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NBA Season Thread 2010-2011 NBA Season Thread 2010-2011

03-16-2011 , 03:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EPiPeN11
i always love when ppl say "advanced stats" like they are really good stats when most of them are trash/super flawed. really the only ones that are really good at measuring what they are supposed to are the percentage ones aka TS%, eFG%, and TRB% (ORB% and DRB% too obv)
Even as the resident advanced stats skeptic, I think this is largely either hyperbolic or wrong. (Also, DRB% isn't a super great stat, imo.)

The problem is that we (both here and in the larger "intellectual" basketball community) don't have a very systematic understanding of how these stats work, what they measure, and most importantly, what they don't. We all know that box score based stats are not capturing a lot of stuff that is material to the game, but somehow forget this when these stats are rolled up into one uber stat.

The reason that APM is such an interesting stat is that it has the potential to capture "intangibles" but it's still both messy as **** and is more limited in application than a lot of it's proponents either realize, or admit. (Even aside from small sample size/large error problem, it's still mainly measuring a player's effectiveness in the role he is playing.)
03-16-2011 , 03:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kidcolin
I spaced on labron in the honorable mentions. I def looked at his $tats and considered him. I just don't think he's as good as Deng or Iggy this year.
you're right, he's not as good. he's been better!
03-16-2011 , 03:16 PM
Labron is easily the most valuable defensive wing of all time ....

His versatility has been properly showcased this year, amazing
03-16-2011 , 03:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EPiPeN11
i always love when ppl say "advanced stats" like they are really good stats when most of them are trash/super flawed. really the only ones that are really good at measuring what they are supposed to are the percentage ones aka TS%, eFG%, and TRB% (ORB% and DRB% too obv)
i always love when epi/tut say "stats are worthless" like stats dont mean anything when most of them have some merit/value. really the only ones taht are poor at measuring what they don't are the bulk numbers without context, like fg%, ppg, and rpg. (bpg and spg too obv)
03-16-2011 , 03:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobboFitos
how can you have both batum and wes matthews on an all defensive team, when the blazers are only 15th in defense - and they have camby, who is still a great defender.

thabo and manu have been quite good too, tho
Should have put a question mark after Matthews, as I don't really know. Plus, Camby, being Camby, has missed a ton of time (39% of minutes so far this season, only slightly more than Dante Cunningham)
03-16-2011 , 03:20 PM
barring injury, lakers are going get to the nba finals like 80% of the time methinks

also, leaving pgs off defensive teams so we can cram more wings on is lame imo

just because wing defense is more important than PG defense doesn't mean it isn't necessary - we've seen even elite defensive SFs have trouble guarding great offensive PGs
03-16-2011 , 03:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by westhoff
think i posted this a few days ago, I'm really surprised at how bad he is, a lot of announcers keep saying he's an elite defender, when imo, he's ****ing terrible

The suns have three really good defenders in Hill, Gortat, and Dudley, two slightly above average ones in Childress and Frye, one average one in Nash (everyone lol), and everyone else is really bad


WOW, with ~5 guys who can defend+, im SHOCKED the Suns are 24th in defense!!! it's almost like you are making things up!

Per secret stats, just to remove bias...
The Suns have one above average defender. His name is Grant Hill. EVERYONE ELSE IS AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE.

I'd say Steve and Vince are less-bad at defense then others think, (they're closer to average then they are poor) but Frye (god awful, may be worst in the league), Dudley (not good at all), Hakim/Childress/Robin (below average) all suck.
03-16-2011 , 03:21 PM
You guys are just leveling when you're mentioning Gasol and all-defensive team right? Or are you talking about Marc Gasol?
03-16-2011 , 03:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EPiPeN11
bobbo making statements based on a super small sample size, shockingggggg
yeah because buckets' 3000 career minutes vs belinelli's 4000 isnt enough? GTFO you re re.
03-16-2011 , 03:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobboFitos


WOW, with ~5 guys who can defend+, im SHOCKED the Suns are 24th in defense!!! it's almost like you are making things up!

Per secret stats, just to remove bias...
The Suns have one above average defender. His name is Grant Hill. EVERYONE ELSE IS AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE.

I'd say Steve and Vince are less-bad at defense then others think, (they're closer to average then they are poor) but Frye (god awful, may be worst in the league), Dudley (not good at all), Hakim/Childress/Robin (below average) all suck.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q7AriXMOjsk
03-16-2011 , 03:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by westhoff
You guys are just leveling when you're mentioning Gasol and all-defensive team right? Or are you talking about Marc Gasol?
Eye test tells me he's pretty good against people not named Dwight Howard and possibly Zach Randolph.
03-16-2011 , 03:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobboFitos
i always love when epi/tut say "stats are worthless" like stats dont mean anything when most of them have some merit/value. really the only ones taht are poor at measuring what they don't are the bulk numbers without context, like fg%, ppg, and rpg. (bpg and spg too obv)
Bulk numbers at least do a perfect job of capturing what they are intended to capture. The same cannot be said for a stat that tries to be a "one number stat", specially those whose formula is not open to the public, those are 100% worthless, even if at some point in the future their authors can prove it's validity.


Quote:
Originally Posted by sethypooh21
The reason that APM is such an interesting stat is that it has the potential to capture "intangibles" but it's still both messy as **** and is more limited in application than a lot of it's proponents either realize, or admit. (Even aside from small sample size/large error problem, it's still mainly measuring a player's effectiveness in the role he is playing.)
It's mind bottling to me that intelligent people give apm a second thought for the reasons stated above. If you have no idea how the stat values any part of the game of basketball how can you use it to better understand basketball? You can't, all you can do is look at a ranking of players by their apm and go "yeah, that seems about right"
03-16-2011 , 03:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobboFitos


WOW, with ~5 guys who can defend+, im SHOCKED the Suns are 24th in defense!!! it's almost like you are making things up!

Per secret stats, just to remove bias...
The Suns have one above average defender. His name is Grant Hill. EVERYONE ELSE IS AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE.

I'd say Steve and Vince are less-bad at defense then others think, (they're closer to average then they are poor) but Frye (god awful, may be worst in the league), Dudley (not good at all), Hakim/Childress/Robin (below average) all suck.
Dude, I'm not saying the Suns are good at defense, they're ****ing terrible. I was just pointing out who is actually ok, and who is not. Ok so maybe I overrated Frye, but I think I described everyone else pretty accurately.
03-16-2011 , 03:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D104

just because wing defense is more important than PG defense doesn't mean it isn't necessary - we've seen even elite defensive SFs have trouble guarding great offensive PGs
Labron tho
03-16-2011 , 03:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheeljks
so you'll squeeze pierce to sg but not lebron
lbj was my starting F. way to read.
03-16-2011 , 03:27 PM
Grant Hill took some strong, well-deserved shots at Jalen in that editorial. Duke continues to irk and perturb.
03-16-2011 , 03:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D104
also, leaving pgs off defensive teams so we can cram more wings on is lame imo

just because wing defense is more important than PG defense doesn't mean it isn't necessary - we've seen even elite defensive SFs have trouble guarding great offensive PGs
I think the elite sg/sf defenders do a better job of defending pg's (and generally being more valuable in team D) than any pg in the league, I think that was also Bobbo's point when he made that list
03-16-2011 , 03:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sethypooh21
Eye test tells me he's pretty good against people not named Dwight Howard and possibly Zach Randolph.
Ya I agree he's very good on D

Not all team tho. Cmon
03-16-2011 , 03:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fallen Hero
I think the elite sg/sf defenders do a better job of defending pg's (and generally being more valuable in team D) than any pg in the league, I think that was also Bobbo's point when he made that list
i think that was bobbo's point too, but im not sure its one that i agree with
03-16-2011 , 03:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D104
barring injury, lakers are going get to the nba finals like 80% of the time methinks

also, leaving pgs off defensive teams so we can cram more wings on is lame imo

just because wing defense is more important than PG defense doesn't mean it isn't necessary - we've seen even elite defensive SFs have trouble guarding great offensive PGs
uhh, who? And more importantly, which PGs are able to guard these super elite PGs?

historically it's been the LeBrons, the Bowens, the Battiers of the world who have shut down great PGs. It certainly hasn't been a PG!
03-16-2011 , 03:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by westhoff
You guys are just leveling when you're mentioning Gasol and all-defensive team right? Or are you talking about Marc Gasol?
Pau Gasol is a really, really good defender.
03-16-2011 , 03:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by westhoff
so he makes a nice play... good proof.
03-16-2011 , 03:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sethypooh21
Eye test tells me he's pretty good against people not named Dwight Howard and possibly Zach Randolph.
++ Lamarcus Aldridge
03-16-2011 , 03:32 PM
if i had to guess, i would have said gortat is above average defensively

but ya, im not making any other suns above average predictions
03-16-2011 , 03:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by westhoff
Dude, I'm not saying the Suns are good at defense, they're ****ing terrible. I was just pointing out who is actually ok, and who is not. Ok so maybe I overrated Frye, but I think I described everyone else pretty accurately.
no, you didnt. because if all those suns were actually better at defense, the suns would be better at defense.

      
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