He'll always be Donatello in my book.

Not fun one, but it's more than 2%, Ola has a gutshot too. 6 outs the first time and 5 the second. I guess it's sick that he lost to the case A instead of one of the 6s.

He wasn't talking about equity. He stated that the odds of winning both is 2%. Pretty big difference.

I found super rare video material of urubu in action. Changed it into gif.format for you guys.

vamooo

******* FLIP WARNING *********


Never flip with Stella948 on Stars - Such a scumbag...



I lost alot flipping drunk (To stars reg, cant rememeber who, lol) and went to sleep, woke up some houors later and decided to flip on, I ask on a 10 20 table and Stealla says ok, he joins my other 10/20 table and says "Only one" and "RIT?"

I say ok to RIT and only one... We flip and both win one, then we flip 2nd time amd we both win one again... Lo and behold, we flip a 3rd time and we split again so still noone is winning besides Stars... Remind u that we havent had any chat since first flip, then we get dealt 4th hand and he writes in the chat... "This is too sick (We are even lol???) and then he folds" Im like... WTF scumbag... We are even and we kept flippin, then u see ure hand and u fold???

Hes like "Dont ever call me scumbag, i flipped with K77x" loooool ???? Thats his argument - I keep on callin him stuff and finally he says "Okay we do one more flip then and then its ok" - Im like... WTF... Does he even understand what flippin is about, he folds and rly thinks that he can justify hes fold by agreeing to another flip...

Im still a bit drunk, im stuck and hungover... So I think for a little a decide that karma gods prob will get him, so I say OK and turn of RIT and sit in, I get aces and hold up and insta quit... Hows that for karma u angleshooting MOFO

Looking to exchange 2 hours of free hu PLO coaching (by me) for 2 hours of free PT4 coaching/tutorial (by you) - Or other equivalent time

Let me know if any1 is interested

Was searching for the like button after AlexKP story for a second but figured out it was 2+2

get drunk and flip with people you've never met in your life

surely a recipe for success

thats sucks alex.. but you were a donk saying no to him when he asked one more... perfect spot to say yes and fold in the flip , or go all in if you have strong hand . i did this 2weeks ago against zziegler on stars at 2k flip. gave him a lesson. by the way, thats why i lose my chat again... idiot fold at flip, i berate him. 2nd time this happens w me this year.

urubu serious, where is the f trip report from the 120k flip day, you won 30k one before that and let it ride and no trip report? what did you buy for parents from market after?

just curious as to how long you loseur chat for as a repeat offender?
site i play on banned me a day first time, a week second, 1 month for 3rd and now 6 months for 4th offense! (over a period of 3 years)

1month is the cap

at some point u might get a permanent chatban on stars.
i've had like 6-8 1month bans already, some justified but some not so much :P.
you don't get a chatban if you call someone a moron, but compare it with the F word and you have your ban ...

All the variance simulators seem to be down atm... what are the odds to be 255 buyins under ev over 215k hands with std dev 165 big blinds / 100? Also I am not superstitious usually but this fun downswing started 48h after some **** stole my Breitling .

Stop posting these graphs please. They give me sick bad nightmares.

way to weather the storm with upward sloping ev line, that is some crazy ****

Post in $

Depends on your winrate.

So what do we say to this kind of crazy ****? hem ev is broken or what? this is ****ing ridiculous, why play this game when even if you have edge your chances of getting broke are pretty big.

its possible, and pukeworthy.

Well if you play a couple million hands you get pretty much what you deserve and it takes some volume anyway to win enough to retire.

I did the sim and chances are less than 0.1% but more than 0.01% to run 12bb/100 under or over ev over that sample with that std dev which means that there are quite a few people out there who have been running worse.

Sorry for your runbad bro but i still can't believe people take aiev as their expected winrate and it tilts me every time.
It should be common knowledge that all-in spots don't cover the whole variance of poker, therefore looking at your aiev and figuring it as your winrate is simply wrong.

As I understand it both your profit and your aiev line have a chance of being anywhere close to your winrate with
aiev having the greater one - but not dramatically higher.
They could also be similarly off in your example and your actual winrate was -2bb/100 instead of -8bb/100 during that period.

The odds of you not being a 3-4bb winner during that period are a lot higher than you running 12bb under EV... and by a lot I mean it's ALMOST a certainty.

The only ways to figure out your winrate is by playing a few million hands or doing intensive analysis (which goes FAR beyond looking at a yellow line ).
You also have to keep doing what you have been doing, meaning that if you've been bumhunting during those 1-2m hands
or w/e sample you obv can't expect to have the same winrate vs 5 other good regs.

@ i hopeyouwin; Though graph. One of the worst i've seen...
Why do you think you get what you deserve after a couple of million hands? If your ev is like 3bb/100 its like a given that you will be a winner, but its not like you have to end up close like the 3bb/100 after a few million hands.

@ cbt; why this harsh reaction to a guy posting such an awfull graph? Also he's posting a graph with an ev winrate of roughly 3bb/100, so not a sick winrate at all. I don't disagree with your post obv, and maybe his "real" ev winrate is like 1bb/2bb, but whatever. Its still an awfull run.