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Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen?

07-25-2021 , 11:19 PM
we can theoretically but much of the worlds population is starving so in effect we cannot fed them, and never will be able. i think you took what i meant differently than i implied.

but if we did manage to feed them all they would increase the population greatly.

with increased prosperity in the world we increased if more than double close to triple in my lifetime, without the advances in chemical and motorized farming for part of it.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-25-2021 , 11:45 PM
Birth rate in the US has been declining for decades, and we are obviously well feed.

Africa is projected to have the largest city in the world by the end of the century. Lagos in Nigeria.
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07-26-2021 , 03:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hansmolman

Africa is projected to have the largest city in the world by the end of the century. Lagos in Nigeria.
How are they able to project something like that 80 years out? I'm genuinely curious.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-26-2021 , 03:21 AM
They actually use a math formula

Nt= P e (r*t)

Nt, number of people at a future time
P, population at the beginning time
e, base of natural logarithm
r, rate if increase
t, time involved

This is just from Google after seeing your post I got to wondering too
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-26-2021 , 06:17 AM
see you plant an oak tree. it grows say one foot a year. after 80 years its 80 feet tall.

works for most whatever kind of tree you plant even a palm tree if you are so inclined.
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07-26-2021 , 09:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray Zee
of course its not. that is because all the world isnt getting fed and reproducing and living longer, or it would.
In the poorest eleven countries on earth, life expectancy at birth is between 53 and 60. There isn't much reason to believe that increased life expectancy in those countries would significantly increase population growth in those countries.

Generally speaking, the population growth rate of countries is inversely proportional to wealth.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-26-2021 , 09:31 AM
Even I knew that
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-26-2021 , 12:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nutella virus
They actually use a math formula

Nt= P e (r*t)

Nt, number of people at a future time
P, population at the beginning time
e, base of natural logarithm
r, rate if increase
t, time involved

This is just from Google after seeing your post I got to wondering too
So 80 years ago, what were projected to be the largest cities in the world in 2021?
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-26-2021 , 01:21 PM
Here you go dumb dumbs.


Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-26-2021 , 01:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NickMPK
So 80 years ago, what were projected to be the largest cities in the world in 2021?
No idea, I just googled that and now I'm expert with populations. Loving 2021
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-26-2021 , 06:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NickMPK
So 80 years ago, what were projected to be the largest cities in the world in 2021?
in 1941 world's top 3 were NY Tokyo London with Tokyo's population growing much more rapidly than the other two (it doubled from 1920 to 1940), so if someone was doing projections for the largest city in the world in 2021 Tokyo would be #1 pick

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7jCioztj_c for the reference
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07-27-2021 , 06:27 PM
With the new mask mandates coming down, I predict a massive GFY revolt on unvaxxed ****sticks.

I'm there already.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-27-2021 , 06:38 PM
There's our problem.

It's pretty obvious that it's only ****sticks, and idiots that aren't taking the vaccine. The problem is that despite being much smarter than these dumb****ers we aren't able to outsmart them and trick them into taking the vaccine. Apparently smart people are unable to provide "messaging" to people less smart than them. But then of course we expect other people less intelligent than us to convince them.

Furthermore, in a time of inclusion, and compassion, low iq people are the only disabled people you can still make fun of. Instead of trying to get them the mental health help they need we tell them they're dumb and everything is their fault. How exactly do you expect people less smart than you to react when you talk to them like that?
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07-27-2021 , 07:28 PM
I agree there is literally nothing that can be done(short of a family death) to convince 30% of the population to get a vaccine. Any and all forms of convincing are futile. So I am simply left with GFY, that's all.
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07-27-2021 , 08:16 PM
times two..

if they want to go around and keep spreading it then they should not get hospital treatment unless they can pay for it.
they are risking a great tragedy if it persists and mutates into something else we cant stop.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-27-2021 , 08:26 PM
I wonder how people would've responded to a fat vaccine stipend. The lotteries seem totally useless.
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07-27-2021 , 08:33 PM
You're villifying dumb people for being dumber than you, for being born with a disability, and/or not receiving as good an education. Of course dumb people, and those with mental health issues, are going to become stubborn when you blame everything on them while calling them dumb.

It seems the evidence is showing us that it isn't just the unvaccinated spreading and mutating the virus. Blaming them for any mutations is only going to make the divide worse. It seems possible that it's flat out wrong as well, similar to other things the smart people have recently told the dumb people. Then we wonder why dumb people can't properly process an ever changing message.
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-27-2021 , 08:37 PM
Shoulda attached the third stimulus check to showing a receipt for the second jab (or first if J&J).

Missed opportunity. Maybe the fourth check???
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07-27-2021 , 08:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by de captain
You're villifying dumb people for being dumber than you, for being born with a disability, and/or not receiving as good an education. Of course dumb people, and those with mental health issues, are going to become stubborn when you blame everything on them while calling them dumb.
They don’t think they’re dumb, though. They think they’re smarter than scientists.

They’ve got street smarts.
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07-27-2021 , 08:58 PM
That doesn't change the problem at hand. Knowing that should help us solve the problem. Vilifying them isn't helping.
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07-27-2021 , 09:06 PM
Well captain...we're waiting.gif
Coronavirus Predictions And Forecast Thread. What Do You Predict Will Happen? Quote
07-27-2021 , 09:12 PM
Yeah, I don’t understand what he’s asking for. We already pander to idiots an incredible amount in modern society. I refuse to take responsibility for their stubbornness.
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07-27-2021 , 09:25 PM
If a boat is sinking it's possible to know that dumping water into the boat isn't the solution even if you don't know the solution. Ya'll are pouring water in the boat.
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07-27-2021 , 09:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 27offsuit
I agree there is literally nothing that can be done(short of a family death) to convince 30% of the population to get a vaccine. Any and all forms of convincing are futile. So I am simply left with GFY, that's all.
I mean, there literally is: all employees of local, state, and federal government can be told they must get the vaccine, or they're fired. That's a huge part of the workforce! It's kind of nuts to me that, for example, LA will say, "You gotta wear a mask!" but they won't say, "Hey, if we pay you, you need to get vaccine that is widely proven safe and effective." Masks and social distance are good mitigation efforts. You know what's better? The ****ing vaccine! The only situation in which you force your entire population back into masks and distance is if you've told your population they should get the shot, but you'll lift mask and social distance orders, but also you won't/can't enforce masks and distance. To then go back to mitigation, instead of straight to, "Whelp, you guys suck, so here's the vaccine mandate," is nuts!

Add in large, corporate employers mandating, and the effect is obviously more. And then you get "word-of-mouth" effects off of that, where medium- and small-employers feel more comfortable making the same mandate, people who were genuinely hesitant about getting the shot getting it and then advocating their social circles to do the same... it's a big, big lever.

This is something that is so baffling, yet unsurprising to me: vaccines have been mandatory for TONS of things, for decades. You can't go to public school or serve in the military without a mumps vaccine or real evidence of why you haven't gotten it, and I even think in the military you're classified as non-deployable. Nobody outside of crazies gave a **** prior to 2020. So look at the % of the population, that in 2019 or prior, were not immunized for mumps, or polio: THAT'S where we could be with covid. But the right weaponized it - to their current regret - and getting a covid vaccine has become controversial not only to nutjobs, but to pretty normal people, who just aren't really informed and will say things like, "Well, once it gets full FDA approval..." or the corollary, "It's untested, otherwise the FDA would have approved..."

Public agencies, mandate it right now! FDA, literally hundreds of millions of doses have been administered world-wide as of right now, authorize it for regular use and get rid of the excuse! It's costing lives not to do these things, and there's not a compelling reason for the delay.

Last edited by RunDownHouse.; 07-27-2021 at 09:39 PM.
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07-27-2021 , 09:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by de captain
That doesn't change the problem at hand. Knowing that should help us solve the problem. Vilifying them isn't helping.
To go a little speculative, and to ad absurdum, there's probably some link between when saying something like, "I think Obama is the head of a pedophile cabal based out of a DC pizza restaurant basement," would get you shunned and vilified, instead of elected to the House.
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