Someone other than Dynasty, Gaby, Alex or me has won on 23 of the last 30 days. Hardly a shutout.

Wins during last 30 days:

player	wins
Paul101	7
mrgibson	4
Alex	3
Gaby	3
dogfloss	3
Dynasty	2
wafflesobv	2
velourfog	2
Kokirixx	2
Guessinator	2
Gerad	2
Latt	1
Meg.	1
anton-09	1
mikeb	1
Donk4	1
consul	1
iluvbanana	1
Popcorn	1

I put together something that Dynasty requested a while back. These probably tell ~nothing with a sample size of 10 tourneys, but here you go anyways. Stats of Variance is a beach tourney series. I changed the rating a bit with 4 rounds instead of 3 in those tourneys, it now values winning tourneys less, and max is 250.

I added a new stat to tourney results some time ago, and although the sample size isn't really that great, the percentages are now nicely in line with what is expected, so this is good time to post them.



So this is supposed to reflect how the odds of winning change by changing the amount of games played in matches. And indeed it seems like best of 9s are the most skill-based, followed by 7s, 5s, 3s and 1s in order.

My 2013 26000 DC average dream as good as died yesterday.

For best of 1s, why are win % and game win % different?

Also, you missed best of 100s.

Ties?

Yep, won one more match than lost with a game score of 1-1.

And wrt the best of 100, the total shown it that is for best of 1s, 3s, 5s, 7s and 9s. I also have one best of 6 match that isn't included. It was a best of 7 or 9 (don't remember which), but opponent only played 6 games, so I didn't classify that as best of 7/9, since I don't count byes as wins for the stats.

There was some kind of confusion earlier about the DC win totals after the update. Have people kept track of what they think their win totals should be? Obv shouldn't be that difficult to go back and count from the last update itt if needed. Would be easier without that though. I'm asking because I was thinking of doing some kind of quick analysis of win amounts using data from the challenge summary page. I should also finally check if I have any data saved from year 2012...

Hmm, I guess don't even need to know anything about the other win totals, can just compare the number of wins to what it currently says for totals. Lol me.

Also, paging NP for Black Widow stats after 50 tourneys. Or was the plan to wait for even more tourneys?

Wins in 2013 so far. Most winners on the same day was 10 on June 1st.

player	wins
Paul101	56
Gaby	39
Alex	31
Dynasty	31
velourfog	31
anton-09	29
Derwi	26
dogfloss	26
Kokirixx	26
Donk4	19
Zac	19
Meg.	16
mrgibson	16
Treep	15
Latt	14
Popcorn	14
mikeb	12
Guessinator	10
consul	9
NP	9
TH10	8
aggie1717	6
Sugartastic	6
bozzer	5
kioshk	5
Spinst	5
Yarlith	4
Gerad	3
radisto	3
Tanya	2
wafflesobv	2
Charmees	1
ElectricChic	1
Hg80	1
ibavly	1
iluvbanana	1
Janine	1
LOLBruins	1
poopy666	1
Skidmark	1

2012. Most winners on the same day was 12 on 12th of January.

player	wins
Paul101	42
Gaby	41
Dynasty	38
Alex	32
Derwi	31
anton-09	30
Treep	24
Kokirixx	22
poopy666	18
DIonized	17
Popcorn	17
dogfloss	16
TH10	16
Zac	16
bingobango	15
Donk4	15
ibavly	15
Meg.	15
mrgibson	14
velourfog	14
mikeb	13
radisto	11
jpm	10
Tanya	8
aggie1717	7
Latt	7
Sugartastic	7
bozzer	6
kioshk	6
consul	4
Puree	3
zdye	3
Janine	2
Triplechang	2
clemmi	1
Prip	1
Yarlith	1

There was a small mistake in my spreadsheet formula, not sure if it affected anything, but tables were copy-pasted again after fixing the mistake.

2011. Most winners on the same day was 11 on 07-21

player	wins
Dynasty	33
Gaby	30
Derwi	29
Alex	28
Paul101	27
Popcorn	26
mrgibson	24
anton-09	22
radisto	22
TH10	19
Zac	18
krohn	17
Triplechang	16
dogfloss	14
Sugartastic	14
Treep	14
Latt	13
velourfog	13
Kokirixx	11
bingobango	10
bozzer	10
aggie1717	9
DIonized	9
ginter	9
Shadowlike	9
ibavly	8
JelgerW	8
jpm	8
Meg.	8
poopy666	8
fredericksbu	7
Janine	6
kioshk	6
mikeb	6
Donk4	5
superman	4
skallen.net	3
Yarlith	3
Prip	2
wackyvegan	2
AWice	1
beetlejuice	1
brrrrr	1
Cartz	1
cionco	1
clemmi	1
Gameking	1
googly	1
graymaker	1
randomgerbil	1
tammyj	1
Tetti	1
Wyst	1

Missed edit by some minutes.

2010. Most winners on same day was just 5 on 8th of November. Interestingly 2010 had the biggest number of players who won at least one DC. Even more so considering there were only 213 DCs since first DC was played on 06-02-2010, played by three players, won by Mikus.

player	wins
Alex	19
Dynasty	18
Zac	16
dogfloss	12
mrgibson	10
Gaby	9
wackyvegan	9
Wyst	9
Sugartastic	8
chub	7
Shadowlike	7
velourfog	7
superman	6
Boris	5
randomgerbil	5
anton-09	4
Luke	4
mehike	4
poopy666	4
TheWizard	4
consul	3
hammertime	3
krohn	3
mikeb	3
Mikus	3
NicWins	3
Popcorn	3
theshadow	3
antigrav	2
beetlejuice	2
belliwinks	2
Dan	2
diandda	2
googly	2
Inverted69	2
jake	2
kublai	2
mikechike	2
Oska	2
pointernil	2
skallen.net	2
tammyj	2
Yarlith	2
Birkin	1
bozzer	1
deaders	1
dukedee	1
ExaMeter	1
flow73	1
Jessica	1
jpm	1
jzer0n	1
kathyb	1
leyuads	1
m5rammy	1
MorcElf	1
Phoeniks	1
ShadowCruz	1
Spider	1
tripledraw	1

Has anyone checked if the numbers make any sense? I've just been copy-pasting hoping they are correct. Will check totals next.

Total.

player	wins
Paul101	125
Dynasty	119
Gaby	119
Alex	110
Derwi	86
anton-09	85
Zac	69
dogfloss	68
velourfog	65
mrgibson	64
Popcorn	60
Kokirixx	59
Treep	53
TH10	43
Donk4	39
Meg.	39
radisto	36
Sugartastic	35
Latt	34
mikeb	34
poopy666	31
DIonized	26
bingobango	25
ibavly	24
aggie1717	22
bozzer	22
krohn	20
jpm	19
Triplechang	18
kioshk	17
consul	16
Shadowlike	16
wackyvegan	11
Guessinator	10
superman	10
Tanya	10
Wyst	10
Yarlith	10
ginter	9
Janine	9
NP	9
JelgerW	8
chub	7
fredericksbu	7
randomgerbil	6
Boris	5
skallen.net	5
Spinst	5
Luke	4
mehike	4
TheWizard	4
beetlejuice	3
Gerad	3
googly	3
hammertime	3
Mikus	3
NicWins	3
Prip	3
Puree	3
tammyj	3
theshadow	3
zdye	3
antigrav	2
belliwinks	2
clemmi	2
Dan	2
diandda	2
Inverted69	2
jake	2
kublai	2
mikechike	2
Oska	2
pointernil	2
wafflesobv	2
AWice	1
Birkin	1
brrrrr	1
Cartz	1
Charmees	1
cionco	1
deaders	1
dukedee	1
ElectricChic	1
ExaMeter	1
flow73	1
Gameking	1
graymaker	1
Hg80	1
iluvbanana	1
Jessica	1
jzer0n	1
kathyb	1
leyuads	1
LOLBruins	1
m5rammy	1
MorcElf	1
Phoeniks	1
ShadowCruz	1
Skidmark	1
Spider	1
Tetti	1
tripledraw	1

So yea, if these are correct, it seems like some players are missing wins after the latest ratings run. Hmm, some have too many as well.

Differences for players with at least 20 wins:
Paul -1
Dynasty -1
Alex +1
Derwi -1
anton -1
Zac -2
Kokirixx -1
TH10 -1
Donk4 -1
Sugartastic -1

So Alex somehow has one more win than he should according to this, several players are missing 1 win, Zac 2 wins.

I'm fairly sure my total is correct and I'm on 55 this year.

Data says 56.

#	date	player
1	12-13	Paul101
2	12-10	Paul101
3	12-09	Paul101
4	11-28	Paul101
5	11-23	Paul101
6	11-21	Paul101
7	11-18	Paul101
8	11-13	Paul101
9	10-09	Paul101
10	09-17	Paul101
11	09-06	Paul101
12	08-31	Paul101
13	08-26	Paul101
14	08-18	Paul101
15	08-08	Paul101
16	08-05	Paul101
17	08-02	Paul101
18	07-20	Paul101
19	07-14	Paul101
20	07-13	Paul101
21	07-11	Paul101
22	06-22	Paul101
23	06-18	Paul101
24	06-17	Paul101
25	06-15	Paul101
26	06-14	Paul101
27	06-08	Paul101
28	05-30	Paul101
29	05-22	Paul101
30	05-19	Paul101
31	05-13	Paul101
32	05-11	Paul101
33	05-10	Paul101
34	05-08	Paul101
35	04-25	Paul101
36	04-18	Paul101
37	04-16	Paul101
38	04-15	Paul101
39	03-31	Paul101
40	03-30	Paul101
41	03-27	Paul101
42	03-19	Paul101
43	03-18	Paul101
44	03-10	Paul101
45	03-04	Paul101
46	03-03	Paul101
47	02-25	Paul101
48	02-24	Paul101
49	02-23	Paul101
50	02-16	Paul101
51	02-09	Paul101
52	02-05	Paul101
53	01-30	Paul101
54	01-15	Paul101
55	01-04	Paul101
56	01-03	Paul101

Using my updates ITT I narrowed the suspect period down to 18th March - 13th July inclusive. Going through the DCs that list me as having won, I found what I suspected had happened, on the 13th May:

http://triplechain.net/challenges/23798

Alex won, but I was given the win on the listing. Which also explains Alex's +1. Luckily the counter doesn't go by the listings, so the count for Alex and me is correct.

Think Alex and I have the record of number of DC wins in a calendar month; 8 in June and March 2013 respectively. But Gaby pips us both to the number of wins in a 30-day period.

I had 8 several times:

05 Feb - 04 March http://triplechain.net/challenges/20338
23 Feb - 19 March http://triplechain.net/challenges/23743
03 March - 31 March http://triplechain.net/challenges/23755

As did Alex:

30 May - 26 June http://triplechain.net/challenges/31982
01 June - 30 June http://triplechain.net/challenges/31986
07 June - 03 July http://triplechain.net/challenges/31989

But Gaby had 9:

19 Jan - 15 Feb http://triplechain.net/challenges/20321

Good work, that likely explains the Alex thing, I was having trouble figuring out an explanation for that. There are various possible reasons why the other people are missing wins:

• it for some reason skipped some DCs
• it didn't award anyone a win in all the games where the original winner was removed (milma or kamacry)
• not all players were awarded wins on all co-wins
• combining the two above, maybe if the co-winner (milma or kamacry) was removed, it removed the win from other co-winners as well
• something else

Difficult to figure out what the reason is though, but atm I'd believe these numbers over the ones listed on http://triplechain.net. Well, except for Alex and Paul, since there seems to be logical explanation for that, and that was a one-time incident.



Zac had 11 wins in June 2010.

Because I don't agree with you, I decided to check for Sugartastic. I found this for the 14th September 2011:

http://triplechain.net/challenges/6467

Not counted because of two scores?

Also, there were also 11 winners on 1st Sept 2011: http://triplechain.net/challenges/6454

Soon we need to have a game of which games played by kokiri were kokiri jr playing and which was kokiri Sr clicking buttons. The kid is amazing with an iPad, doesn't quite grasp advanced strategy yet

How would you explain the missing wins then?

Wouldn't the last part support that the numbers are incorrect on triplechain.net?

Indeed, it is tied for the most in 2011.

Lol.

I don't know. Something neither you nor I have thought of?

I think it's safe to say we can't be sure of either set of numbers where there are disagreements. Who wants to go through Dynasty's wins?

I had 43 wins on the site before the latest update, going through the listed wins gives the same number, the number on the site is currently 42. I believe some others had suspicions over their wins after the latest update as well. Some differences between the numbers on the site before and after could be explained by the previous run being incorrect, but not those numbers that are proven to be different using the list of winners.

Could there be something else? It isn't impossible, but Occam's razor says the recent update didn't work correctly.

http://www.triplechain.net/reconstruct?chain_id=3718411

nice game by Anon

Can't wait to see the top three games in today's DC.

I can.

I'm running so ****ing bad at DCs recently

PERFECT last rack in that game, must be nice.