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Uncapped Poker in Florida in 2010 - HB7001 Uncapped Poker in Florida in 2010 - HB7001

02-03-2010 , 09:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pyramid_Scam
And they also employ the continuous auto shufflers in all but one pit and the one pit they have the shoe game it is ****ty like Fubster said. Horrid pen, hit soft 17, 8 decks.
It's hit on soft 17 on all tables now I believe, at least in the non-high limit room tables.
02-03-2010 , 11:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pyramid_Scam
Good point.

Plus the player pool at The Tampa Hard Rock was so bad when they opened. During the past 2 years the players have collectively improved but a lot of them simply went busto.

The other ingredient that really makes blackjack a more EV game to the HOUSE, than Baccarat, is the risk of ruin based on limits set by supply/demand of the gambling public. The players who are mostly casual and being introduced to consistent, available table games for the first time, are not properly rolled for the limits being driven by the popularity of the game. They are all taking shots at a limit that is uncomfortable for their rolls and Chief Wahoo is pwning souls in the pit with this high risk of ruin and the lack of knowledge of proper strat.

I have been to a ton of casinos in a ton of states and never have I seen entire pit after pit filled with 25 minimum tables. And we aren't talking about 10 or 15 games, they have a **** ton of games. It is $50 min in their only shoe pit during peak hours on weekends. Unreal.

And they also employ the continuous auto shufflers in all but one pit and the one pit they have the shoe game it is ****ty like Fubster said. Horrid pen, hit soft 17, 8 decks.

So blackjack here is running way above EV compared to blackjack everywhere else. I wish I could garph it on PT3 cause they are crushing the game. The house winrate in blackjack per dollars wagered has got to be the highest in the country over the past 2 years.

Plus, drinks are NOT FREE!!! You pay for alcohol, redbull. The only way you can get a comped beverage is to play in the high limit room where the minimum wager is a hundred per hand. LOLZ
While most of your post is correct, joints that stay on soft 17 are improving their % not yours. It's better for the player when dealer's have to hit soft 17
02-04-2010 , 12:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chubrock
While most of your post is correct, joints that stay on soft 17 are improving their % not yours. It's better for the player when dealer's have to hit soft 17
No. H17 adds around 0.2 percentage points to the house advantage.
02-04-2010 , 12:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheEngineer
No. H17 adds around 0.2 percentage points to the house advantage.
I stand corrected. Actually 0.22%
02-04-2010 , 12:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chubrock
While most of your post is correct, joints that stay on soft 17 are improving their % not yours. It's better for the player when dealer's have to hit soft 17
false
02-04-2010 , 01:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fubster
false
please see above
02-04-2010 , 01:15 AM
Holy off topic comments Batman!

Back to the issue at hand.
02-04-2010 , 01:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chubrock
please see above
replied before reading obv
02-04-2010 , 02:24 AM
here we go again. i only get on these forums to see whats the latest news on this current topic. why cant all you morons who do not have anything to add to this topic leave this forums and post ur garbage somwhere else. NO 1 ****** CARES ABOUT BLACKJACK. sick of going thru 14 pages in matter of couple days to find useful info.
02-04-2010 , 02:31 AM
when I played they had way more than 60% pen, bad table selection imo
02-04-2010 , 02:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chubrock
While most of your post is correct, joints that stay on soft 17 are improving their % not yours. It's better for the player when dealer's have to hit soft 17
Absolutely incorrect.... Ask at www.bj21.com if you want to know the exact cost to the basic strategy player for this bad rule
02-04-2010 , 03:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by justarookie
here we go again. i only get on these forums to see whats the latest news on this current topic. why cant all you morons who do not have anything to add to this topic leave this forums and post ur garbage somwhere else. NO 1 ****** CARES ABOUT BLACKJACK. sick of going thru 14 pages in matter of couple days to find useful info.
here we go again. i only get on these forums to see whats the latest news on the current topic. why cant all you morons who do not have anything to add to this topic leave this forums and post ur garbage somwhere else. NO 1 ****** CARES ABOUT WHAT YOU CARE ABOUT. sick of going thru 2 pages in matter of 2 minutes to find out who else is doing $200 flips when the caps are lifted.
02-04-2010 , 03:54 AM
when's the next meeting? March?
02-04-2010 , 05:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thankjay
when's the next meeting? March?
It's tough to say since the meeting schedule for the House is published only about a week in advance. However, I don't expect any of the meetings to include HB7001 as it has already passed its vote in committee. Any committee meetings related to gaming will be in regards to other proposed bills.

The only remaining hurdle that I forsee is possibly an attempt to combine HB7001 with other gaming legislation during the regular session negotiations in March and April. However, I think that chances of that happening are very slim.

I put the probability that HB7001 will remain a stand-alone bill at 98%+; that it will pass the House and Senate votes at 99%+; and that it will not be vetoed by Crist at 97%+. In other words, I expect smooth sailing from here to implementation on July 1.

Anyone want to take the over?
02-04-2010 , 02:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chubrock
I stand corrected. Actually 0.22%
I rounded to 0.2 percentage points because it's different for different games.

Also, not to nitpick, but it doesn't increase the HA by 0.22%. That would imply that a 0.4% HA goes up to 0.409%. Rather, it goes up by ~0.2 percentage points, which is a 50% increase (again, different for different games).
02-04-2010 , 06:52 PM
just fyi guys

http://www.flmillion.com
02-04-2010 , 07:07 PM
fl million with only a 500k guarantee :/


also seems kinda unfair if the turnout sizes at each of the 6 different satellite locations are drastically different... maybe not though?
02-04-2010 , 07:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fubster
just fyi guys

http://www.flmillion.com
Its already been posted ITT and its on the tourney section

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/65...ourney-695574/
02-07-2010 , 02:36 AM
Florida Legislature considering new gambling options

"Meanwhile, Crist is still pushing his Seminole gambling deal — for a second straight year. Citing the pari-mutuels' strong influence in the both chambers of the Legislature, the governor is calling for a "hybrid" approach that could benefit both the tribe and pari-mutuel businesses. He hasn't revealed any details."

whats charlie up to now? lol

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/pal...,7840247.story

Last edited by parisron; 02-07-2010 at 02:45 AM.
02-07-2010 , 05:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
Florida Legislature considering new gambling options

"Meanwhile, Crist is still pushing his Seminole gambling deal — for a second straight year. Citing the pari-mutuels' strong influence in the both chambers of the Legislature, the governor is calling for a "hybrid" approach that could benefit both the tribe and pari-mutuel businesses. He hasn't revealed any details."

whats charlie up to now? lol

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/pal...,7840247.story
Good article - sums up the Florida gambling legislation landscape very well:
Quote:
Big casinos won't come easily. It would take a statewide vote to allow slots outside of Broward and Miami-Dade counties, as well as local referendums to authorize casino construction. Hays said his idea would require a "lot of homework" and would probably take two or three years to get through the Legislature.
My prediction: Full blown casinos authorized in South Florida within 5 years.

Quote:
In the Capitol, pari-mutuel businesses — and their lobbying muscle — are focused on a less grandiose goal: getting a lower rate tax on slots and no-limit poker games to help them compete with Indian gambling. The House is pushing a bill to accomplish that, which could get a floor vote in the first few weeks of the regular session that begins March 2.
This is HB7001. Glad to see in writing the "vote in the first few weeks". So, all things being equal, we'll see it passed sometime in March. If that happens, it should get to Governor's office early April and he'll have just one week to sign or veto. With a little good fortune, uncapped poker in Florida will be officially legalized before the end of April - for a July 1 implementation date.

Quote:
In addition, pari-mutuels not in Broward and Miami-Dade are pushing for the Legislature to authorize bingo slots or video lottery terminals through local referendums, which would provide a fresh revenue stream for struggling greyhound and horse tracks and jai-alai frontons around the state.
Another piece of gambling legislation which is likely to come before the Florida legislature this session. This shouldn't have any effect on HB7001.

Quote:
Meanwhile, Crist is still pushing his Seminole gambling deal — for a second straight year. Citing the pari-mutuels' strong influence in the both chambers of the Legislature, the governor is calling for a "hybrid" approach that could benefit both the tribe and pari-mutuel businesses. He hasn't revealed any details.
LOL. This is essentially what was offered to the Seminole tribe, and rejected by them, in the form of the 2009 compact authorized by HB788 last year. I wonder if the tribe is backtracking on their stance now that they see competition on the horizon. This is the only possible hitch I see for HB7001 - that somehow a new proposal is put forth that ties into HB7001 and it gets combined into a new bill making uncapped poker contingent, once again, on a new Indian compact. I still think the chances of this are very, very slim. But I'm keeping my fingers crossed. (In the very small chance that this does happen, expect to wait an additional 6-12 months for uncapped poker in Florida...sigh.)

Quote:
The debate is shrouded in uncertainty. Around the Capitol, lobbyists and lawmakers are buzzing that the federal government could soon shut down the blackjack tables at Seminole tribal resorts, a potential game-changer. But the regulators at the National Indian Gaming Commission are mum.
And they will probably stay mum (at least publicly - they may make some threats to the tribe and/or the state) until after the spring legislative session, to give Florida lawmakers, the governor and the tribe a chance to come up with a new deal. Once the feds take action - absent a Florida legislative solution this spring - court battles will ensue, revolving mainly around a Seminole appeal to SCOTUS to uphold the original compact.

I think we'll see three things on gambling come out of this spring session:
  • HB7001 passed as a stand-alone bill (legalizing uncapped poker starting July 1).
  • A new compact authorized to be negotiated with the Tribe, once again without full exclusivity for table games at the Seminole casinos, and including authorization of bingo slots and vlt's at pari-mutuels throughout Florida (contingent on local referendum).
  • A proposal for full casinos in South Florida, which won't get to the vote stage this session.
02-07-2010 , 03:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerXanadu
This is HB7001. Glad to see in writing the "vote in the first few weeks". So, all things being equal, we'll see it passed sometime in March. If that happens, it should get to Governor's office early April and he'll have just one week to sign or veto. With a little good fortune, uncapped poker in Florida will be officially legalized before the end of April - for a July 1 implementation date.

Does this mean that the Seminoles would be spreading uncapped poker at the end of April?
02-07-2010 , 05:22 PM
Possible, but unlikely. They should still be hoping to get a compact signed and shouldn't want to do anything to threaten the possibility of a compact giving them exclusitivity.
02-07-2010 , 06:10 PM
Parimutuels bank on virtual blackjack machines

"Virtual blackjack has been deemed legally the same as slot machines in part because the results are determined not by actual cards but by a random number-generator -- the same way slots choose who wins and who loses. This means that if a player ahead of you chooses to ``hit'' and take another card, or ``stand'' with what they have, those actions don't affect what card you're dealt. The ``card'' that player takes is not the one that machine would have given to you."

still dont know if that means that if your supposed to win then you cant bust or if your supposed to lose you cant win

http://www.miamiherald.com/news/sout...y/1467556.html
02-08-2010 , 04:38 PM
Just got done playing 2/5 NL at Mardi Gras old folks home Was on the button with my $100 buy-in .... I was dealt pocket AA ... made standard raise to $20 ... called by calling-station grandma .... Flop come 9-7-3 (rainbow) ... I raised to $25 and grandma calls .... turn is 8 ... I go all in for $55 ... Grandma calls again ... the river is a 10 ... Grandma flips up J7u and was pissed she didn't hit the J or 7. She congratulates me on a good hand but then the dealer pushes the money to Grandma and points out the straight she made. Grandma was a little befuddled but happy she won another big pot. She later leaves up $500. ... sigh.

I really hate short stack poker. I can't wait until Florida drops these stupid buy-in limits and the real poker begins. I just wonder how long Grandma and the other bingo players can stand the heat before they have to leave the kitchen.
02-08-2010 , 04:44 PM
imagine being able to rebuy for 500 to cover grandma... god.. i can't freaking wait.

      
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