The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. - Page 1983 - Politics and Economics

https://www.washingtonpost.com/video...286_video.html

God I wish I knew how to photoshop or mix vids. Trump's face at 1:21 is EXACTLY like Kramers at the end of "The Jimmy" episode!

07-31-2017 , 03:31 PM

#49553

mather_2020

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 404

Such a shame. Was looking forward to some Mooch entertainment for the next couple of months. That Survivor White House Post cover was elite. Whos next? I got my money on Tillerson.

07-31-2017 , 03:31 PM

#49554

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 100,195

07-31-2017 , 03:33 PM

#49555

eyebooger

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 59,238

FFS his tweets from 7 hours ago don't age well.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...98881009061888

07-31-2017 , 03:34 PM

#49556

Clovis8

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 16,503

This really can't be real.

07-31-2017 , 03:38 PM

#49557

Huehuecoyotl

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 29,296

Nope, it's freaking hilarious. What's that about a scorpion and a frog?

07-31-2017 , 03:40 PM

#49558

Yuv

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,940

No chaos!

07-31-2017 , 03:41 PM

#49559

markksman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 20,921

Quote:

Originally Posted by champstark

and missed the birth of his son

That kid will have an amazing Wikipedia reading session when he is older

07-31-2017 , 03:41 PM

#49560

eyebooger

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 59,238

Here's The Mooch's most recent tweet (yesterday morning):

https://twitter.com/Scaramucci/statu...17707073974272

07-31-2017 , 03:42 PM

#49561

Sighsalot

adept

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 1,055

Quote:

Originally Posted by Namath12

Next housemember to get the boot on Real World DC: John Kelly?

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/sta...97201597448193

Oh boy i hope this has legs

07-31-2017 , 03:47 PM

#49562

TiltedDonkey

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 2,975

Quote:

Originally Posted by eyebooger

Did you really have to bring that subject back up at the top of a new page?

Sorry, I was grunching.

Quote:

Originally Posted by microbet

I haven't been following Our House's posts, but what's the problem? Where's the crackpot conspiracy? I'll certainly take a shot at defending him. He seems pretty solid and now there are more calls against him than there were for PuppyWhatever2.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Our House

You guys see what I'm having to put up with today? This can't be a real post outside of the Twilight Zone.

An uncut Congressional hearing is not "a utoobz" by any stretch.

3-4 mid-sized posts of context is not "watch this" by any stretch.

Why are you trying to make me sound like a conspiracy theorist without needing me to actually be one? This is exactly how pile-ons gain momentum.

Our House reminds me a bit of einbert. Some good content, some stuff that's a bit of a stretch, lots of volume.

07-31-2017 , 03:47 PM

#49563

LFS

emo gaylord

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 21,867

Quote:

Originally Posted by Yuv

No chaos!

Starting....NOW!

07-31-2017 , 03:49 PM

#49564

Rococo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 19,397

The word "shambolic" was made for this administration.

07-31-2017 , 03:53 PM

#49565

TiltedDonkey

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 2,975

Quote:

Originally Posted by Yuv

I know the answer is because he's stupid, but why does Trump keep saying there's "no WH chaos". Surely it can't be good for him to keep using that phrase. Shouting over and over 'no chaos' is a pretty great way of convincing everyone it is.

You're the chaos.

Quote:

Originally Posted by AllTheCheese

Meh. I can't recall an unhinged or subliterate 2p2er giving good strat advice. Ime, competence -> decent grammar in most fields.

Yeah, seriously this. People who can't write in coherent English almost always suck (provided English is their first language) and people who can't take the time to type with capital letters and periods always suck.

07-31-2017 , 03:58 PM

#49566

JacktheDumb

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 1,427

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflametotheground

I have tried to learn more from the author screamingasian brought up yesterday, Timothy Snyder. He has lived alot in eastern europe to study these things. Im actually getting more worried that democracy is slipping away now in the US. I always thought trump was too confused and unfocused to have any plan or such to take over, but it seems like thats not how these guys actually do it. Its just that they come into office and start pushing against institutions not necessarily with a plan in mind, and this way gaining more and more space together with the removal of the belief that there exists facts. When there is no facts or common understanding there is no trust and democracy fails without trust, this is at the center of other faschist takeovers. There is indeed a number of alarming similarities that he explains that you might want to have a look at. I just posted the video from vox that shows how the republicans first embraced the climate change and now denies it, i think that would show that contesting or denying facts had a turning point before this election.

His book at amazon is a manual that tells you whats going on and what you can do.

On Tyranny: Twenty Lessons from the Twentieth Century

He says there is a limited time period where activism is possible, i think i would concider that if i lived in the US now.

Democracy declining has little to do with Trump itself, it is a process that is going on since a couple decades.

USA is rated a flawed democracy #
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index

The election process is broken and ranked worst around western democracy's.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/poste...ies-heres-why/

Also the way how campaigns are funded ( by the 1%) guarantees that your local congressman will show more loyalty to his donors then to his voters.

07-31-2017 , 04:01 PM

#49567

Lawnmower Man

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 4,646

Quote:

Originally Posted by Our House

Did you look at the content besides capitalization? Some makes sense and some is over my head techie or statistics. But if he's like Mensch or something, I would rather someone point out errors before taking him seriously.

Where is this guy's methodology? I see nothing. It just looks like a bunch of cherry-picked crackpottery to me, but maybe I just can't find his model specification or specific hypotheses. What did he control for? How did he handle missing data? Are there correlated errors, endogeneity, or omitted variables that bias the results, etc.? Addressing all of that (and more) is the bare minimum to be taken seriously by people who know what's up. Doesn't mean he didn't back into something here but I doubt he's qualified to conduct an unobjectionable analysis of it.

07-31-2017 , 04:03 PM

#49568

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 100,195

07-31-2017 , 04:06 PM

#49569

aflametotheground

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,851

Well it makes some sense, you dont need a full six months to write a book about this white house, after ten days i imagine hes fully loaded.

07-31-2017 , 04:08 PM

#49570

JacktheDumb

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 1,427

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sighsalot

in before "hey guise, 39% isnt even that bad" - orange turd

Didn´t we have a rather depressing survey that cam to the conclusion that 98% of Trump voters would vote for him again?

We all know that he is failing in a spectacular way but for the typical Trumpkin this s just the Swamp being so corrupt that not even Trump can do anything about it.

07-31-2017 , 04:14 PM

#49571

Huehuecoyotl

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 29,296

Man this duel Kelly/Mnuchin press conference is a 4/10.

07-31-2017 , 04:16 PM

#49572

ScreaminAsian

For President

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 33,333

idk how they keep letting melania in and out of the country when she never put her immigration paperwork in order

07-31-2017 , 04:16 PM

#49573

bobman0330

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 24,234

Quote:

Originally Posted by suzzer99

He just failed to mention that this specific well-tuned machine is the wood chipper from Fargo.

07-31-2017 , 04:18 PM

#49574

markksman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 20,921

Quote:

Originally Posted by JacktheDumb

But how much is the "would you vote again" poll of value? It's not a real choice. People aren't presented a real alternative so yeah must people would say they would do most things like that again.

I'm not a big fan of super hypothetical polling. If you are not actually presenting a real choice in context I think you get a lot of noise. Was my issue w three way polling during the election. Offering someone three options they will never have will not ever likely predict actual actions!