We laugh at things because they scare us: WORLDS LONGEST FUTURE GUESSTIMANIA POLITICAL GAME - Page 2

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We laugh at things because they scare us: WORLDS LONGEST FUTURE GUESSTIMANIA POLITICAL GAME

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12-01-2016 , 03:27 AM

#26

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

You're not in lines, as far as I can tell.

Quote

12-02-2016 , 03:55 AM

#27

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

Gonna close entries tonight.

I'm open on the question of whether to reveal all answers now , or hold on until each category is answered

Quote

12-02-2016 , 03:37 PM

#28

lilrascal

Rum and Come

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 14,772

In for the lulz

Quote

12-02-2016 , 06:11 PM

#29

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

11 intrepid time travellers. Unless I hear good reasons to the contray, I think I'll reveal the answers tomorrow and the wait can commence.

aarondk56
accobra kid
dark magus
IANAWW
Jedi
JMurder3
King of NYC
lilrascal
nails
pwnsall
Xander Biscuits

Quote

12-02-2016 , 06:58 PM

#30

xander biscuits

watching a movie

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 40,165

I think revealing the answers first is the right move

I think everyone should get a good lol at my answers

plus this isn't just you kokiri, but why do people capitalise my name? It happens a lot for some reason

Quote

12-02-2016 , 09:59 PM

#31

lilrascal

Rum and Come

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 14,772

Quote:

Originally Posted by xander biscuits

Mine gets misspelled and mis-capitalized.

Some people put it as LOLrascal instead of lilrascal.

Quote

12-02-2016 , 11:07 PM

#32

DarkMagus

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 8,391

Quote:

Originally Posted by xander biscuits

and mine got uncapitalized

Quote

12-03-2016 , 04:25 AM

#33

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

When I'm not just c&ping, all bets are off

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:31 PM

#34

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

1. Years Trump serves as president (before being impeached, outvoted, dying in office after suspending the constitution and ruling for 25 years, etc)

Name	answer
aarondk56	1
IANAWW	2
accobra kid	4
dark magus	4
Jedi	4
JMurder3	4
King of NYC	4
nails	4
pwnsall	4
Xander Biscuits	4
lilrascal	8

Only one person willing to guess El Trump will manage a second term.

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:34 PM

#35

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

2. Years until a Trump executive order is struck down as unconstitutional

Name	##
pwnsall	0.547945205
aarondk56	1
IANAWW	1
JMurder3	1
King of NYC	1
dark magus	2
nails	2
Xander Biscuits	2
accobra kid	2.33
Jedi	3
lilrascal	5

I'll be honest, I don't really know what process needs to be followed for this category to be met

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:37 PM

#36

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

3. Number of seats gained/lost by the GOP in 2018 midterm elections

Name	###
aarondk56	-50
dark magus	-25
Jedi	-24
lilrascal	-17
IANAWW	-12
JMurder3	-11
nails	-10
pwnsall	-3
King of NYC	2
accobra kid	24
Xander Biscuits	46

Anyone know how many seats will be up for grabs? Should I have specified Senate/Representatives? Do I know what I'm talking about at all?

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:40 PM

#37

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

4. Number of electoral votes the GOP candidate gets in 2020

Name	####
aarondk56	180
dark magus	199
IANAWW	205
King of NYC	225
Jedi	243
nails	248
JMurder3	257
Xander Biscuits	282
pwnsall	290
lilrascal	315
accobra kid	326

3 people seem to be expecting a non-trump candidate in '20

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:42 PM

#38

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

Number of supreme court justices Trump replaces. Aka, how many judges die in office +1

Name	5. ###
aarondk56	1
JMurder3	1
dark magus	2
King of NYC	2
Jedi	2
nails	2
Xander Biscuits	2
IANAWW	3
pwnsall	3
accobra kid	3
lilrascal	5

TBH, I can't really bring myself to think about this too closely

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:43 PM

#39

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

6. Months until Hillary is formally indicted/pardoned

Name	####
aarondk56	1
dark magus	2
IANAWW	2
accobra kid	3
nails	6
JMurder3	7
Xander Biscuits	9
lilrascal	9
pwnsall	37
King of NYC	1000
Jedi	1000

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:44 PM

#40

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

7. Date that UK formally leaves the EU

Name	####
Jedi	6
accobra kid	1-Apr-18
Xander Biscuits	20-Jul-18
IANAWW	5-Nov-18
pwnsall	25-Nov-18
lilrascal	28-Feb-19
JMurder3	1-Mar-19
dark magus	1-May-19
nails	30-Jun-19
aarondk56	1-Jul-19
King of NYC	1-Jan-20

I'll try to clarify what Jedi meant.

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:46 PM

#41

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

8. %GDP damage caused by UK leaving the EU

Name	Answer
pwnsall	1%
nails	2%
JMurder3	2.2%
lilrascal	3%
dark magus	6.7%
accobra kid	13%
Xander Biscuits	15%
aarondk56	15%
Jedi	19%
IANAWW	20%
King of NYC	20%

I'll take the over. If it happens

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:49 PM

#42

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

9. Years Theresa May serves as Prime Minister

Name	Answer
pwnsall	2
aarondk56	2
Jedi	2
IANAWW	2
nails	3
lilrascal	3
dark magus	3.25
accobra kid	3.25
JMurder3	5
Xander Biscuits	5
King of NYC	8

Got a few 'who?'s for this. I feel like 3 or lower is possible if Brexit is a debacle. OTOH there's literally no opposition atm,

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:52 PM

#43

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

10. %age of the first round vote that Marine Le Pen gains in the first round of the French presidential elections

Name	Answer
pwnsall	11%
aarondk56	20%
IANAWW	20%
accobra kid	26.25%
dark magus	26.80%
King of NYC	27%
Xander Biscuits	29%
nails	31%
JMurder3	32%
lilrascal	37%
Jedi	42%

I was in Paris when Le Pen's father got into the runoff about 10 years ago and was disturbed from some extracurricular activities by the sound of french people in the streets. Then I went to a cafe, had a bottle of wine and managed to pay a random passerby rather than the waiter, and had a huge row with the bartender.

Quote

12-03-2016 , 03:52 PM

#44

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

Lettuce gogogogogo

Quote

12-03-2016 , 06:14 PM

#45

xander biscuits

watching a movie

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 40,165

I'm actually pretty happy that I was only at the extreme of 1 table which makes my picks not ridiculous (or at least not more ridiculous than the picks of others).

Dignity maintained...

Quote

12-03-2016 , 10:19 PM

#46

lilrascal

Rum and Come

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 14,772

I think #2 will be the interesting one. From what I was just looking up (and it was hard to find much) it's pretty rare for an executive order to be overturned by the Supreme Court as unconstitutional. Congress usually gets involved changing the laws, but it doesn't make the executive order qualify as "unconstitutional".

Quote

01-26-2017 , 06:54 PM

#47

kokiri

ffermwr moch

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 52,228

Bumpo

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.cc0143bcaf8b

Quote

01-26-2017 , 08:29 PM

#48

Booker Wolfbox

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 38,480

I was sure I entered this but don't seem to be in the tables.

Quote

01-27-2017 , 12:21 AM

#49

jedi

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 6,938

Quote:

Originally Posted by kokiri

7. Date that UK formally leaves the EU

Name	####
Jedi	6
accobra kid	1-Apr-18
Xander Biscuits	20-Jul-18
IANAWW	5-Nov-18
pwnsall	25-Nov-18
lilrascal	28-Feb-19
JMurder3	1-Mar-19
dark magus	1-May-19
nails	30-Jun-19
aarondk56	1-Jul-19
King of NYC	1-Jan-20