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03-24-2012 , 01:05 PM

#3751

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

Tottenham Win @ 4.4L
Wigan Win @ 13.29W

Really unsure about both of these for a variety of reasons. Swore I wasnt gonna touch chelsea games after how they played city...

Sunderland Win @ 2.11W
Aston Villa +1.5@ 1.98L
Bolton, Blackburn O2' @ 1.752W
Wigan +1.5 @ 2.06W

gl

today: 4-2 +13.212u
ytd: 22-16 +20.112u

it feels good binking all these longshots. apparently betting against liverpool every week is profitable.

note: all of my bets have been risking 1u. ill think about doing something different next season because i dont think this is standard. what do you guys do?

Quote

03-24-2012 , 01:11 PM

#3752

clyro

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 3,769

nice

I like U2.5 in Stoke Man City

Quote

03-24-2012 , 01:27 PM

#3753

DMMx69

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 1,680

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

risk to win 1u (or whatever amount of u.)

i think it makes sense to risk to win the same every time. i'd be happy to hear different opinions tho.

Quote

03-24-2012 , 03:29 PM

#3754

DMMx69

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 1,680

^^^^^

clarifying the above post..

assuming your confidence level is the same, i believe standardizing the "to win" amount is the way to go.

I'm not talking about betting 1u plays, 2u plays, etc, if you believe you are more confident in some than others.

Quote

03-24-2012 , 03:30 PM

#3755

DMMx69

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 1,680

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

Ytd 102-92-9 +37.38u
Bets on a 1-5u scale

Over 2.5 goals in Rovers and the Fighting Muambas 2.56u to win 2u
Under 2.5 goals in Spurs and Chelsea 1u to win 1.1u
Wigan +1.5 goals 1u to win 1.06u
Over 2.5 goals in Sunderland and QPR 1u to win 1.04u
Under 2 goals in Swansea and Everton 1u to win 1.1u
Under 2.5 goals in Stoke and City 1.2u to win 1u

wow.

Quote

03-24-2012 , 03:35 PM

#3756

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

Ytd 102-92-9 +37.38u
Bets on a 1-5u scale

Over 2.5 goals in Rovers and the Fighting Muambas 2.56u to win 2u W
Under 2.5 goals in Spurs and Chelsea 1u to win 1.1u W
Wigan +1.5 goals 1u to win 1.06u W
Over 2.5 goals in Sunderland and QPR 1u to win 1.04u W
Under 2 goals in Swansea and Everton 1u to win 1.1u P
Under 2.5 goals in Stoke and City 1.2u to win 1u W

5-0-1 +6.2u

Ytd 107-92-10 +43.58u

Quote

03-24-2012 , 03:37 PM

#3757

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by DMMx69

wow.

ya thevig is going nuts. seems like i should just tail him instead of trying to cap

Quote

03-24-2012 , 03:50 PM

#3758

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Just a good run I'm on now, something like 10-0-1. Getting warm here in Ct, gonna treat myself to some new outdoor boots. Sayhey keep cappin, ur killing it as well. Sick play on Wigan!

Quote

03-24-2012 , 09:31 PM

#3759

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

today: 4-2 +13.212u
ytd: 22-16 +20.112u

WBA, Newcastle U2' @1.98

gl

Quote

03-24-2012 , 11:01 PM

#3760

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

107-92-10 +43.58u
Bets on a 1-5u scale

Draw between West Brom and Newcastle 1u to win 2.5u

Quote

03-25-2012 , 04:59 AM

#3761

gunner134

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 459

3-6-1(-4.54u)yesterday
YTD:52-56-3(+16.23u)

My picks for today:
Rangers v Celtic Over 2.5 goals 2u to win 2u
Real Zaragoza v Atletico Madrid,Atletico Madrid -1 AH,2u to win 2.8u
SC Paderborn 07 v MSV Duisburg,SC Paderborn 07 to win,3u to win 2.88u
Birmingham City v Cardiff City Over 2.5 goals 2u to win 2.08u

Quote

03-25-2012 , 09:57 AM

#3762

gunner134

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 459

Adding:
PSG-Bordeaux,PSG-1 AH,3u to win 3.69u

Quote

03-25-2012 , 12:33 PM

#3763

yeaFMLdegen

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 555

looking for some thoughts from some (primarily vig, he seems to crush) and anyone else who wants to comment on betting man city win at stoke.

the price i got was 8/13, tell me why city win at this price is a profitable/losing bet in your opinon? (try not to result orientated)

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03-25-2012 , 12:35 PM

#3764

MJCASRoma

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 516

Seems like an app. place for this question...
What was the closing line for the WBA Newcastle game today? Moreso, where could I find this in the future so I don't have to make dumb posts such as this?
I have a discrepancy with a friend of mine on the line and he is okay with taking whatever this thread (or the information provided in this thread) says as fact. So, can anyone help?

And, yes, I will make sure to clarify everything in the future so I don't have to waste your time.

Quote

03-25-2012 , 01:01 PM

#3765

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by MJCASRoma

football-data.co.uk has csvs with game results and closing lines for the last ~10 years. it looks like they have only updated through 3/21/12 right now so no help on the wba newcastle game. may be someone else knows of another site

Quote

03-25-2012 , 01:14 PM

#3766

MJCASRoma

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 516

Thats bad ass.
I have another question, but I should probably preface it.
I look at sports betting as something fun to do, but also quantifies my obligation of giving action to get action. I am not a pro at it or even a weekly punter, just a few (under 5) bets a month.
Without my philosophy (technically a losing one) in mind, was taking Wigan at 10/1 a good wager? Clearly results oriented here, but I am willing to look at the big picture.

Quote

03-25-2012 , 01:20 PM

#3767

clyro

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 3,769

Someone ITT got Wigan at over 12/1

Quote

03-25-2012 , 01:25 PM

#3768

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by clyro

Someone ITT got Wigan at over 12/1

yes...

Quote

03-25-2012 , 02:23 PM

#3769

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

WBA, Newcastle U2' @1.98L

gl

ytd: 22-17 +19.112u

no plays tomorrow although fulham @15.19 is very close to being a play. any thoughts? seems like its +ev

Quote

03-25-2012 , 02:29 PM

#3770

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by MJCASRoma

im not sure how your philosophy toward betting really matters. arent decisions +ev or -ev no matter how many you make/month? i picked the wigan match at over 12/1. had it been around 10/1 i probably wouldnt have gone for it although i think it would still have been marginally +ev.

Quote

03-25-2012 , 02:48 PM

#3771

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

107-92-10 +43.58u
Bets on a 1-5u scale

Draw between West Brom and Newcastle 1u to win 2.5u L

0-1 -1u

YTD 107-93-10 +42.58u

Quote

03-25-2012 , 02:51 PM

#3772

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Ytd 107-93-10 +42.58u
Bets on a 1-5u scale

Man United -1.5 goals 2.6u to win 2u

Quote

03-25-2012 , 04:17 PM

#3773

welsh-witch1

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 1,968

I know betting odds an stuff but what you on about units how all that work?

Quote

03-25-2012 , 11:40 PM

#3774

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

A unit can be different to everybody but it's just the amount you bet. Some guys units might be $100, $500, etc. It all depends on your bankroll.

Quote

03-25-2012 , 11:53 PM

#3775

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

ytd: 22-17 +19.112u

no plays tomorrow although fulham @15.19 is very close to being a play. any thoughts? seems like its +ev

1/2 unit play

Fulham Win @16.27

am i missing something here? the only way i can justify this line is that united are fighting for the title and fulham have essentially nothing left to play for this season

edit: and the lines moving. pinny has it at 17... dont understand why at all

Last edited by sayhey69; 03-26-2012 at 12:14 AM.

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