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NBA Offseason Thread 2017 NBA Offseason Thread 2017

08-02-2017 , 06:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vinivici9586
Tyler Johnsons contract goes from 5 to 20m. It was spend it or lose it. Imo their error was the Dragic trade (when they probably knew Bosh was done)
It's because Riley is old and impatient.

He openly speaks about it and wants to retire constantly to his house in CA but he just can't bring himself to do it. **** all if he's down for a full bust and boom rebuild.

This team is legit popular in the area as well, nearly the top in local TV audience.
08-02-2017 , 06:27 PM
You're basically looking at a this-era approach offensively to a team that's down for being quasi-competitive with their core.

They're the new Memphis. It was the Jazz of DWill and Booz before that, Melo's Denver, etc. The team that is going to peak as a tough out for the champ, but we all know they're not titling.
08-02-2017 , 07:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by weswag
Lakers are back with L.B. He has been solid in the summer camps. Playoff bound again.
Big Baller Baby
Spoiler:
08-02-2017 , 07:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kidcolin
Would you say the Lakers are swaggin


Swaggy P is on the Warriors now.

So yes, the Lakers are finally swaggin. NBA Offseason Thread 2017
08-02-2017 , 07:52 PM
The above also describes Detroit, but like some teams throughout history, they got lucky that they peaked during a league-wide lull.

NJ climbing to the the heights they did is indicative of that. Those teams, along with early SA, lose to peak Kings.
08-02-2017 , 07:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hellmuth was right
08-02-2017 , 09:27 PM
That was a good read ae. Nice writeup
08-02-2017 , 09:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Neemahb
That was a good read ae. Nice writeup


NBA Offseason Thread 2017NBA Offseason Thread 2017

I hereby nominate aejones for top poaster of the offseason thread.
08-02-2017 , 10:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DodgerIrish
You're basically looking at a this-era approach offensively to a team that's down for being quasi-competitive with their core.

They're the new Memphis. It was the Jazz of DWill and Booz before that, Melo's Denver, etc. The team that is going to peak as a tough out for the champ, but we all know they're not titling.
08-02-2017 , 10:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aejones
I got bored:

Grades are a little closer to zero sum than most ‘offseason grades’ since the league is zero sum, though situations are independent and offseason moves can be win/win.
GJGE

Spoiler:
No, seriously - GJGE!
08-02-2017 , 11:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DodgerIrish
You're basically looking at a this-era approach offensively to a team that's down for being quasi-competitive with their core.

They're the new Memphis. It was the Jazz of DWill and Booz before that, Melo's Denver, etc. The team that is going to peak as a tough out for the champ, but we all know they're not titling.
I literally can't tell what team you are referring to
08-03-2017 , 01:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyball16
Not sure how the Raps stayed the same or got better. Lost Patterson, Tucker, Joseph and Carroll and got back Miles.
fwiw a grade of a C+ does not mean that's the case (I'd say they'll be like 6% worse next season off the top of my head). it could just be that they did the best with what is available to them (a not great basically max contract in demar, the best player that's ever put on a raptors uniform and was previously criminally underpaid coming up as a FA)

they have a slew of quite interesting young guys, should any of them provide more value than anticipated they'll have a passable bench (delon, norm, poetl, bebe, siakam, even FVV).

dmc did nothing for them last year. it's basically patpat + tucker/dmc (counting dmc for first part of the year, tucker for post trade deadline) vs cj miles. that's an L but if just one of those 5 young guys is better than anticipated it could easily make up for it.

they'll also have an entire season of serge. hell, maybe bruno randomly plays a few minutes. idk, they're run like a competent franchise so they have a good 7-12 on the roster and a chance that some combination of them is decent.

(im not a huge fan of cojo. he's okay but i don't think he moves the needle and i think they'll be able to get his production out of a combination of FVV and delon)

oh and they also picked a guy i had ~10th on my board at 23. so yea. you get a C+ for keeping expensive guys to 3 year deals instead of 4 and running back a 50 win team when two of the best 5 players left the conference

Quote:
Alan Williams at 5 million plus 2 unguaranteed years is good for the Suns.
i'd rather have willie reed. point being alan williams is just a random backup C energy guy who isnt' particularly young and has absolutely no chance at protecting the rim or stretching. guys like this are a dime a dozen. idc how good he is at rebounding or fantasy basketball.

Quote:
Tim Frazier is Wiz backup.
yea he's okay. they paid too much for jodie meeks tho
08-03-2017 , 01:46 AM
Hey guys come give your opinions in the draft thread.


http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/46...draft-1681750/
08-03-2017 , 09:21 AM
As a long time TZ lurker, Geoff is fine with his LeBron love. He has the appropriate amount of respect for the King that any true basketball fan should have.

Tut's LeBron posting is among the most AIDS ridden garbage that has ever been published on the internet.

I'll hang up and listen
08-03-2017 , 10:06 AM
08-03-2017 , 10:31 AM
LeBron bashers have collectively pushed a narrative that has become so powerful it's legitimately impacted the way history will remember him. He'll literally not be considered the GOAT largely because of the passion of the people who correctly despise him for being one of the most pathetic and disgraceful human beings to ever live .

I'm proud to play a part in that. We're on the right side of history. He's not the GOAT ( tho hes closer to it than he'll ever get credit for bc **** him). He'll end up being considered in the Bird/Magic tier if he doesnt win any more titles and may legitimately be viewed as <Kobe. If Durant wins a few more titles he'll get remembered as >LeBron too.

People like Skip Bayless who have influenced the casual fan's (and thus histories) view of him on a wide scale and help make him hated instead of loved have done us all a massive public service.
08-03-2017 , 10:39 AM
you guys are really still letting Tut troll you in 2017 huh
08-03-2017 , 11:04 AM
I mean, it's hard to take someone too seriously when they refer to lebron as "the king" in a serious post.
08-03-2017 , 11:06 AM
Tut/pip/aj/cvig/beef are all the same person and that person is heels. I'm convinced.
08-03-2017 , 11:47 AM
Awesome grading from aejones and wanted to get to some of them as I have time in pieces as I think this is what makes great Offseason discussion.

Quote:
Originally Posted by aejones
I got bored:

Grades are a little closer to zero sum than most ‘offseason grades’ since the league is zero sum, though situations are independent and offseason moves can be win/win.

Atlanta hawks: F+
Muscala is alright, Dedmon for ~MLE is alright, their draft was probably fine (John Collins), but the Dwight trade was a pure disaster. They have no real direction as far as I can tell as Bud + halfway decent depth pieces (Ersan, aforementioned bigs) will probably win more games than they should. Hard not to remember the pre Shlenk days as well when they got nothing for Horford or Millsap.

I guess I'll start with a homer counter. Don't see how the Hawks can be even near the F territory, even in zero sum. They correctly executed on 2 of the 3 biggest decisions (letting Milsap go, not matching THJR).
Dedmon is certainly on a value contract and Collins was probably one of the better value picks outside the lottery. The Dwight trade was a disaster,
but just being rid of a Dwight has its own benefits.

Also ended up getting an extra first in the Jamal Crawford deal and certainly came out way ahead there. Hard to give them worse than C given they made plenty of right decisions, a couple good ones, and then just one terrible one, bu that terrible one isn't like a franchise killer. It actually makes them worse which is a positive. I'd give Atlanta a C- and could have been in the A territory without the Dwight deal.


Boston Celtics: B+
Hayward is a legit max and signing him to his prime years is a huge win. They haven’t given IT2 too much money (yet). If Fultz is more Kyrie than Harden that trade is a nice win, but anyone trying to grade that trade now is jumping the gun (value relatively equal on face, but since players were known at the draft slots, it’s just a bet on Tatum >/= Fultz). Baynes is whatever, would’ve been nice to get someone a little more mobile for that spot, Dedmon (prob out of price range) or even Willie Reed or Javale Mcgee. The AB for Marcus Morris trade seems to be about a wash, probably a worse player but a guy who can play against the Cavs and one more year of cost control. They are going to have a serious logjam. Its one thing to have a lot of wing-sized players, it’s another thing to have guys who are worthy of real NBA minutes (Rozier, Tatum, Jaylen) no the fringes or out of the rotation.

I think this assessment is a little bullish across the board on their assets. I'm still pretty skeptical on Tatum's ability to be efficient or valuable versus NBA defenders, and still think Fultz is a materially better asset.
I still think it's a good/fair assessment even though it's making some small leaps I might not. I just don't think getting GH, Tatum, and swapping AB for MM meets expectations given what I thought they'd be able to do. I'd give Boston a B-.


Brooklyn Nets: B+
Idk much about their first round pick but consensus doesn’t mind him. DAR was a nice haul for Brook. Demarre is probably an appropriate price to pay for those picks. Crabbe trade is okay, if he’s worth ~2/3 of contract, provides spacing for their young guys, is a good lockerroom/work ethic guy—it’s not like their capspace will be worth anything for the next 3 years anyway (there is some opportunity cost to using the Crabbe space on not taking on more bad money for assets). Their FO decisions have been so good since Marks got involved.

I just don't think the Crabbe deal is good. I don't know what they are trying to accomplish with it. It doesn't seem in line with what they are doing. He's not a good player, and he's on a pretty bad contract, but he makes them slightly better. It just seems like they could have taken on a dead money deal that got them assets in addition. Crabbe is just this OK bench player on a starting SG deal that doesn't really help them accomplish their goals. I'd give Brooklyn a C.

Charlotte Hornets: C+
What a boring ass place to be. Smashed the Dwight trade (should start calling it the Miles Plumlee trade since he’s the more important piece on a contract basis), but are totally capped out with no chance at HCA in the playoffs. The worst thing about the trade is that Cody Zeller will play less C this year (I’d consider starting them both, or maybe just move Cody to the bench, with both having durability issues I’d be pretty happy if neither cracked 30 mpg this year). MCW might be worth a flier, but probably not. Monk is probably fine for that slot and though I’m not a fan the fit is good. I think they basically sold down from #31 to #42 in the draft which is not a good look. I’m bored.

I'm definitely more in line with you here than I have been with other pundits who have liked Charlotte's offseason. Getting of Miles' contract is good, but now they have Dwight which is its own kind of new problem and more importantly they probably get worse giving him Cody's minutes. MCW isn't good at all and this team just has pretty WOAT spacing issues.

While adding a little more flexibility, I think they got worse this year due to spacing and loldwight. I'll agree on C+ though as I like Monk, think he was clearly BPA, and pretty excited to see what he can do. Feel like he's just gone overshadowed having not player Summer League.

08-03-2017 , 12:12 PM
Hawks getting that low of a grade seems like a leak. They crushed the Millsap/Gallo/pick deal by getting an expiring 1st for nothing. The Dwight deal is what the Dunc'd on guys are calling the new salary dump--taking on less bad money for what would be terrible for Atlanta considering they are trying to get to the bottom.

Dedmon is a weird get for them considering this would be a good time to get bad, however I think the teams who signed good players to great deals, in particular guys who look to fill out a good roster, are smart because those guys will be pretty movable once players start going down with injuries and teams know more about what they have this year.

I think even a C is too low. It seems to me like they are being penalized for mistakes of previous seasons.
08-03-2017 , 12:16 PM
More grades

Quote:
Originally Posted by aejones

Chicago Bulls: F-
The David Nawaba pickup would be kind of nice if they didn’t already have 4 of the same player on the roster. And that was probably the best thing they did all offseason.

This is where you can really help the scale on zero-sum.
If this offseason from Chicago isn't a F-, I'm not sure what is a F-. Don't think they made any decision correctly. David Nawaba is is redundant he's probably bad. They completely ****ed up all the important decisions. It's in the running for worst offseason of recent memory.


Cleveland Cavaliers: F-
Are only really trying to play against one team. Failed miserably to put anyone on the roster that could stay on the court against that team unless Cedi Osman randomly is a thing.

Hold my beer maybe this one was even worse. Bad Korver contract (pains me so much to say it), removed Griffin inexplicably, generally cheapassness, didn't get PG or JB. Doesn't look like they'll get good value for Kyrie. I'd say maybe not biting on Jamal was the only positive. For that I think the Bulls still win worst offseason, but Cleveland is still a F-. Botched all important decisions.

Dallas Mavericks: B
This could fluctuate a bit depending on the price for Nerlens, they’re right to hold out until he accepts something in the mid teens per year instead of 20+. DSJ was an incredible pick even though I hate the guy the talent is there and if Rick doesn’t kill him he’ll get a shot in a great situation. Pretty impressive they were able to build a team in the mid to high 30s given how bare the chest was around this time last year.

Sometimes there's luck in winning the Offseason. DSJR shouldn't have fallen to 9 but Dallas still correctly took him so they clearly win their most important offseason decision. It also appears they'll probably get Noel on a multi-year, and he's probably worth ~$15-20m a year in a vacuum. They got another huge bargain on Dirk in what is now clearly an agreement between him and Cuban with other impllications. They also didn't give Jrue Holiday $100M+, correctly imo. If they get Nerlens on like a 3 year value deal as its now looking, I'd give them an A-. Don't see any obvious misstep.
08-03-2017 , 12:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by C-Viggity
I mean, it's hard to take someone too seriously when they refer to lebron as "the king" in a serious post.
Or even worse the "King".
08-03-2017 , 01:58 PM
The Sixers deserve worse than a B. Bryan Colangelo is the king of limited risk no upside signings. If job retention is his number one goal then he deserves an A. If trying to maximize championship equity is the number one goal he deserves a F.

There was so much opportunity to maneuver this offseason and to come away with nothing that will get us closer to a championship is devastating. The Fultz trade was fine value until you realize Boston desperately wanted to move down to exactly #3 to take Tatum. They were bidding against themselves. I guess he deserves credit for exceeding my very low expectations.

Very good writeup and I agree on the Cavs and the Spurs. I guess that's what happens when your GM is let go in the middle of the offseason. Dan Gilbert is the worst owner in professional sports.

Last edited by jwd; 08-03-2017 at 02:06 PM.
08-03-2017 , 02:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seadood228
Hawks getting that low of a grade seems like a leak. They crushed the Millsap/Gallo/pick deal by getting an expiring 1st for nothing. The Dwight deal is what the Dunc'd on guys are calling the new salary dump--taking on less bad money for what would be terrible for Atlanta considering they are trying to get to the bottom.

Dedmon is a weird get for them considering this would be a good time to get bad, however I think the teams who signed good players to great deals, in particular guys who look to fill out a good roster, are smart because those guys will be pretty movable once players start going down with injuries and teams know more about what they have this year.

I think even a C is too low. It seems to me like they are being penalized for mistakes of previous seasons.
You guys might be kind of correct about the Hawks, but it's tough to grade because the majority of deals were pretty defensible (not paying Millsap, not matching THJ though I think that deal isn't as bad as ppl think and it's reasonable to think if they'd have offered like 3/45 or something he'd have taken it and it could have been an okay deal). The Dwight trade was legitimately one of the worst 3ish trades in the last decade or so. Let's recap it:

The traded a demonstrably better AND healthier player for only a few million more per season (peanuts, and not really even relevant to the discussion) for a replacement level player who is making $12.5m per season for THREE more seasons (Dwight only had two left on his deal). Presumably by the summer of 2019 they should have some usefulness of their capspace, right? Even if it's to take on bad money? It's very important to note that Dwight is Dwight, at least in theory has some upside and/or playoff toughness, and Miles Plumlee has never, ever, ever in his NBA career shown that he can be a capable backup C for any length of time. Ever. A backup C. Ever. And he's making something just below average starter money. You cannot possibly find deader money in the NBA. At least Timofey Mozgov was once upon a time like an average starter or something.

In this trade, which we've already shown was obscene, they gave up a 10 spot move up in an area that typically matters: the first 5 picks of the second round are often seen as more valuable than firsts because of the versatility with contracts. I'm not sure how to precisely quantify that move, but it's "something" significant-ish and good teams win these trades on the margin ("throw in a second!" "okay fine, it's just a second!")

They received Marco Bellineli-- there's few worlds you can think of him as a positive asset, he's salary filler. If he plays unreal they can flip him for a ****ty second at the deadline, but probably not.

      
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