a decent sample size, say 50k hands.

As a more specific example, to get an idea of what to look for - for those who have yet to use this tool - you may cold-calling OTB/CO. You can use the Reports to see whether this is profitable. If this isn't profitable, you need to consider the ranges played OTB/CO when calling a PFR (too many hands?), versus your opponents range (is my range too weak, or am I being bluffed?) and adjust accordingly.

I sometimes run Stoves for these spots, however it's not just about hot-and-cold equity. You need to think about ‘playability’ – how well does this hand play, potentially in a multi-way pot? Maybe you need to limit the number of hands played, (unless there is a whale in the blinds etc) or perhaps you should raise more flops instead of playing fit-or-fold (what hands should you do this with? Bring up Stove).

It might be that you’re profitable in these spots (hoorah, although you really should be). In which case, could you add more hands? Would adding more hands to your range be even more profitable? Bring up Stove and previous HHs and check. It may not be, over your next 50k hand sample.

I recently noticed that my bb/100 was suffering a little from my calling in the blinds, which I deduced was from calling too much in multi-way pots with ‘speculative’ hands. I had no idea. I didn’t really think I called that much (and I don’t really) but it is losing me $. My fix: call less and squeeze more. My bb/100 is positively effected by squeezes and I need to add more to my squeezing range from the blinds. What hands? Bring up Stove.

End of rant.