I actually like that Jaymun. Biggest sweat is Struve since he's the only dog there that I can see but I have a bet on Struve myself in that fight so I like it at 35-1. Might even tail you for $10 to win $350 or something myself if I remember tomorrow when i'm less drunk

Benavidez is probably your next biggest sweat, MM is definitely a live dog there

All the props for the Ronda fight were just posted, got in on the ground floor of "fight won't start round 2" and "Rousey wins in 1st round", both still close to evens.

Diaz now +145 on one book and +115 on the rest.

Cigano + GSP parlay at +114, I think there's great value there.

Problem with that is word seems to be that Overeem might be his next opponent.

In that case, still fire away I say and load up on JDS straight up.

Cain already signed on to fight jds at the year end show I thought

Just a heads up, sportsbet.com.au has Rousey by submission at 1.48 (compare 1.24 at 5Dimes). They limited me to 200.

Tonight is easy money

roussey?

Round 3 of database-driven betting. Not a lot this week.

2-star plays

Tarec Saffiedine v Roger Bowling - 3 units @ 1.353

1-star plays

Miesha Tate v Julie Kedzie - 2 units @ 1.22
Anthony Smith v Lumumba Sayers - 0.5 units @ 3.85

I would normally not bet underdogs of over 3.7 as historically they are so unprofitable. However other things are so strongly in his favour that I think it's worth a small bet.

I was unsure about Smith so I took the unusual step of actually researching/watching the fighters a bit. From what I saw Smith is not a very technical or intelligent fighter and while he is quite experienced and has a decent record it isn't against quality opposition. Sayers is a big guy who hits hard and his movement looked better than Smith, but his two recent Strikeforce wins were quick wins against hopeless-looking and somewhat elderly opposition. I think there's enough chance of Smith landing some random hits or the fight going into later rounds and Sayers cardio being a problem.

Originally I was also going to bet Randamie over Yamanaka but there has been big odds movement with Randamie lengthening a lot and that bothers me. I'm also not super confident betting women's MMA as I don't have a big sample of women's fights (I am still happy to bet a heavy fave like Tate though). So I've decided to stay away from the Randamie fight.

Chronic, I've decided to lay off the roussey fight. Just doesn't seem like its worth the jump at -550+ even with Sharky's approval haha. good luck

Just parlays I dropped one on the whole card

went full degen and parlayed most of my baseball plays this week with rousey, and I might not even be around to see the fight

Ya I'm hopeful that I'm able to watch it.

Parlayed Rousey ITD with Jones ITD and also with a few other fights.

4u on Rousey/Kaufman under 1.5 rounds (1.455)

anybody else like this bet?

Seems solid to me. If anyone finishes, it will be Rousey, and she usually finishes early.

what time does the roussey fight start

Should be 11:30ish est

Line is -660 now on 5d and -700 in some places
I agree, too risky but I dunt know how rousey could lose here.
Anyways looking forward to it.
Gl!

God this Japanese chick is awful, sure wish I'd bet the other one as originally planned.

i put a little on roussey at -600, lets get this

in before "roussey loses first round, #rigged"

I think you guys are nuts betting Rousey so short. Has she actually fought someone competent who has fought intelligently and not tried to bullrush her like Tate did?

Not saying she shouldn't be a heavy fave but there's a bit too much uncertainty for me to be betting her at numbers like -600. It's such a casualfan play as well, I just don't see how the line will be value.

Kedzie dominating Tate round 1, 10-9