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Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands)

11-12-2020 , 04:35 PM
You guys are using math. That's cheating. You gotta get a feel for the truth.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 04:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SizzlerFTW
You guys are using math. That's cheating. You gotta get a feel for the truth.
I thought my odds were fair? I mean either there is 5 heads and 5 tails and I lose or there isn't and I win --> 50/50
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 05:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Im Nacho Friend
Sure. $100 for me if it's not 50/50 over 10 tosses. $100 for you if it is. Deal?
On second thought no
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 05:20 PM
(10!/ (5! * 5!))/2^10 ~= .246. (1 - .246)/.246 = 3.064 to 1 odds.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 05:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewAcctIsBest
First, he is going to be able to book more matches , likely with huge fish, and he will win lots there. Clearly his brand improves and he makes money from coaching or YouTube or merchandising.
Seems like all the perks you've mentioned apply much more to Doug than to Daniel.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 05:59 PM
If Dnegs wins or it is fairly close, his brand improves hugely. It is publicity for Polk also, but he is expected to win.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 06:16 PM
More interesting odds added now:

Match Doug -1111/+700
Session 5 Doug -169/+150
Session 5 Spread Doug -$25,000/Daniel +$25,000

Session 5 Outcome:
Daniel Negreanu wins $1 - $40,000 +590
Daniel Negreanu wins $40,000 - $120,000 +430
Daniel Negreanu wins over $120,000 +1070
Doug Polk wins $40,000 - $120,000 +255
Doug Polk wins over $120,000 +370
Doug Polk wins wins $1 - $40,000 +520
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:05 PM
how much is polk up?
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewAcctIsBest
I didn’t realize dnegs was sponsored by GGpoker. Even if he loses $2million to Doug I bet he is able to capitalize on this match for much much more. First, he is going to be able to book more matches , likely with huge fish, and he will win lots there. Clearly his brand improves and he makes money from coaching or YouTube or merchandising.

So I think this is why Daniel did this. It’s a smart move. He might be risking $2milly up front but over the next 30 years this will be a huge part of his career. Tons of positives, and heck he might even win. 5% still happens frequently
Are people going to pay top dollar for coaching from the guy that lost $2 million?
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:14 PM
Maybe the coach saved him from losing $4 Million.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:17 PM
Doug's playing 50/100 with RustinCohle now on WSOP.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slugant
how much is polk up?

+180,165 over 1372 hands.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:32 PM
I just came across this on youtube after not being on TwoplusTwo for a long time - will they play more live sessions as part of this challenge?
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Scasper
I just came across this on youtube after not being on TwoplusTwo for a long time - will they play more live sessions as part of this challenge?
The idea has been thrown around by the presenters, but nothing confirmed.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 07:36 PM
Not scheduled at this point. Just Online Monday, Wednesday and Friday.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 08:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by newguyhere
Are people going to pay top dollar for coaching from the guy that lost $2 million?
Who needs to be paid top dollar? Daniel has so many potential customers That a $100 package might make him millions

“How I became the best heads up poker player in the world” now available in over twenty different languages! Coaching from the worlds most famous and most skilled player.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 08:22 PM
You chat some amount of ****.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 10:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GazzyB123
You chat some amount of ****.
He has 450k subs on YouTube. He needs 10k of just them to buy his course and he is up a million.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 10:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GazzyB123
You chat some amount of ****.
Man you have been so salty on these forums ever since GG booted you lmfao.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 11:26 PM
I'm getting Danny +250 for the next match
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 11:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolfram
5% happens roughly 5% of the time
Six of one and half dozen of the other.

and lolFee!
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 11:31 PM
are any websites posting overall and session updates on the match?

this match is huge promotional content for all parties involved, and yet theres nothing on upswing or wsop about it.. should have something like this: https://www.runitonce.eu/galfond-challenge/
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 11:40 PM
check @dougpolkvids
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 11:42 PM
Doug has it on the upswing website, but you need a link to find it. It's been posted ITT several times but I don't have it saved.
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote
11-12-2020 , 11:49 PM
I do believe Daniels odds are closer to 10% but I also believe this will be one of the instances where that 10% becomes 100%. Kind of like when the 4 outer comes on the river and the number goes from 10%-100% and the check mark comes up
Doug Polk's Challenge to Daniel Negreanu: Heads-Up NLHE Showdown (25k Hands) Quote

      
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