Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) - Page 143 - Poker News

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Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands)

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11-12-2020 , 04:35 PM

#3551

SizzlerFTW

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 2,368

You guys are using math. That's cheating. You gotta get a feel for the truth.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 04:40 PM

#3552

Im Nacho Friend

adept

Join Date: Mar 2020 Posts: 765

Quote:

Originally Posted by SizzlerFTW

You guys are using math. That's cheating. You gotta get a feel for the truth.

I thought my odds were fair? I mean either there is 5 heads and 5 tails and I lose or there isn't and I win --> 50/50

Quote

11-12-2020 , 05:07 PM

#3553

NewAcctIsBest

banned

Join Date: Oct 2020 Posts: 1,039

Quote:

Originally Posted by Im Nacho Friend

Sure. $100 for me if it's not 50/50 over 10 tosses. $100 for you if it is. Deal?

On second thought no

Quote

11-12-2020 , 05:20 PM

#3554

deuceblocker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 4,830

(10!/ (5! * 5!))/2^10 ~= .246. (1 - .246)/.246 = 3.064 to 1 odds.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 05:25 PM

#3555

bandin

Coach NLHE

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,876

Quote:

Originally Posted by NewAcctIsBest

First, he is going to be able to book more matches , likely with huge fish, and he will win lots there. Clearly his brand improves and he makes money from coaching or YouTube or merchandising.

Seems like all the perks you've mentioned apply much more to Doug than to Daniel.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 05:59 PM

#3556

deuceblocker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 4,830

If Dnegs wins or it is fairly close, his brand improves hugely. It is publicity for Polk also, but he is expected to win.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 06:16 PM

#3557

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

More interesting odds added now:

Match Doug -1111/+700
Session 5 Doug -169/+150
Session 5 Spread Doug -$25,000/Daniel +$25,000

Session 5 Outcome:
Daniel Negreanu wins $1 - $40,000 +590
Daniel Negreanu wins $40,000 - $120,000 +430
Daniel Negreanu wins over $120,000 +1070
Doug Polk wins $40,000 - $120,000 +255
Doug Polk wins over $120,000 +370
Doug Polk wins wins $1 - $40,000 +520

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:05 PM

#3558

Slugant

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 7,554

how much is polk up?

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:08 PM

#3559

newguyhere

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 9,552

Quote:

Originally Posted by NewAcctIsBest

I didn’t realize dnegs was sponsored by GGpoker. Even if he loses $2million to Doug I bet he is able to capitalize on this match for much much more. First, he is going to be able to book more matches , likely with huge fish, and he will win lots there. Clearly his brand improves and he makes money from coaching or YouTube or merchandising.

So I think this is why Daniel did this. It’s a smart move. He might be risking $2milly up front but over the next 30 years this will be a huge part of his career. Tons of positives, and heck he might even win. 5% still happens frequently

Are people going to pay top dollar for coaching from the guy that lost $2 million?

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:14 PM

#3560

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Maybe the coach saved him from losing $4 Million.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:17 PM

#3561

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Doug's playing 50/100 with RustinCohle now on WSOP.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:17 PM

#3562

Howard Treesong

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 13,738

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slugant

how much is polk up?

+180,165 over 1372 hands.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:32 PM

#3563

Scasper

newbie

Join Date: Nov 2020 Posts: 18

I just came across this on youtube after not being on TwoplusTwo for a long time - will they play more live sessions as part of this challenge?

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:34 PM

#3564

Wolfram

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 15,066

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scasper

I just came across this on youtube after not being on TwoplusTwo for a long time - will they play more live sessions as part of this challenge?

The idea has been thrown around by the presenters, but nothing confirmed.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 07:36 PM

#3565

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Not scheduled at this point. Just Online Monday, Wednesday and Friday.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 08:19 PM

#3566

NewAcctIsBest

banned

Join Date: Oct 2020 Posts: 1,039

Quote:

Originally Posted by newguyhere

Are people going to pay top dollar for coaching from the guy that lost $2 million?

Who needs to be paid top dollar? Daniel has so many potential customers That a $100 package might make him millions

“How I became the best heads up poker player in the world” now available in over twenty different languages! Coaching from the worlds most famous and most skilled player.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 08:22 PM

#3567

GazzyB123

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 5,998

You chat some amount of ****.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 10:06 PM

#3568

NewAcctIsBest

banned

Join Date: Oct 2020 Posts: 1,039

Quote:

Originally Posted by GazzyB123

You chat some amount of ****.

He has 450k subs on YouTube. He needs 10k of just them to buy his course and he is up a million.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 10:07 PM

#3569

Micropunter

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2019 Posts: 23

Quote:

Originally Posted by GazzyB123

You chat some amount of ****.

Man you have been so salty on these forums ever since GG booted you lmfao.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 11:26 PM

#3570

Howard Treesong

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 13,738

I'm getting Danny +250 for the next match

Quote

11-12-2020 , 11:29 PM

#3571

R*R

I wish I was Einstein

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 12,717

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wolfram

5% happens roughly 5% of the time

Six of one and half dozen of the other.

and lolFee!

Quote

11-12-2020 , 11:31 PM

#3572

sinner

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 2,929

are any websites posting overall and session updates on the match?

this match is huge promotional content for all parties involved, and yet theres nothing on upswing or wsop about it.. should have something like this: https://www.runitonce.eu/galfond-challenge/

Quote

11-12-2020 , 11:40 PM

#3573

Howard Treesong

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 13,738

check @dougpolkvids

Quote

11-12-2020 , 11:42 PM

#3574

parisron

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 20,822

Doug has it on the upswing website, but you need a link to find it. It's been posted ITT several times but I don't have it saved.

Quote

11-12-2020 , 11:49 PM

#3575

snowie963

banned

Join Date: Sep 2019 Posts: 1,484

I do believe Daniels odds are closer to 10% but I also believe this will be one of the instances where that 10% becomes 100%. Kind of like when the 4 outer comes on the river and the number goes from 10%-100% and the check mark comes up

Quote

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