Rep 403 voters
Dem 396 voters
About the same! That was yesterdays news anyway! What about today's Gallup and IBD. Right now with the polls the way they are, I am very surprised you can still get 2 to 1 on him! Every new poll is starting to show new ways of him winning. Also, Obama's big bird tactic is a losing tactic, and he needs to get off of that quick! If it continues like this before the next debate Romney will be 1.5 to 1. Now, am I a Romney supporter yes I am, I also give the President his due, he is very smart and I think the barrage will come in the next debate. That next debate I think wins the election for whoever wins it. That's how close I think this is, but all these people saying there is good value in Obama right now, I don't see what they see 2 weeks ago sure, but know the tide is starting to turn. And if Big Bird is his only tactic he'll be moving to sesame street in January.

October 9, 2012
Romney 49%, Obama 47% Among Likely Voters
Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ -- Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama -- 49% to 47% -- in Gallup's initial "likely voter" estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8."

Note still 2 days of pre-debate polling.

IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll

Day 1: Oct. 9, 2012

Romney: +2.0

Romney held a 2 point lead over Obama among likely voters in the first day of our presidential tracking poll as both men and independents solidly supported the GOP candidate. A key swing group making up nearly a third of voters, independents favor Romney over Obama 52%-34%. In 2008, Obama had a 52% to 44% edge among independents. Romney also has a 54% to 38% advantage among men voters, a group Obama won by one percentage point in 2008.

Intensity among Romney voters has also strengthened: 70% of Romney voters now support him strongly, vs. 62% in September and 46% in August.

October 09, 2012

Latest Swing State Polls
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (American Research Group)

Nevada: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)

North Carolina: Romney 50%, Obama 41% (Gravis)

Ohio: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (American Research Group)

Ohio: Obama 45%, Romney 44% (SurveyUSA)

Pennsylvania: Obama 43%, Romney 40% (Siena)

Tuesday, October 09, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

Romney’s support is a bit more solid than the president’s at this point in time. Forty-five percent (45%) of voters are “certain” they will vote for Romney and not change their minds. Forty-one percent (41%) are certain they will vote for Obama."

Yes, the supposedly 'biased' Rasmussen poll has it tied, whereas Pew has R+4 and Tipp & Gallup has R+2.

big bird will decide this election

I thought it was going to be OJ jokes, I really did.

You know who he is dammit!

Andy Sullivan Reuters

2:25 p.m. EDT, October 9, 2012

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican Mitt Romney has erased President Barack Obama's advantage in the race for the White House and the two candidates are now tied among likely voters, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Tuesday.

With the November 6 election four weeks away, Romney and Obama each command 45 percent, the daily tracking poll found.

The Democrat held a steady lead in the poll for most of September, but Romney narrowed the gap following a strong debate performance last week. Obama had been leading by 2 percentage points in the last poll on Sunday.

The poll reflects a closely divided electorate and a sluggish economy, Ipsos pollster Cliff Young said.

"It's a much tighter race and Romney became much more presidential in people's eyes," Young said. "Things are probably back to where they should be."

Romney's improved prospects have shown up in other polls, after the former Massachusetts governor launched aggressive criticism of his rival's economic record during the debate in Denver.

Obama's advantage had already started to fade before the debate as Romney recovered from a series of campaign missteps.

will pinny raise their limits closer to the election?

i was wondering that too, its at 10k now.

najdorf they didn't ask swoop for input though so its prolly biased and inaccurate poll

i got a computerized poll via telephone this weekend, and i identified myself as a 60-70 year old hispanic woman who was democrat but will vote for romney.

in ohio.

wonder if nate factors that into his numbers.

If you actually read my posts, that's the opposite of what i've been saying. Individual polls will be off to one side or the other, but the average of all of the polls is what matters.

oh but didn't you say obama would win by 100 million votes or something because you follow american politics

Stop starting fights please. You're entitled to disagree, and to post your own analysis

maybe i owe bob an apoligy, after all he was just trying to stop idiots like sigley or w/e his name is from posting

Curious, is anyone actually down on this race, or is this forum just turning into a cheerleading forum for whatever side they are rooting for? I am still not, but I am tempted to lay money on Romney right now based on momentum. However, the path for his victory is still pretty tough. I think Obama is a 55% favorite right now. Much lower than I had him before the debate.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

at the very least this thread inspired me to watch the second debate live. im really hoping big bird is brought up at least once, there should be a bodog prop for that.

You said ae true vale was ob -900 when the line was -500. You also said election would be over after the first debate whe BO won it, which most experts thought Mitt would win going in.

Both statements couldn't be more wrong


Ae how many units you have on BO and at what price?

It close to a toss up Mitt will win both upcoming debates and gas will spike $1 by election time.

Hi Ventura - I took the liberty of deleting your politardy last sentence there. Knock it off please. I saved you the infraction part though. You're welcome.

I am not cheer leading at all. I did state which side I was on , but I am talking facts with the new polls. Its the same as live lines in football right now the ball is moving closer to midfield and we don't have a -180 +160 scenario yet that is all I'm stating.

I have around 20u on Obama at an average of -260ish. I was wrong about Obama's debate prep, but I maintain that he won't get swept in all three debates, and will still win the election.

What odds would you give me BO is -120 or less on Nov 6 on Pinny.