NFL Survivor Picks - Page 112 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Two Plus Two Forums Sports and Games Sports Betting

NFL Survivor Picks

Post Reply Subscribe

...

Page 112 of 274

First

12 62 92 102 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 122 132 162 212

Last

Page 112 of 274

First

12 62 92 102 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 122 132 162 212

Last

09-30-2014 , 12:25 PM

#2776

CSFurious

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 666

Eagles are a good pick and the rest of their schedule is tough so better to use them now versus later.

Quote

09-30-2014 , 10:22 PM

#2777

Inland_Taipan

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 563

What's the school of thoughts on how best to use multiple entries in a double picks week? Have most of the best bets available other than SD. How much do I mix it up based on EV or win %?

How does this look...have 4 entries - 1200 entries left.

GB/DET
GB/DAL
NOR/PHI
SF/PHI

Better to mix in NOR more often? Dallas too big a risk? I generally tend to stay away from road games when possible.

Thanks -

Quote

09-30-2014 , 10:29 PM

#2778

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inland_Taipan

Dallas too big a risk?

Dallas has nightmare written all over it IMO.

Cowboys gonna Cowboy.

Quote

10-01-2014 , 08:18 AM

#2779

BuffaloHound

adept

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 718

Is GB playing 2 games this week?

Quote

10-02-2014 , 01:25 AM

#2780

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by BuffaloHound

Is GB playing 2 games this week?

no, he has four entries in a pool with a double pick week and is thinking of using GB twice

Quote

10-02-2014 , 01:32 AM

#2781

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSFurious

Eagles are a good pick and the rest of their schedule is tough so better to use them now versus later.

Sure except possibly home to Titans Nov 23 although this is quite down the road.

Eagles didn't strike me as the best choice to me this week BUT in my pool, most people burned them week 1 (I did not). I am considering using them this week mainly because:

1) Limited FV (like CSFurious alluded to)
2) I get some differentiation because everyone else already burned them

I need a line check re: (2) - who thinks this is a factor I should put much weight on? I already used GB. I expect most of these poolies to be on Saints, with a sprinkle of Seahawks.

Quote

10-02-2014 , 01:48 AM

#2782

BuffaloHound

adept

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 718

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiltymcfish0

no, he has four entries in a pool with a double pick week and is thinking of using GB twice

No. He said GB was playing Det and Dal. Obvious typo. I was just trolling.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Inland_Taipan

GB/DET
GB/DAL
NOR/PHI
SF/PHI

Thanks -

Quote

10-02-2014 , 04:00 AM

#2783

tiltymcfish0

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,210

Quote:

Originally Posted by BuffaloHound

No. He said GB was playing Det and Dal. Obvious typo. I was just trolling.

Troll him and try to level me now?

C'mon man.

Quote

10-02-2014 , 04:21 PM

#2784

DannyNegFan

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 168

Go Pack Go I guess. If I lose because Ponder won a road game in Lambeau then it wasn't meant to be.

Quote

10-02-2014 , 05:17 PM

#2785

Inland_Taipan

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 563

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiltymcfish0

no, he has four entries in a pool with a double pick week and is thinking of using GB twice

Still struggling with how much to put on GB with four double picks. Too risky to put them in 3 of my entries? Bridgewater downgraded to doubtful so that makes Samantha Ponder and next in line. Too easy to pass up??

You were correct above btw...was thinking of pairing GB with both Detroit AND Dallas.

Quote

10-02-2014 , 07:37 PM

#2786

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,369

Quote:

Originally Posted by DannyNegFan

If I lose because Ponder won a road game in Lambeau then it wasn't meant to be.

My thinking exactly! I took GB tonight in pool w/6000 entries originally, only 2200 remaining.

Quote

10-02-2014 , 07:47 PM

#2787

Royal17

adept

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 770

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

My thinking exactly! I took GB tonight in pool w/6000 entries originally, only 2200 remaining.

I'm in this pool and don't have GB left!

Fun fact.... Made it to final 27 last year out of 6000 in this pool. 26 of us lost in week 15 (had to pick 2 teams FU eagles) and 1 guy won $600k!

Quote

10-02-2014 , 10:11 PM

#2788

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 53,540

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

My thinking exactly! I took GB tonight in pool w/6000 entries originally, only 2200 remaining.

How does one get in this league?

I loaded up all-in on GB this week in the 3 pools I'm in. Pretty happy right now. Relaxed Sunday.

Quote

10-02-2014 , 10:15 PM

#2789

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,688

I always wonder how one handles the money management in a pool of that size - do you walk into the local bank and cash 6,000 checks? And how do you not avoid taxes...

Quote

10-02-2014 , 10:56 PM

#2790

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,369

Quote:

Originally Posted by nyc999

I always wonder how one handles the money management in a pool of that size - do you walk into the local bank and cash 6,000 checks? And how do you not avoid taxes...

Cash only and money goes in a safe, at least that's my understanding.

Quote

10-02-2014 , 10:57 PM

#2791

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,369

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

How does one get in this league?

I loaded up all-in on GB this week in the 3 pools I'm in. Pretty happy right now. Relaxed Sunday.

I PM'ed you info

Quote

10-02-2014 , 11:03 PM

#2792

Royal17

adept

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 770

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

Cash only and money goes in a safe, at least that's my understanding.

Yep...met the guy this year when I had to drop off the money. He won't even send the winnings out anymore. You have to go to his home state to pick it up.

Quote

10-03-2014 , 12:04 AM

#2793

DuckU

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,369

Quote:

Originally Posted by Royal17

Yep...met the guy this year when I had to drop off the money. He won't even send the winnings out anymore. You have to go to his home state to pick it up.

Dang Royal, that is impressive making it final 27. Seriously it is like making it final 3 tables of WSOP ME!

Quote

10-03-2014 , 12:51 AM

#2794

camz2895

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 7,272

Hey ducku I'm definitely interested if he's taking more entrants for next year

Quote

10-03-2014 , 12:54 AM

#2795

Morsilly1

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 411

+1. Please pm info. Thanks!

Quote

10-03-2014 , 02:21 AM

#2796

wamplerr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,233

Same here, thanks.

Quote

10-03-2014 , 10:03 AM

#2797

DannyNegFan

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 168

Quote:

Originally Posted by DannyNegFan

Go Pack Go I guess. If I lose because Ponder won a road game in Lambeau then it wasn't meant to be.

Mr. Samantha Steele-Ponder was as advertised. Onto week 6!

Quote

10-04-2014 , 09:02 AM

#2798

Royal17

adept

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 770

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckU

Dang Royal, that is impressive making it final 27. Seriously it is like making it final 3 tables of WSOP ME!

Final 3 tables and have $0 to show for it!

It definitely made weeks 13-15 last year exciting....esp with Gmen sucking so bad.

Quote

10-04-2014 , 11:26 AM

#2799

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,688

Quote:

Originally Posted by Royal17

Yep...met the guy this year when I had to drop off the money. He won't even send the winnings out anymore. You have to go to his home state to pick it up.

I played in a pool for a couple years run by some Wall Street guy that was about 200K total, and they accepted checks. That's what led me to the question.

Quote

10-04-2014 , 02:48 PM

#2800

BuffaloHound

adept

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 718

I'm taking Pitt this Sunday. Seems like a no brainer. They have zero future value, are favored by 7.5, and should be pretty pissed off after last week.

Quote

Page 112 of 274

First

12 62 92 102 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 122 132 162 212

Last

Post Reply Subscribe

...

Page 112 of 274

First

12 62 92 102 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 122 132 162 212

Last