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Stats and Graphs Analysis Thread Stats and Graphs Analysis Thread

06-21-2009 , 04:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by #1ThunderFan
Your spewing hardcore from the blinds. Read up on blind play. Also you arent 3betting enough IMO. Also, looks like you are stealing a little to much and may be getting exploited.
My blind play is standard.

I steal selectively, and am certainly not being exploited by the 9/5 10 ATS who fold 10/11 times.
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06-21-2009 , 04:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by disco_stu1978
I think it would depend a lot on how that set developed. If you flopped it, turned it. If it was a pair on the board and one in the whole etc.
Yeah, I know, but over a bunch of hands the differences should even out. What I'm really trying to get at is if my winning % with these hands, since I can't separate sets from trips flopped/turned/rivered etc. (PT2 ftl). So I could either be doing a couple things, not reading when I should be folding correctly, which I don't think is a big problem, or I'm too strong when I have big hands. Or it could be simple variance, but without some numbers for comparison I've got nothing to go on.

Quote:
I got 79,2% for 144 hands for about 1300 ptBB/100, it's over my 45k hand sample.

I can't tell if its high or low though.
What level is this at, mine's way different. Which makes me want to narrow this to NL25 players for ease of comparison.
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06-21-2009 , 04:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AKSpartan
My blind play is standard.

I steal selectively, and am certainly not being exploited by the 9/5 10 ATS who fold 10/11 times.
Just saying you MAY be getting exploited. Mid 40's is fairly high. Just my simple opionion though.
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06-21-2009 , 10:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptVimes
Quick question, when you take three of a kind to Showdown, what's a good winning percentage? Trying to spot leakage and/or weird variance.
Not sure if I'm looking at the right thing or not, but over the last 4 months, 92k hand sample, three of a kind went to showdown 126 times. W$SD% is 80% . I'm running right about at EV, roughly 3kbb/100.
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06-22-2009 , 03:35 AM
can somebody look at their bb/100 for all hands at any level excluding AA?

I just moved up to 25NL and am doing well (7.32 bb/100), but I feel like the majority of that is because i have been running goot with my aces.

Right now, I'm running at -2.9 bb/100 for all hands excluding AA and I have a feeling that that is a very bad sign. This could just be variance (only 5k sample at 25NL so far) or a future indication of some leaks. Anyways, just want to know what a good number to be aiming for on my non-AA hands is.
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06-22-2009 , 06:04 AM
I'm running at 4PTBB/100 without AA. Meaning AA adds 4PTBB/100 to my win rate!
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06-22-2009 , 09:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dabomb75
can somebody look at their bb/100 for all hands at any level excluding AA?

I just moved up to 25NL and am doing well (7.32 bb/100), but I feel like the majority of that is because i have been running goot with my aces.

Right now, I'm running at -2.9 bb/100 for all hands excluding AA and I have a feeling that that is a very bad sign. This could just be variance (only 5k sample at 25NL so far) or a future indication of some leaks. Anyways, just want to know what a good number to be aiming for on my non-AA hands is.
Sometimes aces are all you need, but it will eventually even out and you will start hitting your other hands. Eventually your aces will get cracked a couple times too. Long term game, try not to let short term variance effect you. I assume this is not over many hands since you wrote "Just moved up."
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06-22-2009 , 01:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptVimes
Sometimes aces are all you need, but it will eventually even out and you will start hitting your other hands. Eventually your aces will get cracked a couple times too. Long term game, try not to let short term variance effect you. I assume this is not over many hands since you wrote "Just moved up."
Yea I know, short term, variance, blah blah lol. It just makes me sad looking at HEM and seeing a negative number when I take out my aces.

And yes, it is a very small sample (5k hands). But I was just wondering what a good number should be for those non-AA hands since I read somewhere that for the higher stakes guys, AA + KK make up 60% of their profit.
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06-23-2009 , 08:04 AM
Uh, standard wtsd% is 20-25 right? I know this isn't a stat you can just change by playing different but what is indicative of your play if this stat ie either too high or too low? you call down too much/little and aren't being aggresive enough/too agressive with your made hands ?
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06-23-2009 , 11:12 AM
AFAIK WTSD 25 to 29 can also be normal if you play a passive style. Over 30 is a real calling station in my book. Below 20 is weak, unless combined with very high and good aggression, making others fold so also no showdown.
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06-23-2009 , 07:03 PM
What's the highest anyone would recommend an ATS% to be? After ~14k hands my ATS is 49%!!

I have literally been trying to steal with ATC given the chance of opening on the button. How successful can this strategy be? Any filters I can use to see if it is being successful or not.

Edit - So far I have only ran into one reg who picked up on my tendencies to steal from the button with atc.
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06-23-2009 , 11:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrPowell222
What's the highest anyone would recommend an ATS% to be? After ~14k hands my ATS is 49%!!

I have literally been trying to steal with ATC given the chance of opening on the button. How successful can this strategy be? Any filters I can use to see if it is being successful or not.

Edit - So far I have only ran into one reg who picked up on my tendencies to steal from the button with atc.
I would say you need to look asuccess rate and move towards a law of diminishing returns. If you are getting away with your steals...then maybe try to steal more. Keep messing with thbalance until you get to a point that you have maxed out your success, then slide the dial down and pilage.

edit: what tracker do you use?
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06-24-2009 , 03:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrPowell222
What's the highest anyone would recommend an ATS% to be? After ~14k hands my ATS is 49%!!

I have literally been trying to steal with ATC given the chance of opening on the button. How successful can this strategy be? Any filters I can use to see if it is being successful or not.

Edit - So far I have only ran into one reg who picked up on my tendencies to steal from the button with atc.
HEM has a steal success % stat available in the main Reports section.
FWIW, my ATS is 48.4 and my success rate is 59.0%.
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06-24-2009 , 01:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vinnie2k
HEM has a steal success % stat available in the main Reports section.
FWIW, my ATS is 48.4 and my success rate is 59.0%.
It ould appear that from my stats above, I am 29/70....so I think I am leaving a little bit of money on the table.....sigh.
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06-25-2009 , 05:05 PM
Sorry guys: another blind question. I've read the various posts about it and just want to be sure I'm not killing my wr from my play here.

It's a combo of NL25 and NL50 play.

Thanks guys! Now rip me to shreds





Is this normal? It is possible to have a red line that is close to zero at any level, never mind the micros?
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06-25-2009 , 05:22 PM
Hey guys.
I have a big problem, so i can't beat nl10sh with a good winrate. I played the last 80k Hands for under 1ptbb/100 and can't build my bankroll with this sick rate. So i dont know where my leaks are and I hope you could help me a bit
I'm really tight, I know that, so i try to open up my PFR and VPIP, but i think my leaks are postflop and in the non-sd winnings!
Do you can tell me pls how to flatt the red line or something else, so i can get a better rate?


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06-25-2009 , 05:23 PM


And with the blinds filtered it goes nicely up.

So am I leaking massively from the blinds?
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06-25-2009 , 07:56 PM
smart_und_weise thats pretty good volume for 40 days. I can't offer much but I think you're playing far too tight for 6max. For 2NL FR I'm running at around 15/10. You should be stealing more and raising a lot more from the BTN if its folded to you.
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06-25-2009 , 10:26 PM
Hey guys long time player here finally trying to get serious and grind my way up. Currently playing NL10 on FullTilt.

Kinda getting frutrated by the grind but trying to keep at it. First 3k are from 6max then I changed and started playing full ring. Anything stand out to anyone?






Last edited by bankbreaka; 06-25-2009 at 10:40 PM.
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06-26-2009 , 07:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bankbreaka
Hey guys long time player here finally trying to get serious and grind my way up. Currently playing NL10 on FullTilt.

Kinda getting frutrated by the grind but trying to keep at it. First 3k are from 6max then I changed and started playing full ring. Anything stand out to anyone?

It all looks good to me. You appear to be positionally aware can I can't see anything too obvious.

Embrace the grind!!
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06-26-2009 , 02:36 PM
Hi guys,

I am currently 16 Tabling 25nl and i feel like I have a lot of leaks.

FIrst off heres the stats:



I belive I am going to show down away too much. Also I am wining a lot of pots on the flop, too many i feel. SHould i cut down on my bet size or check more often?



Any help would be greatly appreciated
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06-26-2009 , 05:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wipeout
Hi guys,
1) One thing I noticed right off the bat was that your VPIP is higher at the SB than at any other position, meaning you are completing way too often (with such a small sample that could just be from getting good cards, who knows)

2) Your VPIP is 4% higher than your PFR, which is really high considering how few hands you are playing

3) lastly, as you said, your WTSD is way too high. Should be in the 23-25% range i think
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06-26-2009 , 06:01 PM
i play on cake so dont have any definate stats, but from the very basic stats they provide mid session, for 9 tables, of approx 100 hands per table, the following is my "SHOWDOWNS WON" stats:

1) 0 of 2 (0%)
2) 1 of 6 (17%)
3) 1 of 3 (33%)
4) 2 of 5 (40%)
5) 2 of 5 (40%)
6) 0 of 9 (0%)
7) 1 of 6 (17%)
8) 1 of 6 (17%)
9) 3 of 4 (75%)

What might these stats mean, is there an obvious leak?
Should I be seeing more showdowns? i think i'm seeing a showdown in approx 5% of hands
Does this suggest I'm calling to light?

How can i adjust my game to counter this?

thanks.
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06-27-2009 , 01:46 AM
I have been 24 tabling through the lowest stakes for close to 100k hands and I think I'm ready to take some shots at 25NL here shortly. Hoping I can get someone to take a look at my stats and let me know if there are any obvious leaks I can work on though.



With my position stats the first picture is from my 2-5NL hands and the second is my 10NL hands.

When comparing the two, the main thing that jumps out at me is my showdown percentage from middle and early position. For those five positions on the lower levels it is close to 65% while it is only 56% at 10NL. What is the typical percentage for these positions? I think this is the main reason for my winrate drop off when I went to 10NL but maybe I was just running good on the lower levels or went against more fish (or both). Any thoughts? Thanks!
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06-27-2009 , 10:06 AM
I took a break from poker for exams, and have just been playing the past week and half, and just cannot get anything going.. before exams, i was a 4ptbb over 70k+ hands, and now over 15k hands im down 2 buy ins...

Ive compared the stats, and i know my wtsd is a bit too high, which is due to not being aggressive enough due to lack of confidence etc, but is there anything else you notice that i could fix?

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